UEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, July 23, 2026, 19:00 (UK time)
Aluminij vs Dinamo Tirana: 1-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Aluminij 1-1 Dinamo Tirana. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Aluminij (46%), while a draw was rated at only 26%. The exact score 1-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (12.2%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.
Match analysis
Aluminij vs Dinamo Tirana was played on Thursday, July 23, 2026 (UEFA Conference League). Venue: Ljudski vrt, Maribor. Before kick-off, our model gave Aluminij a 46% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Dinamo Tirana 28%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.2%), ahead of 1-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.2%).
Aluminij have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, Dinamo Tirana have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 6. Recent momentum is clearly with Dinamo Tirana. On average Aluminij score 0.60 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Dinamo Tirana score 2.00 and concede 1.20.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Aluminij and Dinamo Tirana: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Aluminij or draw" stands at 72%, "Dinamo Tirana or draw" at 54% and "no draw" at 74%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Aluminij – Dinamo Tirana. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Aluminij 1-1 Dinamo Tirana | 12.2% |
| Aluminij 1-0 Dinamo Tirana | 10.9% |
| Aluminij 2-1 Dinamo Tirana | 9.2% |
| Aluminij 2-0 Dinamo Tirana | 8.2% |
| Aluminij 0-1 Dinamo Tirana | 8.2% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.62 goals in total (1.50 for Aluminij, 1.12 for Dinamo Tirana): over 2.5 goals has a 49% probability and both teams to score 52%. Aluminij keep a clean sheet in 33% of scenarios, Dinamo Tirana in 22%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Aluminij expected goals | 1.50 |
| Dinamo Tirana expected goals | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% |
| Aluminij clean sheet | 33% |
| Dinamo Tirana clean sheet | 22% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Aluminij
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2026 | Sheriff Tiraspol · UEFA Europa League | 0-1 | L |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Sheriff Tiraspol · UEFA Europa League | 0-0 | D |
| Jul 2, 2026 | FK Partizan · Club Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
| Jun 28, 2026 | FC Noah · Club Friendlies | 0-2 | L |
| Jun 23, 2026 | Pyunik Yerevan · Club Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
Dinamo Tirana
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2026 | FC Astana · UEFA Conference League | 4-1 | W |
| Jul 9, 2026 | FC Astana · UEFA Conference League | 0-1 | L |
| Jul 1, 2026 | Struga · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Struga · Club Friendlies | 3-2 | W |
| Jun 23, 2026 | Sileks · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Aluminij and Dinamo Tirana: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Aluminij
No absences reported.
Dinamo Tirana
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- FC Vaduz 4-0 Atlètic Club d'EscaldesJul 23, 2026
- FCSB 2-3 AudaJul 23, 2026
- Vojvodina 1-4 AjaxJul 23, 2026
- Paks 1-2 PanathinaikosJul 23, 2026
- Polessya 3-3 FC CopenhagenJul 23, 2026
- NK Varazdin 3-2 FK JablonecJul 23, 2026
- Žilina 2-1 GKS KatowiceJul 23, 2026
- FC Lugano 1-0 DukagjiniJul 23, 2026
- Hapoel Tel Aviv 2-0 LudogoretsJul 23, 2026
- Borac Banja Luka 3-0 PetrocubJul 23, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Aluminij vs Dinamo Tirana prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Aluminij a 46% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Dinamo Tirana 28%. Aluminij are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Aluminij vs Dinamo Tirana?
1-1 (12.2%), followed by 1-0 (10.9%), 2-1 (9.2%), 2-0 (8.2%) and 0-1 (8.2%).
Will both teams score in Aluminij vs Dinamo Tirana?
The probability that both Aluminij and Dinamo Tirana score is 52%. Aluminij have a 33% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Dinamo Tirana 22%.
How many goals should we expect in Aluminij vs Dinamo Tirana?
The model expects 2.62 goals (1.50 for Aluminij, 1.12 for Dinamo Tirana). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.
When and where is Aluminij vs Dinamo Tirana played?
Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Ljudski vrt, Maribor.
What form are Aluminij and Dinamo Tirana in?
Aluminij: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 7 conceded). Dinamo Tirana: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 6 conceded).
What was the Aluminij vs Dinamo Tirana result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Aluminij 1-1 Dinamo Tirana. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Aluminij (46%), while a draw was rated at only 26%. The exact score 1-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (12.2%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.
How is the Aluminij vs Dinamo Tirana prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.50 for Aluminij, 1.12 for Dinamo Tirana) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Aluminij predictions
- All Dinamo Tirana predictions
- UEFA Conference League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology