UEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, July 23, 2026, 18:45 (UK time)
FCSB vs Auda: 2-3 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: FCSB 2-3 Auda. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for FCSB (82%), while victory for Auda was rated at only 5%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.7%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): missed.
Match analysis
FCSB vs Auda was played on Thursday, July 23, 2026 (UEFA Conference League). Venue: Stadionul Steaua, Bucharest. Before kick-off, our model gave FCSB a 82% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Auda 5%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.7%), ahead of 1-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.6%).
FCSB have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 14. Auda have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 4 and conceding 6. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average FCSB score 1.40 and concede 2.80 goals per game; Auda score 0.80 and concede 1.20.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between FCSB and Auda: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "FCSB or draw" stands at 95%, "Auda or draw" at 18% and "no draw" at 87%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as FCSB – Auda. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| FCSB 1-1 Auda | 11.7% |
| FCSB 1-0 Auda | 11.5% |
| FCSB 2-1 Auda | 9.6% |
| FCSB 2-0 Auda | 9.4% |
| FCSB 0-1 Auda | 7.1% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.66 goals in total (1.64 for FCSB, 1.02 for Auda): over 2.5 goals has a 50% probability and both teams to score 52%. FCSB keep a clean sheet in 36% of scenarios, Auda in 19%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| FCSB expected goals | 1.64 |
| Auda expected goals | 1.02 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| FCSB clean sheet | 36% |
| Auda clean sheet | 19% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
FCSB
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 5, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise · Club Friendlies | 0-4 | L |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Fenerbahçe · UEFA Europa League | 1-1 | D |
| Jan 22, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb · UEFA Europa League | 1-4 | L |
| Jan 9, 2026 | Beşiktaş · Club Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
| Dec 11, 2025 | Feyenoord · UEFA Europa League | 4-3 | W |
Auda
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | Zorya Luhansk · Club Friendlies | 0-3 | L |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Feb 6, 2026 | FK Vozdovac · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Shanghai Shenhua · Club Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
| Jul 16, 2025 | Larne · UEFA Conference League | 2-2 | D |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between FCSB and Auda: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
FCSB
No absences reported.
Auda
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Universitatea Cluj 2-2 BrannJul 23, 2026
- ML Vitebsk 3-0 SutjeskaJul 23, 2026
- FC Vaduz 4-0 Atlètic Club d'EscaldesJul 23, 2026
- Vojvodina 1-4 AjaxJul 23, 2026
- Aluminij 1-1 Dinamo TiranaJul 23, 2026
- Paks 1-2 PanathinaikosJul 23, 2026
- Polessya 3-3 FC CopenhagenJul 23, 2026
- NK Varazdin 3-2 FK JablonecJul 23, 2026
- Žilina 2-1 GKS KatowiceJul 23, 2026
- FC Lugano 1-0 DukagjiniJul 23, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the FCSB vs Auda prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave FCSB a 82% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Auda 5%. FCSB are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-3.
What is the most likely correct score for FCSB vs Auda?
1-1 (11.7%), followed by 1-0 (11.5%), 2-1 (9.6%), 2-0 (9.4%) and 0-1 (7.1%).
Will both teams score in FCSB vs Auda?
The probability that both FCSB and Auda score is 52%. FCSB have a 36% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Auda 19%.
How many goals should we expect in FCSB vs Auda?
The model expects 2.66 goals (1.64 for FCSB, 1.02 for Auda). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is FCSB vs Auda played?
Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 18:45 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Stadionul Steaua, Bucharest.
What form are FCSB and Auda in?
FCSB: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 14 conceded). Auda: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 6 conceded).
What was the FCSB vs Auda result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: FCSB 2-3 Auda. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for FCSB (82%), while victory for Auda was rated at only 5%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.7%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): missed.
How is the FCSB vs Auda prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.64 for FCSB, 1.02 for Auda) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All FCSB predictions
- All Auda predictions
- UEFA Conference League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology