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UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, July 30, 2026, 19:30 (UK time)

Austria Vienna vs FK Liepaja: 3-1 result and AI prediction review

Austria ViennaAustria Vienna3 – 1FK LiepajaFK Liepaja

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Austria Vienna 3-1 FK Liepaja. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Austria Vienna was the model's favourite outcome (53%). The final score ranked 8th among the most likely scorelines (5.3%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): missed.

Match analysis

Austria Vienna vs FK Liepaja was played on Thursday, July 30, 2026 (UEFA Conference League). Venue: Generali Arena, Vienna. Before kick-off, our model gave Austria Vienna a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FK Liepaja 23%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.6%), ahead of 1-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.6%).

Austria Vienna are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 10 and conceding 2. Over their last 5 matches, FK Liepaja have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 7. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Austria Vienna score 2.00 and concede 0.40 goals per game; FK Liepaja score 1.00 and concede 1.40.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Austria Vienna, 0 for FK Liepaja and 0 draws. The most recent ended FK Liepaja 0-2 Austria Vienna (Jul 23, 2026). In double chance terms, "Austria Vienna or draw" stands at 77%, "FK Liepaja or draw" at 47% and "no draw" at 76%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

53%
Austria Vienna (Win)
24%
Draw
23%
FK Liepaja (Win)

Double chance

77%
Austria Vienna or draw
47%
FK Liepaja or draw
76%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Austria Vienna – FK Liepaja. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Austria Vienna 1-1 FK Liepaja11.6%
Austria Vienna 1-0 FK Liepaja11.5%
Austria Vienna 2-1 FK Liepaja9.6%
Austria Vienna 2-0 FK Liepaja9.5%
Austria Vienna 0-1 FK Liepaja7.0%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.67 goals in total (1.66 for Austria Vienna, 1.01 for FK Liepaja): over 2.5 goals has a 50% probability and both teams to score 52%. Austria Vienna keep a clean sheet in 36% of scenarios, FK Liepaja in 19%.

Probability
Austria Vienna expected goals1.66
FK Liepaja expected goals1.01
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Austria Vienna clean sheet36%
FK Liepaja clean sheet19%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Austria Vienna

DateOpponentScore
Jul 23, 2026FK Liepaja · UEFA Conference League2-0W
Jul 8, 2026Dunajska Streda · Club Friendlies1-1D
Jul 4, 2026Debreceni VSC · Club Friendlies1-1D
Jun 26, 2026Parndorf · Club Friendlies4-0W
Jan 31, 2026Grazer AK · Club Friendlies2-0W

FK Liepaja

DateOpponentScore
Jul 23, 2026Austria Vienna · UEFA Conference League0-2L
Jul 15, 2026Dečić · UEFA Conference League2-1W
Jul 9, 2026Dečić · UEFA Conference League1-0W
Feb 27, 2026FS Jelgava · Club Friendlies2-1W
Feb 13, 2026Orebro SK · Club Friendlies0-3L

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 23, 2026FK Liepaja 0-2 Austria ViennaUEFA Conference League

Out and doubtful

Austria Vienna

No absences reported.

FK Liepaja

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Austria Vienna vs FK Liepaja prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Austria Vienna a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FK Liepaja 23%. Austria Vienna are therefore favourites. Final score: 3-1.

What is the most likely correct score for Austria Vienna vs FK Liepaja?

1-1 (11.6%), followed by 1-0 (11.5%), 2-1 (9.6%), 2-0 (9.5%) and 0-1 (7.0%).

Will both teams score in Austria Vienna vs FK Liepaja?

The probability that both Austria Vienna and FK Liepaja score is 52%. Austria Vienna have a 36% chance of keeping a clean sheet, FK Liepaja 19%.

How many goals should we expect in Austria Vienna vs FK Liepaja?

The model expects 2.67 goals (1.66 for Austria Vienna, 1.01 for FK Liepaja). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.

When and where is Austria Vienna vs FK Liepaja played?

Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 19:30 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Generali Arena, Vienna.

What form are Austria Vienna and FK Liepaja in?

Austria Vienna: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 2 conceded). FK Liepaja: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 7 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Austria Vienna and FK Liepaja?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Austria Vienna, 0 for FK Liepaja and 0 draws. The most recent ended FK Liepaja 0-2 Austria Vienna (Jul 23, 2026).

What was the Austria Vienna vs FK Liepaja result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Austria Vienna 3-1 FK Liepaja. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Austria Vienna was the model's favourite outcome (53%). The final score ranked 8th among the most likely scorelines (5.3%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): missed.

How is the Austria Vienna vs FK Liepaja prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.66 for Austria Vienna, 1.01 for FK Liepaja) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained