Skip to content
Elofoot

UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, July 30, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

Dinamo Tirana vs Aluminij: 3-0 result and AI prediction review

Dinamo TiranaDinamo Tirana3 – 0AluminijAluminij

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-0

Final score: Dinamo Tirana 3-0 Aluminij. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Dinamo Tirana was the model's favourite outcome (55%). The final score ranked 7th among the most likely scorelines (5.7%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (50%): correct.

Match analysis

Dinamo Tirana vs Aluminij was played on Thursday, July 30, 2026 (UEFA Conference League). Venue: Elbasan Arena, Elbasani. Before kick-off, our model gave Dinamo Tirana a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Aluminij 21%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (11.7%), ahead of 1-1 (11.4%) and 2-0 (10.0%).

Over their last 5 matches, Dinamo Tirana have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Aluminij have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 2 and conceding 6. Recent momentum is clearly with Dinamo Tirana. On average Dinamo Tirana score 1.80 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Aluminij score 0.40 and concede 1.20.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Dinamo Tirana, 0 for Aluminij and 1 draw. The most recent ended Aluminij 1-1 Dinamo Tirana (Jul 23, 2026). In double chance terms, "Dinamo Tirana or draw" stands at 79%, "Aluminij or draw" at 45% and "no draw" at 76%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

55%
Dinamo Tirana (Win)
24%
Draw
21%
Aluminij (Win)

Double chance

79%
Dinamo Tirana or draw
45%
Aluminij or draw
76%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Dinamo Tirana – Aluminij. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Dinamo Tirana 1-0 Aluminij11.7%
Dinamo Tirana 1-1 Aluminij11.4%
Dinamo Tirana 2-0 Aluminij10.0%
Dinamo Tirana 2-1 Aluminij9.7%
Dinamo Tirana 0-0 Aluminij6.9%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.68 goals in total (1.71 for Dinamo Tirana, 0.97 for Aluminij): over 2.5 goals has a 50% probability and both teams to score 51%. Dinamo Tirana keep a clean sheet in 38% of scenarios, Aluminij in 18%.

Probability
Dinamo Tirana expected goals1.71
Aluminij expected goals0.97
Both teams to score51%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Dinamo Tirana clean sheet38%
Aluminij clean sheet18%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Dinamo Tirana

DateOpponentScore
Jul 23, 2026Aluminij · UEFA Conference League1-1D
Jul 16, 2026FC Astana · UEFA Conference League4-1W
Jul 9, 2026FC Astana · UEFA Conference League0-1L
Jul 1, 2026Struga · Club Friendlies1-1D
Jun 27, 2026Struga · Club Friendlies3-2W

Aluminij

DateOpponentScore
Jul 23, 2026Dinamo Tirana · UEFA Conference League1-1D
Jul 16, 2026Sheriff Tiraspol · UEFA Europa League0-1L
Jul 9, 2026Sheriff Tiraspol · UEFA Europa League0-0D
Jul 2, 2026FK Partizan · Club Friendlies1-2L
Jun 28, 2026FC Noah · Club Friendlies0-2L

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 23, 2026Aluminij 1-1 Dinamo TiranaUEFA Conference League

Out and doubtful

Dinamo Tirana

No absences reported.

Aluminij

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Dinamo Tirana vs Aluminij prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Dinamo Tirana a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Aluminij 21%. Dinamo Tirana are therefore favourites. Final score: 3-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Dinamo Tirana vs Aluminij?

1-0 (11.7%), followed by 1-1 (11.4%), 2-0 (10.0%), 2-1 (9.7%) and 0-0 (6.9%).

Will both teams score in Dinamo Tirana vs Aluminij?

The probability that both Dinamo Tirana and Aluminij score is 51%. Dinamo Tirana have a 38% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Aluminij 18%.

How many goals should we expect in Dinamo Tirana vs Aluminij?

The model expects 2.68 goals (1.71 for Dinamo Tirana, 0.97 for Aluminij). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.

When and where is Dinamo Tirana vs Aluminij played?

Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Elbasan Arena, Elbasani.

What form are Dinamo Tirana and Aluminij in?

Dinamo Tirana: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 6 conceded). Aluminij: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (2 scored, 6 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Dinamo Tirana and Aluminij?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Dinamo Tirana, 0 for Aluminij and 1 draw. The most recent ended Aluminij 1-1 Dinamo Tirana (Jul 23, 2026).

What was the Dinamo Tirana vs Aluminij result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Dinamo Tirana 3-0 Aluminij. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Dinamo Tirana was the model's favourite outcome (55%). The final score ranked 7th among the most likely scorelines (5.7%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (50%): correct.

How is the Dinamo Tirana vs Aluminij prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.71 for Dinamo Tirana, 0.97 for Aluminij) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained