UEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, July 30, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Hibernian vs Malisheva: 4-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Hibernian 4-1 Malisheva. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Hibernian at 78%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.0%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.
Match analysis
Hibernian and Malisheva met on Thursday, July 30, 2026, a UEFA Conference League fixture. Venue: Easter Road, Edinburgh. Before kick-off, our model gave Hibernian a 78% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Malisheva 8%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.0%), followed by 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.4%).
Hibernian have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 9 and conceding 9. Over their last 5 matches, Malisheva have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 11 and conceding 10. Malisheva therefore arrive in far better shape than Hibernian. On average Hibernian score 1.80 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Malisheva score 2.20 and concede 2.00.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Hibernian, 1 for Malisheva and 0 draws. The most recent ended Malisheva 2-0 Hibernian (Jul 23, 2026). In double chance terms, "Hibernian or draw" stands at 92%, "Malisheva or draw" at 22% and "no draw" at 86%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Hibernian – Malisheva. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Hibernian 1-1 Malisheva | 12.0% |
| Hibernian 1-0 Malisheva | 11.3% |
| Hibernian 2-1 Malisheva | 9.4% |
| Hibernian 2-0 Malisheva | 8.9% |
| Hibernian 0-1 Malisheva | 7.6% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.58 expected goals for Hibernian and 1.06 for Malisheva, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 49% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Hibernian keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, Malisheva in 21%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Hibernian expected goals | 1.58 |
| Malisheva expected goals | 1.06 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% |
| Hibernian clean sheet | 35% |
| Malisheva clean sheet | 21% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Hibernian
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | Malisheva · UEFA Conference League | 0-2 | L |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Cliftonville FC · Club Friendlies | 5-1 | W |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Shamrock Rovers · Club Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 28, 2025 | Legia Warszawa · UEFA Conference League | 3-3 | D |
| Aug 21, 2025 | Legia Warszawa · UEFA Conference League | 1-2 | L |
Malisheva
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | Hibernian · UEFA Conference League | 2-0 | W |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Vllaznia Shkodër · UEFA Conference League | 5-0 | W |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Vllaznia Shkodër · UEFA Conference League | 1-2 | L |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv · Club Friendlies | 1-8 | L |
| Jan 16, 2026 | Kudrivka · Club Friendlies | 2-0 | W |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | Malisheva 2-0 Hibernian | UEFA Conference League |
Out and doubtful
Hibernian
No absences reported.
Malisheva
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- GKS Katowice 3-1 ŽilinaJul 30, 2026
- Zrinjski 2-2 Valur ReykjavikJul 30, 2026
- Gent 0-0 LNZ CherkasyJul 30, 2026
- Austria Vienna 3-1 FK LiepajaJul 30, 2026
- Panathinaikos 2-2 PaksJul 30, 2026
- Koper 0-2 NSI RunavikJul 30, 2026
- Coleraine FC 0-3 HJK HelsinkiJul 30, 2026
- Dinamo Tirana 3-0 AluminijJul 30, 2026
- Sutjeska 1-2 ML VitebskJul 30, 2026
- SC Braga 4-0 Železničar PančevoJul 30, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Hibernian vs Malisheva prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Hibernian a 78% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Malisheva 8%. Hibernian are therefore favourites. Final score: 4-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Hibernian vs Malisheva?
1-1 (12.0%), followed by 1-0 (11.3%), 2-1 (9.4%), 2-0 (8.9%) and 0-1 (7.6%).
Will both teams score in Hibernian vs Malisheva?
The probability that both Hibernian and Malisheva score is 52%. Hibernian have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Malisheva 21%.
How many goals should we expect in Hibernian vs Malisheva?
The model expects 2.64 goals (1.58 for Hibernian, 1.06 for Malisheva). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.
When and where is Hibernian vs Malisheva played?
Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Easter Road, Edinburgh.
What form are Hibernian and Malisheva in?
Hibernian: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 9 conceded). Malisheva: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 10 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Hibernian and Malisheva?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Hibernian, 1 for Malisheva and 0 draws. The most recent ended Malisheva 2-0 Hibernian (Jul 23, 2026).
What was the Hibernian vs Malisheva result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Hibernian 4-1 Malisheva. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Hibernian at 78%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.0%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.
How is the Hibernian vs Malisheva prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.58 for Hibernian, 1.06 for Malisheva) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Hibernian predictions
- All Malisheva predictions
- UEFA Conference League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology