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UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, July 30, 2026, 19:30 (UK time)

Zrinjski vs Valur Reykjavik: 2-2 result and AI prediction review

ZrinjskiZrinjski2 – 2Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Zrinjski 2-2 Valur Reykjavik. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Zrinjski (49%), while a draw was rated at only 25%. The final score ranked 8th among the most likely scorelines (5.0%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.

Match analysis

Zrinjski vs Valur Reykjavik was played on Thursday, July 30, 2026 (UEFA Conference League). Venue: Stadion pod Bijelim Brijegom, Mostar. Before kick-off, our model gave Zrinjski a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Valur Reykjavik 26%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.0%), ahead of 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.4%).

Over their last 5 matches, Zrinjski have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, Valur Reykjavik have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 4. Recent momentum is clearly with Valur Reykjavik. On average Zrinjski score 1.60 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Valur Reykjavik score 1.60 and concede 0.80.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Zrinjski, 1 for Valur Reykjavik and 0 draws. The most recent ended Valur Reykjavik 1-0 Zrinjski (Jul 23, 2026). In double chance terms, "Zrinjski or draw" stands at 74%, "Valur Reykjavik or draw" at 51% and "no draw" at 75%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

49%
Zrinjski (Win)
25%
Draw
26%
Valur Reykjavik (Win)

Double chance

74%
Zrinjski or draw
51%
Valur Reykjavik or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Zrinjski – Valur Reykjavik. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Zrinjski 1-1 Valur Reykjavik12.0%
Zrinjski 1-0 Valur Reykjavik11.3%
Zrinjski 2-1 Valur Reykjavik9.4%
Zrinjski 2-0 Valur Reykjavik8.9%
Zrinjski 0-1 Valur Reykjavik7.6%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.63 goals in total (1.57 for Zrinjski, 1.06 for Valur Reykjavik): over 2.5 goals has a 49% probability and both teams to score 52%. Zrinjski keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, Valur Reykjavik in 21%.

Probability
Zrinjski expected goals1.57
Valur Reykjavik expected goals1.06
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Zrinjski clean sheet35%
Valur Reykjavik clean sheet21%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Zrinjski

DateOpponentScore
Jul 23, 2026Valur Reykjavik · UEFA Conference League0-1L
Jul 4, 2026FK Sarajevo · Club Friendlies2-1W
Feb 26, 2026Crystal Palace · UEFA Conference League0-2L
Feb 19, 2026Crystal Palace · UEFA Conference League1-1D
Jan 30, 2026Posušje · Club Friendlies5-0W

Valur Reykjavik

DateOpponentScore
Jul 23, 2026Zrinjski · UEFA Conference League1-0W
Jul 31, 2025Kauno Žalgiris · UEFA Conference League1-2L
Jul 24, 2025Kauno Žalgiris · UEFA Conference League1-1D
Jul 17, 2025Flora Tallinn · UEFA Conference League2-1W
Jul 10, 2025Flora Tallinn · UEFA Conference League3-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Zrinjski2376

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 23, 2026Valur Reykjavik 1-0 ZrinjskiUEFA Conference League

Out and doubtful

Zrinjski

No absences reported.

Valur Reykjavik

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Zrinjski vs Valur Reykjavik prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Zrinjski a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Valur Reykjavik 26%. Zrinjski are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-2.

What is the most likely correct score for Zrinjski vs Valur Reykjavik?

1-1 (12.0%), followed by 1-0 (11.3%), 2-1 (9.4%), 2-0 (8.9%) and 0-1 (7.6%).

Will both teams score in Zrinjski vs Valur Reykjavik?

The probability that both Zrinjski and Valur Reykjavik score is 52%. Zrinjski have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Valur Reykjavik 21%.

How many goals should we expect in Zrinjski vs Valur Reykjavik?

The model expects 2.63 goals (1.57 for Zrinjski, 1.06 for Valur Reykjavik). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.

When and where is Zrinjski vs Valur Reykjavik played?

Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 19:30 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Stadion pod Bijelim Brijegom, Mostar.

What form are Zrinjski and Valur Reykjavik in?

Zrinjski: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 5 conceded). Valur Reykjavik: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 4 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Zrinjski and Valur Reykjavik?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Zrinjski, 1 for Valur Reykjavik and 0 draws. The most recent ended Valur Reykjavik 1-0 Zrinjski (Jul 23, 2026).

What was the Zrinjski vs Valur Reykjavik result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Zrinjski 2-2 Valur Reykjavik. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Zrinjski (49%), while a draw was rated at only 25%. The final score ranked 8th among the most likely scorelines (5.0%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.

How is the Zrinjski vs Valur Reykjavik prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.57 for Zrinjski, 1.06 for Valur Reykjavik) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained