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UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, July 30, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)

Coleraine FC vs HJK Helsinki: 0-3 result and AI prediction review

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Coleraine FC 0-3 HJK Helsinki. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Coleraine FC (51%), while victory for HJK Helsinki was rated at only 24%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.3%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.

Match analysis

Coleraine FC vs HJK Helsinki was played on Thursday, July 30, 2026 (UEFA Conference League). Venue: Inver Park, Larne. Before kick-off, our model gave Coleraine FC a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and HJK Helsinki 24%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.8%), ahead of 1-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.5%).

Coleraine FC have won just one of their last 3 matches (1 draw, 1 defeat), scoring 2 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, HJK Helsinki have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 12 and conceding 6. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Coleraine FC score 0.67 and concede 2.00 goals per game; HJK Helsinki score 2.40 and concede 1.20.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Coleraine FC, 1 for HJK Helsinki and 0 draws. The most recent ended HJK Helsinki 5-0 Coleraine FC (Jul 23, 2026). In double chance terms, "Coleraine FC or draw" stands at 76%, "HJK Helsinki or draw" at 49% and "no draw" at 75%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

51%
Coleraine FC (Win)
25%
Draw
24%
HJK Helsinki (Win)

Double chance

76%
Coleraine FC or draw
49%
HJK Helsinki or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Coleraine FC – HJK Helsinki. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Coleraine FC 1-1 HJK Helsinki11.8%
Coleraine FC 1-0 HJK Helsinki11.4%
Coleraine FC 2-1 HJK Helsinki9.5%
Coleraine FC 2-0 HJK Helsinki9.3%
Coleraine FC 0-1 HJK Helsinki7.3%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.65 goals in total (1.62 for Coleraine FC, 1.03 for HJK Helsinki): over 2.5 goals has a 49% probability and both teams to score 52%. Coleraine FC keep a clean sheet in 36% of scenarios, HJK Helsinki in 20%.

Probability
Coleraine FC expected goals1.62
HJK Helsinki expected goals1.03
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Coleraine FC clean sheet36%
HJK Helsinki clean sheet20%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Coleraine FC

DateOpponentScore
Jul 23, 2026HJK Helsinki · UEFA Conference League0-5L
Jul 7, 2026Limavady United · Club Friendlies1-0W
Jul 4, 2026H&W Welders · Club Friendlies1-1D

HJK Helsinki

DateOpponentScore
Jul 23, 2026Coleraine FC · UEFA Conference League5-0W
Mar 27, 2026Djurgardens IF · Club Friendlies2-4L
Mar 21, 2026SJK · Club Friendlies1-0W
Mar 10, 2026Gnistan · Club Friendlies3-0W
Feb 13, 2026Hammarby FF · Club Friendlies1-2L

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 23, 2026HJK Helsinki 5-0 Coleraine FCUEFA Conference League

Out and doubtful

Coleraine FC

No absences reported.

HJK Helsinki

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Coleraine FC vs HJK Helsinki prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Coleraine FC a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and HJK Helsinki 24%. Coleraine FC are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-3.

What is the most likely correct score for Coleraine FC vs HJK Helsinki?

1-1 (11.8%), followed by 1-0 (11.4%), 2-1 (9.5%), 2-0 (9.3%) and 0-1 (7.3%).

Will both teams score in Coleraine FC vs HJK Helsinki?

The probability that both Coleraine FC and HJK Helsinki score is 52%. Coleraine FC have a 36% chance of keeping a clean sheet, HJK Helsinki 20%.

How many goals should we expect in Coleraine FC vs HJK Helsinki?

The model expects 2.65 goals (1.62 for Coleraine FC, 1.03 for HJK Helsinki). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 28%.

When and where is Coleraine FC vs HJK Helsinki played?

Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Inver Park, Larne.

What form are Coleraine FC and HJK Helsinki in?

Coleraine FC: 1 win, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 3 matches (2 scored, 6 conceded). HJK Helsinki: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 6 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Coleraine FC and HJK Helsinki?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Coleraine FC, 1 for HJK Helsinki and 0 draws. The most recent ended HJK Helsinki 5-0 Coleraine FC (Jul 23, 2026).

What was the Coleraine FC vs HJK Helsinki result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Coleraine FC 0-3 HJK Helsinki. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Coleraine FC (51%), while victory for HJK Helsinki was rated at only 24%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.3%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.

How is the Coleraine FC vs HJK Helsinki prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.62 for Coleraine FC, 1.03 for HJK Helsinki) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

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