UEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, July 30, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
Coleraine FC vs HJK Helsinki: 0-3 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Coleraine FC 0-3 HJK Helsinki. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Coleraine FC (51%), while victory for HJK Helsinki was rated at only 24%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.3%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.
Match analysis
Coleraine FC vs HJK Helsinki was played on Thursday, July 30, 2026 (UEFA Conference League). Venue: Inver Park, Larne. Before kick-off, our model gave Coleraine FC a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and HJK Helsinki 24%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.8%), ahead of 1-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.5%).
Coleraine FC have won just one of their last 3 matches (1 draw, 1 defeat), scoring 2 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, HJK Helsinki have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 12 and conceding 6. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Coleraine FC score 0.67 and concede 2.00 goals per game; HJK Helsinki score 2.40 and concede 1.20.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Coleraine FC, 1 for HJK Helsinki and 0 draws. The most recent ended HJK Helsinki 5-0 Coleraine FC (Jul 23, 2026). In double chance terms, "Coleraine FC or draw" stands at 76%, "HJK Helsinki or draw" at 49% and "no draw" at 75%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Coleraine FC – HJK Helsinki. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Coleraine FC 1-1 HJK Helsinki | 11.8% |
| Coleraine FC 1-0 HJK Helsinki | 11.4% |
| Coleraine FC 2-1 HJK Helsinki | 9.5% |
| Coleraine FC 2-0 HJK Helsinki | 9.3% |
| Coleraine FC 0-1 HJK Helsinki | 7.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.65 goals in total (1.62 for Coleraine FC, 1.03 for HJK Helsinki): over 2.5 goals has a 49% probability and both teams to score 52%. Coleraine FC keep a clean sheet in 36% of scenarios, HJK Helsinki in 20%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Coleraine FC expected goals | 1.62 |
| HJK Helsinki expected goals | 1.03 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Coleraine FC clean sheet | 36% |
| HJK Helsinki clean sheet | 20% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Coleraine FC
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | HJK Helsinki · UEFA Conference League | 0-5 | L |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Limavady United · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Jul 4, 2026 | H&W Welders · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
HJK Helsinki
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | Coleraine FC · UEFA Conference League | 5-0 | W |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Djurgardens IF · Club Friendlies | 2-4 | L |
| Mar 21, 2026 | SJK · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Gnistan · Club Friendlies | 3-0 | W |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hammarby FF · Club Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | HJK Helsinki 5-0 Coleraine FC | UEFA Conference League |
Out and doubtful
Coleraine FC
No absences reported.
HJK Helsinki
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- GKS Katowice 3-1 ŽilinaJul 30, 2026
- Zrinjski 2-2 Valur ReykjavikJul 30, 2026
- Gent 0-0 LNZ CherkasyJul 30, 2026
- Austria Vienna 3-1 FK LiepajaJul 30, 2026
- Panathinaikos 2-2 PaksJul 30, 2026
- Koper 0-2 NSI RunavikJul 30, 2026
- Dinamo Tirana 3-0 AluminijJul 30, 2026
- Sutjeska 1-2 ML VitebskJul 30, 2026
- Hibernian 4-1 MalishevaJul 30, 2026
- SC Braga 4-0 Železničar PančevoJul 30, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Coleraine FC vs HJK Helsinki prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Coleraine FC a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and HJK Helsinki 24%. Coleraine FC are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-3.
What is the most likely correct score for Coleraine FC vs HJK Helsinki?
1-1 (11.8%), followed by 1-0 (11.4%), 2-1 (9.5%), 2-0 (9.3%) and 0-1 (7.3%).
Will both teams score in Coleraine FC vs HJK Helsinki?
The probability that both Coleraine FC and HJK Helsinki score is 52%. Coleraine FC have a 36% chance of keeping a clean sheet, HJK Helsinki 20%.
How many goals should we expect in Coleraine FC vs HJK Helsinki?
The model expects 2.65 goals (1.62 for Coleraine FC, 1.03 for HJK Helsinki). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is Coleraine FC vs HJK Helsinki played?
Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Inver Park, Larne.
What form are Coleraine FC and HJK Helsinki in?
Coleraine FC: 1 win, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 3 matches (2 scored, 6 conceded). HJK Helsinki: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 6 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Coleraine FC and HJK Helsinki?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Coleraine FC, 1 for HJK Helsinki and 0 draws. The most recent ended HJK Helsinki 5-0 Coleraine FC (Jul 23, 2026).
What was the Coleraine FC vs HJK Helsinki result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Coleraine FC 0-3 HJK Helsinki. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Coleraine FC (51%), while victory for HJK Helsinki was rated at only 24%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.3%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.
How is the Coleraine FC vs HJK Helsinki prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.62 for Coleraine FC, 1.03 for HJK Helsinki) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Coleraine FC predictions
- All HJK Helsinki predictions
- UEFA Conference League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology

