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UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, July 30, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)

Koper vs NSI Runavik: 0-2 result and AI prediction review

KoperKoper0 – 2NSI RunavikNSI Runavik

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-0

Final score: Koper 0-2 NSI Runavik (3-4 on penalties). The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Koper (67%), while victory for NSI Runavik was rated at only 14%. The model considered this score unlikely (3.4%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (50%): missed.

Match analysis

Koper and NSI Runavik met on Thursday, July 30, 2026, a UEFA Conference League fixture. Venue: Bonifika, Koper. Before kick-off, our model gave Koper a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and NSI Runavik 14%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (11.6%), followed by 1-1 (11.5%) and 2-0 (9.8%).

Over their last 5 matches, Koper have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 10 and conceding 8. Over their last 5 matches, NSI Runavik have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 9. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Koper score 2.00 and concede 1.60 goals per game; NSI Runavik score 1.40 and concede 1.80.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Koper, 0 for NSI Runavik and 0 draws. The most recent ended NSI Runavik 0-2 Koper (Jul 23, 2026). In double chance terms, "Koper or draw" stands at 86%, "NSI Runavik or draw" at 33% and "no draw" at 81%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

67%
Koper (Win)
19%
Draw
14%
NSI Runavik (Win)

Double chance

86%
Koper or draw
33%
NSI Runavik or draw
81%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Koper – NSI Runavik. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Koper 1-0 NSI Runavik11.6%
Koper 1-1 NSI Runavik11.5%
Koper 2-0 NSI Runavik9.8%
Koper 2-1 NSI Runavik9.7%
Koper 0-0 NSI Runavik6.9%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.69 expected goals for Koper and 0.99 for NSI Runavik, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 50% and "both teams to score" at 51%. Koper keep a clean sheet in 37% of scenarios, NSI Runavik in 19%.

Probability
Koper expected goals1.69
NSI Runavik expected goals0.99
Both teams to score51%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Koper clean sheet37%
NSI Runavik clean sheet19%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Koper

DateOpponentScore
Jul 23, 2026NSI Runavik · UEFA Conference League2-0W
Jul 8, 2026Dinamo Zagreb · Club Friendlies2-4L
Jul 5, 2026LNZ Cherkasy · Club Friendlies1-2L
Jul 2, 2026Corvinul Hunedoara · Club Friendlies1-0W
Jun 27, 2026Vllaznia Shkodër · Club Friendlies4-2W

NSI Runavik

DateOpponentScore
Jul 23, 2026Koper · UEFA Conference League0-2L
Jul 16, 2026Hamrun Spartans · UEFA Conference League2-1W
Jul 9, 2026Hamrun Spartans · UEFA Conference League1-1D
Jul 17, 2025HJK Helsinki · UEFA Conference League0-5L
Jul 10, 2025HJK Helsinki · UEFA Conference League4-0W

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 23, 2026NSI Runavik 0-2 KoperUEFA Conference League

Out and doubtful

Koper

No absences reported.

NSI Runavik

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Koper vs NSI Runavik prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Koper a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and NSI Runavik 14%. Koper are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-2.

What is the most likely correct score for Koper vs NSI Runavik?

1-0 (11.6%), followed by 1-1 (11.5%), 2-0 (9.8%), 2-1 (9.7%) and 0-0 (6.9%).

Will both teams score in Koper vs NSI Runavik?

The probability that both Koper and NSI Runavik score is 51%. Koper have a 37% chance of keeping a clean sheet, NSI Runavik 19%.

How many goals should we expect in Koper vs NSI Runavik?

The model expects 2.68 goals (1.69 for Koper, 0.99 for NSI Runavik). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.

When and where is Koper vs NSI Runavik played?

Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Bonifika, Koper.

What form are Koper and NSI Runavik in?

Koper: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 8 conceded). NSI Runavik: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 9 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Koper and NSI Runavik?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Koper, 0 for NSI Runavik and 0 draws. The most recent ended NSI Runavik 0-2 Koper (Jul 23, 2026).

What was the Koper vs NSI Runavik result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Koper 0-2 NSI Runavik (3-4 on penalties). The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Koper (67%), while victory for NSI Runavik was rated at only 14%. The model considered this score unlikely (3.4%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (50%): missed.

How is the Koper vs NSI Runavik prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.69 for Koper, 0.99 for NSI Runavik) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained