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UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, July 30, 2026, 19:30 (UK time)

Panathinaikos vs Paks: 2-2 result and AI prediction review

PanathinaikosPanathinaikos2 – 2PaksPaks

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-0

Final score: Panathinaikos 2-2 Paks. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Panathinaikos (75%), while a draw was rated at only 16%. The final score ranked 10th among the most likely scorelines (4.8%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): missed.

Match analysis

Panathinaikos vs Paks was played on Thursday, July 30, 2026 (UEFA Conference League). Venue: Olympic Stadium of Athens, Athens. Before kick-off, our model gave Panathinaikos a 75% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Paks 9%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (11.6%), ahead of 1-1 (11.6%) and 2-0 (9.7%).

Over their last 5 matches, Panathinaikos have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 6. Paks have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 9 and conceding 10. Recent momentum is clearly with Panathinaikos. On average Panathinaikos score 2.00 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Paks score 1.80 and concede 2.00.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Panathinaikos, 0 for Paks and 0 draws. The most recent ended Paks 1-2 Panathinaikos (Jul 23, 2026). In double chance terms, "Panathinaikos or draw" stands at 91%, "Paks or draw" at 25% and "no draw" at 84%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

75%
Panathinaikos (Win)
16%
Draw
9%
Paks (Win)

Double chance

91%
Panathinaikos or draw
25%
Paks or draw
84%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Panathinaikos – Paks. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Panathinaikos 1-0 Paks11.6%
Panathinaikos 1-1 Paks11.6%
Panathinaikos 2-0 Paks9.7%
Panathinaikos 2-1 Paks9.7%
Panathinaikos 0-0 Paks6.9%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.67 goals in total (1.67 for Panathinaikos, 1.00 for Paks): over 2.5 goals has a 50% probability and both teams to score 51%. Panathinaikos keep a clean sheet in 37% of scenarios, Paks in 19%.

Probability
Panathinaikos expected goals1.67
Paks expected goals1.00
Both teams to score51%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Panathinaikos clean sheet37%
Paks clean sheet19%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Panathinaikos

DateOpponentScore
Jul 23, 2026Paks · UEFA Conference League2-1W
Jul 4, 2026Ajax · Club Friendlies3-1W
Jul 1, 2026Helmond Sport · Club Friendlies4-0W
Mar 19, 2026Real Betis · UEFA Europa League0-4L
Mar 12, 2026Real Betis · UEFA Europa League1-0W

Paks

DateOpponentScore
Jul 23, 2026Panathinaikos · UEFA Conference League1-2L
Jul 11, 2026Kozarmisleny FC · Club Friendlies0-3L
Jul 8, 2026Maccabi Haifa · Club Friendlies3-3D
Jul 4, 2026NK Osijek · Club Friendlies4-0W
Jul 2, 2026Dundee · Club Friendlies1-2L

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 23, 2026Paks 1-2 PanathinaikosUEFA Conference League

Out and doubtful

Panathinaikos

No absences reported.

Paks

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Panathinaikos vs Paks prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Panathinaikos a 75% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Paks 9%. Panathinaikos are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-2.

What is the most likely correct score for Panathinaikos vs Paks?

1-0 (11.6%), followed by 1-1 (11.6%), 2-0 (9.7%), 2-1 (9.7%) and 0-0 (6.9%).

Will both teams score in Panathinaikos vs Paks?

The probability that both Panathinaikos and Paks score is 51%. Panathinaikos have a 37% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Paks 19%.

How many goals should we expect in Panathinaikos vs Paks?

The model expects 2.67 goals (1.67 for Panathinaikos, 1.00 for Paks). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.

When and where is Panathinaikos vs Paks played?

Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 19:30 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Olympic Stadium of Athens, Athens.

What form are Panathinaikos and Paks in?

Panathinaikos: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 6 conceded). Paks: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 10 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Panathinaikos and Paks?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Panathinaikos, 0 for Paks and 0 draws. The most recent ended Paks 1-2 Panathinaikos (Jul 23, 2026).

What was the Panathinaikos vs Paks result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Panathinaikos 2-2 Paks. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Panathinaikos (75%), while a draw was rated at only 16%. The final score ranked 10th among the most likely scorelines (4.8%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): missed.

How is the Panathinaikos vs Paks prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.67 for Panathinaikos, 1.00 for Paks) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained