UEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, July 23, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)
HJK Helsinki vs Coleraine FC: 5-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: HJK Helsinki 5-0 Coleraine FC. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for HJK Helsinki was the model's favourite outcome (48%). The model considered this score unlikely (0.5%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.
Match analysis
HJK Helsinki vs Coleraine FC was played on Thursday, July 23, 2026 (UEFA Conference League). Venue: Bolt Arena, Helsinki. Before kick-off, our model gave HJK Helsinki a 48% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Coleraine FC 27%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.1%), ahead of 1-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.3%).
Over their last 5 matches, HJK Helsinki have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Coleraine FC have won just one of their last 2 matches (1 draw, 0 defeats), scoring 2 and conceding 1. On average HJK Helsinki score 1.80 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Coleraine FC score 1.00 and concede 0.50.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between HJK Helsinki and Coleraine FC: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "HJK Helsinki or draw" stands at 73%, "Coleraine FC or draw" at 52% and "no draw" at 75%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as HJK Helsinki – Coleraine FC. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| HJK Helsinki 1-1 Coleraine FC | 12.1% |
| HJK Helsinki 1-0 Coleraine FC | 11.2% |
| HJK Helsinki 2-1 Coleraine FC | 9.3% |
| HJK Helsinki 2-0 Coleraine FC | 8.6% |
| HJK Helsinki 0-1 Coleraine FC | 7.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.62 goals in total (1.54 for HJK Helsinki, 1.08 for Coleraine FC): over 2.5 goals has a 49% probability and both teams to score 52%. HJK Helsinki keep a clean sheet in 34% of scenarios, Coleraine FC in 21%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| HJK Helsinki expected goals | 1.54 |
| Coleraine FC expected goals | 1.08 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% |
| HJK Helsinki clean sheet | 34% |
| Coleraine FC clean sheet | 21% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
HJK Helsinki
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026 | Djurgardens IF · Club Friendlies | 2-4 | L |
| Mar 21, 2026 | SJK · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Gnistan · Club Friendlies | 3-0 | W |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hammarby FF · Club Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
| Jul 31, 2025 | Arda Kardzhali · UEFA Conference League | 2-2 | D |
Coleraine FC
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 7, 2026 | Limavady United · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Jul 4, 2026 | H&W Welders · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between HJK Helsinki and Coleraine FC: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
HJK Helsinki
No absences reported.
Coleraine FC
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Panevėžys 1-1 FK Tobol KostanayJul 23, 2026
- Flora Tallinn 1-0 The New SaintsJul 23, 2026
- Dila 0-4 Apollon LimassolJul 23, 2026
- Paide 1-0 ZiraJul 23, 2026
- Debreceni VSC 1-0 Pyunik YerevanJul 23, 2026
- AEK Larnaca 0-1 Beitar JerusalemJul 23, 2026
- Rīgas FS 4-1 VestriJul 23, 2026
- Dunajska Streda 1-0 VeležJul 23, 2026
- Raków Częstochowa 3-1 Valletta FCJul 23, 2026
- Universitatea Cluj 2-2 BrannJul 23, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the HJK Helsinki vs Coleraine FC prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave HJK Helsinki a 48% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Coleraine FC 27%. HJK Helsinki are therefore favourites. Final score: 5-0.
What is the most likely correct score for HJK Helsinki vs Coleraine FC?
1-1 (12.1%), followed by 1-0 (11.2%), 2-1 (9.3%), 2-0 (8.6%) and 0-1 (7.9%).
Will both teams score in HJK Helsinki vs Coleraine FC?
The probability that both HJK Helsinki and Coleraine FC score is 52%. HJK Helsinki have a 34% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Coleraine FC 21%.
How many goals should we expect in HJK Helsinki vs Coleraine FC?
The model expects 2.62 goals (1.54 for HJK Helsinki, 1.08 for Coleraine FC). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.
When and where is HJK Helsinki vs Coleraine FC played?
Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Bolt Arena, Helsinki.
What form are HJK Helsinki and Coleraine FC in?
HJK Helsinki: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 8 conceded). Coleraine FC: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 2 matches (2 scored, 1 conceded).
What was the HJK Helsinki vs Coleraine FC result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: HJK Helsinki 5-0 Coleraine FC. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for HJK Helsinki was the model's favourite outcome (48%). The model considered this score unlikely (0.5%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.
How is the HJK Helsinki vs Coleraine FC prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.54 for HJK Helsinki, 1.08 for Coleraine FC) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All HJK Helsinki predictions
- All Coleraine FC predictions
- UEFA Conference League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology