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UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, July 23, 2026, 17:30 (UK time)

Dunajska Streda vs Velež: 1-0 result and AI prediction review

Dunajska StredaDunajska Streda1 – 0VeležVelež

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Dunajska Streda 1-0 Velež. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Dunajska Streda was the model's favourite outcome (78%). The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (11.5%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): correct.

Match analysis

Dunajska Streda vs Velež was played on Thursday, July 23, 2026 (UEFA Conference League). Venue: MOL Arena, Dunajska Streda. Before kick-off, our model gave Dunajska Streda a 78% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Velež 7%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.7%), ahead of 1-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.6%).

Over their last 5 matches, Dunajska Streda have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Velež are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 8 and conceding 3. Recent momentum is clearly with Velež. On average Dunajska Streda score 1.40 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Velež score 1.60 and concede 0.60.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Dunajska Streda and Velež: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Dunajska Streda or draw" stands at 93%, "Velež or draw" at 22% and "no draw" at 85%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

78%
Dunajska Streda (Win)
15%
Draw
7%
Velež (Win)

Double chance

93%
Dunajska Streda or draw
22%
Velež or draw
85%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Dunajska Streda – Velež. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Dunajska Streda 1-1 Velež11.7%
Dunajska Streda 1-0 Velež11.5%
Dunajska Streda 2-1 Velež9.6%
Dunajska Streda 2-0 Velež9.4%
Dunajska Streda 0-1 Velež7.1%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.66 goals in total (1.64 for Dunajska Streda, 1.02 for Velež): over 2.5 goals has a 50% probability and both teams to score 52%. Dunajska Streda keep a clean sheet in 36% of scenarios, Velež in 19%.

Probability
Dunajska Streda expected goals1.64
Velež expected goals1.02
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Dunajska Streda clean sheet36%
Velež clean sheet19%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Dunajska Streda

DateOpponentScore
Jul 17, 2026Bolton · Club Friendlies2-1W
Jul 8, 2026Austria Vienna · Club Friendlies1-1D
Jul 4, 2026Widzew Łódź · Club Friendlies0-0D
Jun 27, 2026TSC Backa Topola · Club Friendlies2-1W
Jun 20, 2026Šamorín · Club Friendlies2-3L

Velež

DateOpponentScore
Jul 16, 2026Milsami Orhei · UEFA Conference League1-0W
Jul 9, 2026Milsami Orhei · UEFA Conference League1-1D
Jan 29, 2026Posušje · Club Friendlies2-0W
Jan 17, 2026Vukovar · Club Friendlies2-1W
Jan 14, 2026NK Lokomotiva Zagreb · Club Friendlies2-1W

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Dunajska Streda and Velež: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Dunajska Streda

No absences reported.

Velež

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Dunajska Streda vs Velež prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Dunajska Streda a 78% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Velež 7%. Dunajska Streda are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Dunajska Streda vs Velež?

1-1 (11.7%), followed by 1-0 (11.5%), 2-1 (9.6%), 2-0 (9.4%) and 0-1 (7.1%).

Will both teams score in Dunajska Streda vs Velež?

The probability that both Dunajska Streda and Velež score is 52%. Dunajska Streda have a 36% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Velež 19%.

How many goals should we expect in Dunajska Streda vs Velež?

The model expects 2.66 goals (1.64 for Dunajska Streda, 1.02 for Velež). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.

When and where is Dunajska Streda vs Velež played?

Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 17:30 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: MOL Arena, Dunajska Streda.

What form are Dunajska Streda and Velež in?

Dunajska Streda: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 6 conceded). Velež: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 3 conceded).

What was the Dunajska Streda vs Velež result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Dunajska Streda 1-0 Velež. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Dunajska Streda was the model's favourite outcome (78%). The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (11.5%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): correct.

How is the Dunajska Streda vs Velež prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.64 for Dunajska Streda, 1.02 for Velež) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained