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UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, July 23, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)

Dinamo Tbilisi vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius: 3-0 result and AI prediction review

Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi3 – 0FK Zalgiris VilniusFK Zalgiris Vilnius

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Dinamo Tbilisi 3-0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Dinamo Tbilisi was the model's favourite outcome (45%). The final score ranked 10th among the most likely scorelines (4.5%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.

Match analysis

Dinamo Tbilisi vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius was played on Thursday, July 23, 2026 (UEFA Conference League). Venue: Mikheil Meskhi Stadium, Tbilisi. Before kick-off, our model gave Dinamo Tbilisi a 45% chance of winning, the draw 30% and FK Zalgiris Vilnius 26%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.1%), ahead of 1-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.4%).

Dinamo Tbilisi have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, FK Zalgiris Vilnius have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Recent momentum is clearly with FK Zalgiris Vilnius. On average Dinamo Tbilisi score 0.80 and concede 1.20 goals per game; FK Zalgiris Vilnius score 2.00 and concede 1.40.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Dinamo Tbilisi and FK Zalgiris Vilnius: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Dinamo Tbilisi or draw" stands at 74%, "FK Zalgiris Vilnius or draw" at 55% and "no draw" at 70%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

45%
Dinamo Tbilisi (Win)
30%
Draw
26%
FK Zalgiris Vilnius (Win)

Double chance

74%
Dinamo Tbilisi or draw
55%
FK Zalgiris Vilnius or draw
70%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Dinamo Tbilisi – FK Zalgiris Vilnius. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Dinamo Tbilisi 1-1 FK Zalgiris Vilnius12.1%
Dinamo Tbilisi 1-0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius11.2%
Dinamo Tbilisi 2-1 FK Zalgiris Vilnius9.4%
Dinamo Tbilisi 2-0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius8.7%
Dinamo Tbilisi 0-1 FK Zalgiris Vilnius7.8%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.63 goals in total (1.55 for Dinamo Tbilisi, 1.08 for FK Zalgiris Vilnius): over 2.5 goals has a 49% probability and both teams to score 52%. Dinamo Tbilisi keep a clean sheet in 34% of scenarios, FK Zalgiris Vilnius in 21%.

Probability
Dinamo Tbilisi expected goals1.55
FK Zalgiris Vilnius expected goals1.08
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Dinamo Tbilisi clean sheet34%
FK Zalgiris Vilnius clean sheet21%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Dinamo Tbilisi

DateOpponentScore
Jul 16, 2026US Mondorf-les-bains · UEFA Conference League1-1D
Jul 9, 2026US Mondorf-les-bains · UEFA Conference League2-1W
Feb 16, 2026Navbahor · Club Friendlies1-1D
Feb 13, 2026Veres Rivne · Club Friendlies0-2L
Feb 10, 2026Auda · Club Friendlies0-1L

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

DateOpponentScore
Jul 16, 2026Petrovac · UEFA Conference League2-1W
Jul 9, 2026Petrovac · UEFA Conference League3-1W
Feb 14, 2026Ogre United · Club Friendlies2-1W
Feb 8, 2026Hegelmann Litauen · Club Friendlies1-0W
Feb 4, 2026Rīgas FS · Club Friendlies2-4L

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Dinamo Tbilisi and FK Zalgiris Vilnius: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Dinamo Tbilisi

No absences reported.

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Dinamo Tbilisi vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Dinamo Tbilisi a 45% chance of winning, the draw 30% and FK Zalgiris Vilnius 26%. Dinamo Tbilisi are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 3-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Dinamo Tbilisi vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?

1-1 (12.1%), followed by 1-0 (11.2%), 2-1 (9.4%), 2-0 (8.7%) and 0-1 (7.8%).

Will both teams score in Dinamo Tbilisi vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?

The probability that both Dinamo Tbilisi and FK Zalgiris Vilnius score is 52%. Dinamo Tbilisi have a 34% chance of keeping a clean sheet, FK Zalgiris Vilnius 21%.

How many goals should we expect in Dinamo Tbilisi vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?

The model expects 2.63 goals (1.55 for Dinamo Tbilisi, 1.08 for FK Zalgiris Vilnius). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.

When and where is Dinamo Tbilisi vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius played?

Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Mikheil Meskhi Stadium, Tbilisi.

What form are Dinamo Tbilisi and FK Zalgiris Vilnius in?

Dinamo Tbilisi: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 6 conceded). FK Zalgiris Vilnius: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 7 conceded).

What was the Dinamo Tbilisi vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Dinamo Tbilisi 3-0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Dinamo Tbilisi was the model's favourite outcome (45%). The final score ranked 10th among the most likely scorelines (4.5%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.

How is the Dinamo Tbilisi vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.55 for Dinamo Tbilisi, 1.08 for FK Zalgiris Vilnius) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained