UEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, July 23, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)
FC Santa Coloma vs Rapid Vienna: 1-3 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: FC Santa Coloma 1-3 Rapid Vienna. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for FC Santa Coloma (67%), while victory for Rapid Vienna was rated at only 13%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.0%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (48%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (55%): correct.
Match analysis
FC Santa Coloma vs Rapid Vienna was played on Thursday, July 23, 2026 (UEFA Conference League). Venue: Estadi Nacional, Andorra la Vella. Before kick-off, our model gave FC Santa Coloma a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Rapid Vienna 13%. The most likely correct score is 2-0 (12.1%), ahead of 1-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.7%).
Over their last 5 matches, FC Santa Coloma have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Rapid Vienna are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 14 and conceding 7. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average FC Santa Coloma score 1.40 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Rapid Vienna score 2.80 and concede 1.40.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between FC Santa Coloma and Rapid Vienna: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "FC Santa Coloma or draw" stands at 87%, "Rapid Vienna or draw" at 33% and "no draw" at 80%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as FC Santa Coloma – Rapid Vienna. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (12.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| FC Santa Coloma 2-0 Rapid Vienna | 12.1% |
| FC Santa Coloma 1-0 Rapid Vienna | 11.7% |
| FC Santa Coloma 2-1 Rapid Vienna | 9.7% |
| FC Santa Coloma 1-1 Rapid Vienna | 9.3% |
| FC Santa Coloma 3-0 Rapid Vienna | 8.4% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.88 goals in total (2.08 for FC Santa Coloma, 0.80 for Rapid Vienna): over 2.5 goals has a 55% probability and both teams to score 48%. FC Santa Coloma keep a clean sheet in 45% of scenarios, Rapid Vienna in 13%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| FC Santa Coloma expected goals | 2.08 |
| Rapid Vienna expected goals | 0.80 |
| Both teams to score | 48% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% |
| FC Santa Coloma clean sheet | 45% |
| Rapid Vienna clean sheet | 13% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
FC Santa Coloma
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2026 | Penybont · UEFA Conference League | 3-0 | W |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Penybont · UEFA Conference League | 1-0 | W |
| Jul 31, 2025 | Polessya · UEFA Conference League | 1-4 | L |
| Jul 24, 2025 | Polessya · UEFA Conference League | 2-1 | W |
| Jul 17, 2025 | Borac Banja Luka · UEFA Conference League | 0-2 | L |
Rapid Vienna
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Hamburger SV · Club Friendlies | 3-2 | W |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Rapid · Club Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Pardubice · Club Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Floridsdorfer AC · Club Friendlies | 4-1 | W |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Mura · Club Friendlies | 5-2 | W |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between FC Santa Coloma and Rapid Vienna: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
FC Santa Coloma
No absences reported.
Rapid Vienna
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- AEK Larnaca 0-1 Beitar JerusalemJul 23, 2026
- Rīgas FS 4-1 VestriJul 23, 2026
- Dunajska Streda 1-0 VeležJul 23, 2026
- Universitatea Cluj 2-2 BrannJul 23, 2026
- ML Vitebsk 3-0 SutjeskaJul 23, 2026
- Zimbru 1-1 FC NoahJul 23, 2026
- Dinamo Tbilisi 3-0 FK Zalgiris VilniusJul 23, 2026
- Gais 1-0 FC NordsjaellandJul 23, 2026
- Bate Borisov 1-1 FC SionJul 23, 2026
- FC Vaduz 4-0 Atlètic Club d'EscaldesJul 23, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the FC Santa Coloma vs Rapid Vienna prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave FC Santa Coloma a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Rapid Vienna 13%. FC Santa Coloma are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-3.
What is the most likely correct score for FC Santa Coloma vs Rapid Vienna?
2-0 (12.1%), followed by 1-0 (11.7%), 2-1 (9.7%), 1-1 (9.3%) and 3-0 (8.4%).
Will both teams score in FC Santa Coloma vs Rapid Vienna?
The probability that both FC Santa Coloma and Rapid Vienna score is 48%. FC Santa Coloma have a 45% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Rapid Vienna 13%.
How many goals should we expect in FC Santa Coloma vs Rapid Vienna?
The model expects 2.88 goals (2.08 for FC Santa Coloma, 0.80 for Rapid Vienna). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 78%, over 2.5 goals 55%, over 3.5 goals 33%.
When and where is FC Santa Coloma vs Rapid Vienna played?
Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Estadi Nacional, Andorra la Vella.
What form are FC Santa Coloma and Rapid Vienna in?
FC Santa Coloma: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 7 conceded). Rapid Vienna: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (14 scored, 7 conceded).
What was the FC Santa Coloma vs Rapid Vienna result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: FC Santa Coloma 1-3 Rapid Vienna. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for FC Santa Coloma (67%), while victory for Rapid Vienna was rated at only 13%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.0%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (48%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (55%): correct.
How is the FC Santa Coloma vs Rapid Vienna prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.08 for FC Santa Coloma, 0.80 for Rapid Vienna) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All FC Santa Coloma predictions
- All Rapid Vienna predictions
- UEFA Conference League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology

