UEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, July 23, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)
Zimbru vs FC Noah: 1-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Zimbru 1-1 FC Noah. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Zimbru (49%), while a draw was rated at only 25%. The exact score 1-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (12.0%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.
Match analysis
Zimbru vs FC Noah was played on Thursday, July 23, 2026 (UEFA Conference League). Venue: Stadionul Zimbru, Chisinau. Before kick-off, our model gave Zimbru a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FC Noah 26%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.0%), ahead of 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.4%).
Zimbru have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 8 and conceding 12. FC Noah have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 8. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Zimbru score 1.60 and concede 2.40 goals per game; FC Noah score 0.80 and concede 1.60.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Zimbru and FC Noah: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Zimbru or draw" stands at 74%, "FC Noah or draw" at 51% and "no draw" at 75%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Zimbru – FC Noah. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Zimbru 1-1 FC Noah | 12.0% |
| Zimbru 1-0 FC Noah | 11.3% |
| Zimbru 2-1 FC Noah | 9.4% |
| Zimbru 2-0 FC Noah | 8.9% |
| Zimbru 0-1 FC Noah | 7.6% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.63 goals in total (1.57 for Zimbru, 1.06 for FC Noah): over 2.5 goals has a 49% probability and both teams to score 52%. Zimbru keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, FC Noah in 21%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Zimbru expected goals | 1.57 |
| FC Noah expected goals | 1.06 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% |
| Zimbru clean sheet | 35% |
| FC Noah clean sheet | 21% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Zimbru
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv · Club Friendlies | 3-5 | L |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Esbjerg · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris · Club Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Zemplín Michalovce · Club Friendlies | 3-2 | W |
| Jul 31, 2025 | FC Astana · UEFA Conference League | 0-2 | L |
FC Noah
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 7, 2026 | CFR 1907 Cluj · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Mura · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Aluminij · Club Friendlies | 2-0 | W |
| Jun 23, 2026 | Koper · Club Friendlies | 0-2 | L |
| Feb 26, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar · UEFA Conference League | 0-4 | L |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Zimbru and FC Noah: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Zimbru
No absences reported.
FC Noah
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- AEK Larnaca 0-1 Beitar JerusalemJul 23, 2026
- Rīgas FS 4-1 VestriJul 23, 2026
- Dunajska Streda 1-0 VeležJul 23, 2026
- Universitatea Cluj 2-2 BrannJul 23, 2026
- ML Vitebsk 3-0 SutjeskaJul 23, 2026
- Dinamo Tbilisi 3-0 FK Zalgiris VilniusJul 23, 2026
- FC Santa Coloma 1-3 Rapid ViennaJul 23, 2026
- Gais 1-0 FC NordsjaellandJul 23, 2026
- Bate Borisov 1-1 FC SionJul 23, 2026
- FC Vaduz 4-0 Atlètic Club d'EscaldesJul 23, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Zimbru vs FC Noah prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Zimbru a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FC Noah 26%. Zimbru are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Zimbru vs FC Noah?
1-1 (12.0%), followed by 1-0 (11.3%), 2-1 (9.4%), 2-0 (8.9%) and 0-1 (7.6%).
Will both teams score in Zimbru vs FC Noah?
The probability that both Zimbru and FC Noah score is 52%. Zimbru have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, FC Noah 21%.
How many goals should we expect in Zimbru vs FC Noah?
The model expects 2.63 goals (1.57 for Zimbru, 1.06 for FC Noah). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.
When and where is Zimbru vs FC Noah played?
Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Stadionul Zimbru, Chisinau.
What form are Zimbru and FC Noah in?
Zimbru: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 12 conceded). FC Noah: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 8 conceded).
What was the Zimbru vs FC Noah result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Zimbru 1-1 FC Noah. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Zimbru (49%), while a draw was rated at only 25%. The exact score 1-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (12.0%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.
How is the Zimbru vs FC Noah prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.57 for Zimbru, 1.06 for FC Noah) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Zimbru predictions
- All FC Noah predictions
- UEFA Conference League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology