UEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, July 23, 2026, 17:30 (UK time)
Raków Częstochowa vs Valletta FC: 3-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Raków Częstochowa 3-1 Valletta FC. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Raków Częstochowa at 64%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (6.5%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (49%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (54%): correct.
Match analysis
Raków Częstochowa and Valletta FC met on Thursday, July 23, 2026, a UEFA Conference League fixture. Venue: Miejski Stadion Pilkarski Rakow, Czestochowa. Before kick-off, our model gave Raków Częstochowa a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Valletta FC 15%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (11.7%), followed by 2-0 (11.6%) and 1-1 (10.0%).
Over their last 5 matches, Raków Częstochowa have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 10 and conceding 9.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Raków Częstochowa and Valletta FC: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Raków Częstochowa or draw" stands at 85%, "Valletta FC or draw" at 36% and "no draw" at 79%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Raków Częstochowa – Valletta FC. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Raków Częstochowa 1-0 Valletta FC | 11.7% |
| Raków Częstochowa 2-0 Valletta FC | 11.6% |
| Raków Częstochowa 1-1 Valletta FC | 10.0% |
| Raków Częstochowa 2-1 Valletta FC | 9.8% |
| Raków Częstochowa 3-0 Valletta FC | 7.6% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.97 expected goals for Raków Częstochowa and 0.85 for Valletta FC, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 54% and "both teams to score" at 49%. Raków Częstochowa keep a clean sheet in 43% of scenarios, Valletta FC in 14%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Raków Częstochowa expected goals | 1.97 |
| Valletta FC expected goals | 0.85 |
| Both teams to score | 49% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% |
| Raków Częstochowa clean sheet | 43% |
| Valletta FC clean sheet | 14% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Raków Częstochowa
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven · Club Friendlies | 2-3 | L |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus · Club Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Zulte Waregem · Club Friendlies | 3-4 | L |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice · Club Friendlies | 2-0 | W |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Piast Gliwice · Club Friendlies | 2-0 | W |
Valletta FC
No recent match in our data.
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raków Częstochowa | 2 | 14 | 6 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Raków Częstochowa and Valletta FC: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Raków Częstochowa
No absences reported.
Valletta FC
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Flora Tallinn 1-0 The New SaintsJul 23, 2026
- Dila 0-4 Apollon LimassolJul 23, 2026
- AEK Larnaca 0-1 Beitar JerusalemJul 23, 2026
- Rīgas FS 4-1 VestriJul 23, 2026
- Dunajska Streda 1-0 VeležJul 23, 2026
- Universitatea Cluj 2-2 BrannJul 23, 2026
- ML Vitebsk 3-0 SutjeskaJul 23, 2026
- Zimbru 1-1 FC NoahJul 23, 2026
- Dinamo Tbilisi 3-0 FK Zalgiris VilniusJul 23, 2026
- FC Santa Coloma 1-3 Rapid ViennaJul 23, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Raków Częstochowa vs Valletta FC prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Raków Częstochowa a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Valletta FC 15%. Raków Częstochowa are therefore favourites. Final score: 3-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Raków Częstochowa vs Valletta FC?
1-0 (11.7%), followed by 2-0 (11.6%), 1-1 (10.0%), 2-1 (9.8%) and 3-0 (7.6%).
Will both teams score in Raków Częstochowa vs Valletta FC?
The probability that both Raków Częstochowa and Valletta FC score is 49%. Raków Częstochowa have a 43% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Valletta FC 14%.
How many goals should we expect in Raków Częstochowa vs Valletta FC?
The model expects 2.82 goals (1.97 for Raków Częstochowa, 0.85 for Valletta FC). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 77%, over 2.5 goals 54%, over 3.5 goals 31%.
When and where is Raków Częstochowa vs Valletta FC played?
Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 17:30 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Miejski Stadion Pilkarski Rakow, Czestochowa.
What was the Raków Częstochowa vs Valletta FC result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Raków Częstochowa 3-1 Valletta FC. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Raków Częstochowa at 64%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (6.5%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (49%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (54%): correct.
How is the Raków Częstochowa vs Valletta FC prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.97 for Raków Częstochowa, 0.85 for Valletta FC) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Raków Częstochowa predictions
- All Valletta FC predictions
- UEFA Conference League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology