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UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, July 30, 2026, 18:30 (UK time)

The New Saints vs Flora Tallinn: 1-0 result and AI prediction review

The New SaintsThe New Saints1 – 0Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: The New Saints 1-0 Flora Tallinn (2-4 on penalties). The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for The New Saints at 49%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (11.3%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.

Match analysis

The New Saints and Flora Tallinn met on Thursday, July 30, 2026, a UEFA Conference League fixture. Venue: Park Hall, Oswestry. Before kick-off, our model gave The New Saints a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Flora Tallinn 26%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.0%), followed by 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.4%).

The New Saints have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, Flora Tallinn have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 9. Both sides come in with similar form. On average The New Saints score 0.80 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Flora Tallinn score 1.60 and concede 1.80.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for The New Saints, 1 for Flora Tallinn and 0 draws. The most recent ended Flora Tallinn 1-0 The New Saints (Jul 23, 2026). In double chance terms, "The New Saints or draw" stands at 74%, "Flora Tallinn or draw" at 51% and "no draw" at 75%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

49%
The New Saints (Win)
25%
Draw
26%
Flora Tallinn (Win)

Double chance

74%
The New Saints or draw
51%
Flora Tallinn or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as The New Saints – Flora Tallinn. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
The New Saints 1-1 Flora Tallinn12.0%
The New Saints 1-0 Flora Tallinn11.3%
The New Saints 2-1 Flora Tallinn9.4%
The New Saints 2-0 Flora Tallinn8.9%
The New Saints 0-1 Flora Tallinn7.6%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.57 expected goals for The New Saints and 1.06 for Flora Tallinn, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 49% and "both teams to score" at 52%. The New Saints keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, Flora Tallinn in 21%.

Probability
The New Saints expected goals1.57
Flora Tallinn expected goals1.06
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
The New Saints clean sheet35%
Flora Tallinn clean sheet21%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

The New Saints

DateOpponentScore
Jul 23, 2026Flora Tallinn · UEFA Conference League0-1L
Jul 14, 2026Sabah FA · UEFA Champions League1-2L
Jul 7, 2026Sabah FA · UEFA Champions League0-2L
Jun 26, 2026H&W Welders · Club Friendlies2-1W
Jun 24, 2026Glentoran · Club Friendlies1-1D

Flora Tallinn

DateOpponentScore
Jul 23, 2026The New Saints · UEFA Conference League1-0W
Jul 14, 2026Saburtalo · UEFA Champions League2-2D
Jul 8, 2026Saburtalo · UEFA Champions League2-3L
Feb 24, 2026Riga · Club Friendlies0-3L
Feb 20, 2026Paide · Club Friendlies3-1W

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 23, 2026Flora Tallinn 1-0 The New SaintsUEFA Conference League

Out and doubtful

The New Saints

No absences reported.

Flora Tallinn

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the The New Saints vs Flora Tallinn prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave The New Saints a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Flora Tallinn 26%. The New Saints are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-0.

What is the most likely correct score for The New Saints vs Flora Tallinn?

1-1 (12.0%), followed by 1-0 (11.3%), 2-1 (9.4%), 2-0 (8.9%) and 0-1 (7.6%).

Will both teams score in The New Saints vs Flora Tallinn?

The probability that both The New Saints and Flora Tallinn score is 52%. The New Saints have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Flora Tallinn 21%.

How many goals should we expect in The New Saints vs Flora Tallinn?

The model expects 2.63 goals (1.57 for The New Saints, 1.06 for Flora Tallinn). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.

When and where is The New Saints vs Flora Tallinn played?

Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 18:30 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Park Hall, Oswestry.

What form are The New Saints and Flora Tallinn in?

The New Saints: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 7 conceded). Flora Tallinn: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 9 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between The New Saints and Flora Tallinn?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for The New Saints, 1 for Flora Tallinn and 0 draws. The most recent ended Flora Tallinn 1-0 The New Saints (Jul 23, 2026).

What was the The New Saints vs Flora Tallinn result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: The New Saints 1-0 Flora Tallinn (2-4 on penalties). The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for The New Saints at 49%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (11.3%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.

How is the The New Saints vs Flora Tallinn prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.57 for The New Saints, 1.06 for Flora Tallinn) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

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Key terms explained