UEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, July 30, 2026, 19:00 (UK time)
Ajax vs Vojvodina: 4-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Ajax 4-1 Vojvodina. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Ajax at 73%. The final score ranked 9th among the most likely scorelines (4.1%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (47%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (58%): correct.
Match analysis
Ajax and Vojvodina met on Thursday, July 30, 2026, a UEFA Conference League fixture. Venue: Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam. Before kick-off, our model gave Ajax a 73% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Vojvodina 10%. On the correct score, 2-0 comes out on top (12.8%), followed by 1-0 (11.2%) and 3-0 (9.8%).
Ajax are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 9 and conceding 3. Vojvodina have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 10. Ajax therefore arrive in far better shape than Vojvodina. On average Ajax score 1.80 and concede 0.60 goals per game; Vojvodina score 1.20 and concede 2.00.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Ajax, 0 for Vojvodina and 0 draws. The most recent ended Vojvodina 1-4 Ajax (Jul 23, 2026). In double chance terms, "Ajax or draw" stands at 90%, "Vojvodina or draw" at 27% and "no draw" at 83%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Ajax – Vojvodina. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (12.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Ajax 2-0 Vojvodina | 12.8% |
| Ajax 1-0 Vojvodina | 11.2% |
| Ajax 3-0 Vojvodina | 9.8% |
| Ajax 2-1 Vojvodina | 9.3% |
| Ajax 1-1 Vojvodina | 8.2% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 2.29 expected goals for Ajax and 0.73 for Vojvodina, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 58% and "both teams to score" at 47%. Goals look likely in this one. Ajax keep a clean sheet in 48% of scenarios, Vojvodina in 10%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Ajax expected goals | 2.29 |
| Vojvodina expected goals | 0.73 |
| Both teams to score | 47% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% |
| Ajax clean sheet | 48% |
| Vojvodina clean sheet | 10% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Ajax
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Burnley · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Vojvodina · UEFA Conference League | 4-1 | W |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Jul 15, 2026 | VfL Bochum · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Jul 10, 2026 | AEK Larnaca · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
Vojvodina
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | Ajax · UEFA Conference League | 1-4 | L |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC · UEFA Europa League | 0-3 | L |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC · UEFA Europa League | 1-2 | L |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Universitatea Cluj · Club Friendlies | 3-0 | W |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | Vojvodina 1-4 Ajax | UEFA Conference League |
Out and doubtful
Ajax
No absences reported.
Vojvodina
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Beitar Jerusalem 2-3 AEK LarnacaJul 30, 2026
- Valletta FC 0-4 Raków CzęstochowaJul 30, 2026
- Vestri 1-1 Rīgas FSJul 30, 2026
- Ballkani 3-2 BohemiansJul 30, 2026
- Shkendija 3-1 BravoJul 30, 2026
- Ludogorets 2-2 Hapoel Tel AvivJul 30, 2026
- FC Sion 4-0 Bate BorisovJul 30, 2026
- UNA Strassen 0-1 FK PartizanJul 30, 2026
- GKS Katowice 3-1 ŽilinaJul 30, 2026
- Zrinjski 2-2 Valur ReykjavikJul 30, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Ajax vs Vojvodina prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Ajax a 73% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Vojvodina 10%. Ajax are therefore favourites. Final score: 4-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Ajax vs Vojvodina?
2-0 (12.8%), followed by 1-0 (11.2%), 3-0 (9.8%), 2-1 (9.3%) and 1-1 (8.2%).
Will both teams score in Ajax vs Vojvodina?
The probability that both Ajax and Vojvodina score is 47%. Ajax have a 48% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Vojvodina 10%.
How many goals should we expect in Ajax vs Vojvodina?
The model expects 3.02 goals (2.29 for Ajax, 0.73 for Vojvodina). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 80%, over 2.5 goals 58%, over 3.5 goals 36%.
When and where is Ajax vs Vojvodina played?
Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam.
What form are Ajax and Vojvodina in?
Ajax: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 3 conceded). Vojvodina: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 10 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Ajax and Vojvodina?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Ajax, 0 for Vojvodina and 0 draws. The most recent ended Vojvodina 1-4 Ajax (Jul 23, 2026).
What was the Ajax vs Vojvodina result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Ajax 4-1 Vojvodina. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Ajax at 73%. The final score ranked 9th among the most likely scorelines (4.1%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (47%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (58%): correct.
How is the Ajax vs Vojvodina prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.29 for Ajax, 0.73 for Vojvodina) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Ajax predictions
- All Vojvodina predictions
- UEFA Conference League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology