UEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, July 30, 2026, 19:00 (UK time)
Ballkani vs Bohemians: 3-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Ballkani 3-2 Bohemians (4-5 on penalties). The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Ballkani at 45%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.5%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): missed.
Match analysis
Ballkani and Bohemians met on Thursday, July 30, 2026, a UEFA Conference League fixture. Venue: Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri, Pristina. Before kick-off, our model gave Ballkani a 45% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Bohemians 29%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.3%), followed by 1-0 (11.0%) and 2-1 (9.1%).
Ballkani have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 10. Bohemians are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 10 and conceding 4. Bohemians therefore arrive in far better shape than Ballkani. On average Ballkani score 0.80 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Bohemians score 2.00 and concede 0.80.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Ballkani, 1 for Bohemians and 0 draws. The most recent ended Bohemians 2-1 Ballkani (Jul 22, 2026). In double chance terms, "Ballkani or draw" stands at 71%, "Bohemians or draw" at 55% and "no draw" at 74%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Ballkani – Bohemians. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.3%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Ballkani 1-1 Bohemians | 12.3% |
| Ballkani 1-0 Bohemians | 11.0% |
| Ballkani 2-1 Bohemians | 9.1% |
| Ballkani 0-1 Bohemians | 8.2% |
| Ballkani 2-0 Bohemians | 8.2% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.49 expected goals for Ballkani and 1.12 for Bohemians, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 48% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Ballkani keep a clean sheet in 33% of scenarios, Bohemians in 23%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Ballkani expected goals | 1.49 |
| Bohemians expected goals | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% |
| Ballkani clean sheet | 33% |
| Bohemians clean sheet | 23% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Ballkani
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | Bohemians · UEFA Conference League | 1-2 | L |
| Jul 16, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC · UEFA Conference League | 3-2 | W |
| Jul 8, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC · UEFA Conference League | 0-0 | D |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Sileks · Club Friendlies | 0-4 | L |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv · Club Friendlies | 0-2 | L |
Bohemians
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | Ballkani · UEFA Conference League | 2-1 | W |
| Jul 16, 2026 | St Joseph S Fc · UEFA Conference League | 0-0 | D |
| Jul 9, 2026 | St Joseph S Fc · UEFA Conference League | 2-0 | W |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Waterford · Club Friendlies | 4-1 | W |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Shelbourne · Club Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | Bohemians 2-1 Ballkani | UEFA Conference League |
Out and doubtful
Ballkani
No absences reported.
Bohemians
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Beitar Jerusalem 2-3 AEK LarnacaJul 30, 2026
- Valletta FC 0-4 Raków CzęstochowaJul 30, 2026
- Vestri 1-1 Rīgas FSJul 30, 2026
- Ajax 4-1 VojvodinaJul 30, 2026
- Shkendija 3-1 BravoJul 30, 2026
- Ludogorets 2-2 Hapoel Tel AvivJul 30, 2026
- FC Sion 4-0 Bate BorisovJul 30, 2026
- UNA Strassen 0-1 FK PartizanJul 30, 2026
- GKS Katowice 3-1 ŽilinaJul 30, 2026
- Zrinjski 2-2 Valur ReykjavikJul 30, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Ballkani vs Bohemians prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Ballkani a 45% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Bohemians 29%. Ballkani are therefore favourites. Final score: 3-2.
What is the most likely correct score for Ballkani vs Bohemians?
1-1 (12.3%), followed by 1-0 (11.0%), 2-1 (9.1%), 0-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (8.2%).
Will both teams score in Ballkani vs Bohemians?
The probability that both Ballkani and Bohemians score is 52%. Ballkani have a 33% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Bohemians 23%.
How many goals should we expect in Ballkani vs Bohemians?
The model expects 2.61 goals (1.49 for Ballkani, 1.12 for Bohemians). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 27%.
When and where is Ballkani vs Bohemians played?
Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri, Pristina.
What form are Ballkani and Bohemians in?
Ballkani: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 10 conceded). Bohemians: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 4 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Ballkani and Bohemians?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Ballkani, 1 for Bohemians and 0 draws. The most recent ended Bohemians 2-1 Ballkani (Jul 22, 2026).
What was the Ballkani vs Bohemians result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Ballkani 3-2 Bohemians (4-5 on penalties). The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Ballkani at 45%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.5%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): missed.
How is the Ballkani vs Bohemians prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.49 for Ballkani, 1.12 for Bohemians) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Ballkani predictions
- All Bohemians predictions
- UEFA Conference League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology