AFCON 2027 Qualifiers· Kick-off : Friday, September 25, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Algeria vs Zambia prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
AFCON 2027 Qualifiers: Algeria vs Zambia kicks off on Friday, September 25, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time). Venue: Hocine Ait Ahmed Stadium, Kabylia. The edge goes to Algeria (59%), ahead of the draw (24%) and a Zambia win (17%). The most likely correct score is 1-0 (14.4%), ahead of 2-0 (12.0%) and 1-1 (11.2%).
Over their last 5 matches, Algeria have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 9. Zambia have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 1 and conceding 11. Recent momentum is clearly with Algeria. On average Algeria score 1.80 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Zambia score 0.20 and concede 2.20.
In the last 4 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Algeria, 2 for Zambia and 1 draw. The most recent ended Zambia 3-3 Algeria (Mar 25, 2021). In double chance terms, "Algeria or draw" stands at 83%, "Zambia or draw" at 41% and "no draw" at 76%.
In short : Algeria are favourites for this Algeria v Zambia, with a 59% win probability from our model. On recent form, Algeria have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Zambia have 0 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Algeria – Zambia. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (14.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 56% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Algeria 1-0 Zambia | 14.4% |
| Algeria 2-0 Zambia | 12.0% |
| Algeria 1-1 Zambia | 11.2% |
| Algeria 2-1 Zambia | 9.4% |
| Algeria 0-0 Zambia | 8.6% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.45 goals in total (1.67 for Algeria, 0.78 for Zambia): over 2.5 goals has a 44% probability and both teams to score 44%. Algeria keep a clean sheet in 46% of scenarios, Zambia in 19%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Algeria expected goals | 1.67 |
| Zambia expected goals | 0.78 |
| Both teams to score | 44% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% |
| Algeria clean sheet | 46% |
| Zambia clean sheet | 19% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Algeria
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 2026 | Switzerland · FIFA World Cup | 0-2 | L |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Austria · FIFA World Cup | 3-3 | D |
| Jun 23, 2026 | Jordan · FIFA World Cup | 2-1 | W |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Argentina · FIFA World Cup | 0-3 | L |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Bolivia · International Friendlies | 4-0 | W |
Zambia
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2026 | Argentina · International Friendlies | 0-5 | L |
| Dec 29, 2025 | Morocco · Africa Cup of Nations | 0-3 | L |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Comoros · Africa Cup of Nations | 0-0 | D |
| Dec 22, 2025 | Mali · Africa Cup of Nations | 1-1 | D |
| Dec 16, 2025 | DR Congo · International Friendlies | 0-2 | L |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2021 | Zambia 3-3 Algeria | AFCON 2027 Qualifiers |
| Nov 14, 2019 | Algeria 5-0 Zambia | AFCON 2027 Qualifiers |
| Sep 5, 2017 | Algeria 0-1 Zambia | World Cup Qualifiers (Africa) |
| Sep 2, 2017 | Zambia 3-1 Algeria | World Cup Qualifiers (Africa) |
Out and doubtful
Algeria
No absences reported.
Zambia
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Algeria
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Mandi5/5
- I. Maza5/5
- F. Chaibi4/5
- N. Bentaleb4/5
- R. Ait-Nouri4/5
- R. Belghali4/5
- R. Bensebaini4/5
- R. Mahrez4/5
- A. Gouiri3/5
- H. Boudaoui3/5
- L. Zidane3/5
Zambia
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- D. Chanda4/5
- W. Mwanza4/5
- B. Sakala3/5
- F. Sakala3/5
- K. Kangwa3/5
- L. Musonda3/5
- M. Banda3/5
- P. Daka3/5
- D. Simukonda2/5
- L. Banda2/5
- M. Chaiwa2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
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- Togo 1-0 BurundiSep 25, 2026
- Nigeria 2-1 MadagascarSep 25, 2026
- Gambia 2-1 SomaliaSep 25, 2026
- Sudan 1-0 EthiopiaSep 25, 2026
- Rwanda 3-1 LiberiaSep 25, 2026
- Mali – Cape VerdeSep 25, 2026
- Egypt – AngolaSep 25, 2026
- Burkina Faso – BeninSep 25, 2026
- Morocco – GabonSep 25, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Algeria vs Zambia prediction?
Our AI gives Algeria a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Zambia 17%. Algeria are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Algeria vs Zambia?
1-0 (14.4%), followed by 2-0 (12.0%), 1-1 (11.2%), 2-1 (9.4%) and 0-0 (8.6%).
Will both teams score in Algeria vs Zambia?
The probability that both Algeria and Zambia score is 44%. Algeria have a 46% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Zambia 19%.
How many goals should we expect in Algeria vs Zambia?
The model expects 2.45 goals (1.67 for Algeria, 0.78 for Zambia). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 70%, over 2.5 goals 44%, over 3.5 goals 23%.
When and where is Algeria vs Zambia played?
Friday, September 25, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), AFCON 2027 Qualifiers. Venue: Hocine Ait Ahmed Stadium, Kabylia.
What form are Algeria and Zambia in?
Algeria: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 9 conceded). Zambia: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (1 scored, 11 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Algeria and Zambia?
In the last 4 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Algeria, 2 for Zambia and 1 draw. The most recent ended Zambia 3-3 Algeria (Mar 25, 2021).
How is the Algeria vs Zambia prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.67 for Algeria, 0.78 for Zambia) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Algeria predictions
- All Zambia predictions
- AFCON 2027 Qualifiers predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology