AFCON 2027 Qualifiers· Kick-off : Monday, September 28, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Botswana vs Tunisia prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
AFCON 2027 Qualifiers: the Botswana vs Tunisia match is scheduled on Monday, September 28, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time). The edge goes to Botswana (56%), ahead of the draw (32%) and a Tunisia win (12%). The most likely correct score is 1-0 (24.5%), ahead of 0-0 (20.8%) and 2-0 (14.5%).
Botswana have not won any of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 4 defeats), scoring 2 and conceding 10. Tunisia have not won any of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 4 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 18. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Botswana score 0.40 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Tunisia score 0.60 and concede 3.60.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Botswana and Tunisia: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Botswana or draw" stands at 88%, "Tunisia or draw" at 44% and "no draw" at 68%.
In short : Botswana are favourites for this Botswana v Tunisia, with a 56% win probability from our model. On recent form, Botswana are struggling (4 losses in 5) while Tunisia are struggling (4 losses in 5). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Botswana – Tunisia. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (24.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 77% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Botswana 1-0 Tunisia | 24.5% |
| Botswana 0-0 Tunisia | 20.8% |
| Botswana 2-0 Tunisia | 14.5% |
| Botswana 1-1 Tunisia | 9.6% |
| Botswana 0-1 Tunisia | 8.1% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 1.57 goals in total (1.18 for Botswana, 0.39 for Tunisia): over 2.5 goals has a 21% probability and both teams to score 22%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Botswana keep a clean sheet in 68% of scenarios, Tunisia in 31%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Botswana expected goals | 1.18 |
| Tunisia expected goals | 0.39 |
| Both teams to score | 22% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 47% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 21% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 8% |
| Botswana clean sheet | 68% |
| Tunisia clean sheet | 31% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Botswana
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2025 | Congo DR · Africa Cup of Nations | 0-3 | L |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Benin · Africa Cup of Nations | 0-1 | L |
| Dec 23, 2025 | Senegal · Africa Cup of Nations | 0-3 | L |
| Oct 14, 2025 | Guinea · World Cup Qualifiers (Africa) | 2-2 | D |
| Oct 9, 2025 | Uganda · World Cup Qualifiers (Africa) | 0-1 | L |
Tunisia
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2026 | Uganda · AFCON 2027 Qualifiers | 1-1 | D |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Netherlands · FIFA World Cup | 1-3 | L |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Japan · FIFA World Cup | 0-4 | L |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Sweden · FIFA World Cup | 1-5 | L |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Belgium · International Friendlies | 0-5 | L |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Botswana and Tunisia: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Botswana
No absences reported.
Tunisia
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Tunisia
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- E. Skhiri4/4
- M. Talbi4/4
- A. Abdi3/4
- A. Slimane3/4
- H. Mejbri3/4
- M. Ben Hamida3/4
- O. Rekik3/4
- Y. Valery3/4
- A. Chamakh2/4
- A. Dahmen2/4
- E. Saad2/4
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Botswana vs Tunisia prediction?
Our AI gives Botswana a 56% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Tunisia 12%. Botswana are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Botswana vs Tunisia?
1-0 (24.5%), followed by 0-0 (20.8%), 2-0 (14.5%), 1-1 (9.6%) and 0-1 (8.1%).
Will both teams score in Botswana vs Tunisia?
The probability that both Botswana and Tunisia score is 22%. Botswana have a 68% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Tunisia 31%.
How many goals should we expect in Botswana vs Tunisia?
The model expects 1.57 goals (1.18 for Botswana, 0.39 for Tunisia). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 47%, over 2.5 goals 21%, over 3.5 goals 8%.
When and where is Botswana vs Tunisia played?
Monday, September 28, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), AFCON 2027 Qualifiers.
What form are Botswana and Tunisia in?
Botswana: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (2 scored, 10 conceded). Tunisia: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 18 conceded).
How is the Botswana vs Tunisia prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.18 for Botswana, 0.39 for Tunisia) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Botswana predictions
- All Tunisia predictions
- AFCON 2027 Qualifiers predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology