AFCON 2027 Qualifiers· Kick-off : Tuesday, September 29, 2026, 14:00 (UK time)
Mozambique vs Sudan prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
AFCON 2027 Qualifiers: Mozambique vs Sudan kicks off on Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time). The edge goes to Mozambique (51%), ahead of the draw (25%) and a Sudan win (24%). The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.8%), ahead of 1-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.5%).
Mozambique have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 13. Sudan have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 11. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Mozambique score 1.00 and concede 2.60 goals per game; Sudan score 0.60 and concede 2.20.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Mozambique and Sudan: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Mozambique or draw" stands at 76%, "Sudan or draw" at 49% and "no draw" at 75%.
In short : Mozambique are tipped by our AI model in this Mozambique v Sudan (51%). On recent form, Mozambique are struggling (4 losses in 5) while Sudan are struggling (4 losses in 5). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Mozambique – Sudan. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Mozambique 1-1 Sudan | 11.8% |
| Mozambique 1-0 Sudan | 11.4% |
| Mozambique 2-1 Sudan | 9.5% |
| Mozambique 2-0 Sudan | 9.3% |
| Mozambique 0-1 Sudan | 7.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.65 goals in total (1.62 for Mozambique, 1.03 for Sudan): over 2.5 goals has a 49% probability and both teams to score 52%. Mozambique keep a clean sheet in 36% of scenarios, Sudan in 20%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Mozambique expected goals | 1.62 |
| Sudan expected goals | 1.03 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Mozambique clean sheet | 36% |
| Sudan clean sheet | 20% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Mozambique
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Indonesia · International Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Oman · International Friendlies | 1-4 | L |
| Jan 5, 2026 | Nigeria · Africa Cup of Nations | 0-4 | L |
| Dec 31, 2025 | Cameroon · Africa Cup of Nations | 1-2 | L |
| Dec 28, 2025 | Gabon · Africa Cup of Nations | 3-2 | W |
Sudan
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | Senegal · Africa Cup of Nations | 1-3 | L |
| Dec 31, 2025 | Burkina Faso · Africa Cup of Nations | 0-2 | L |
| Dec 28, 2025 | Equatorial Guinea · Africa Cup of Nations | 1-0 | W |
| Dec 24, 2025 | Algeria · Africa Cup of Nations | 0-3 | L |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Bahrain · Arab Cup | 1-3 | L |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Mozambique and Sudan: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Mozambique
No absences reported.
Sudan
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Mozambique
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Diogo Calila3/5
- Domingues3/5
- E. Dove3/5
- G. Catamo3/5
- Nanani3/5
- A. Amade2/5
- B. Langa2/5
- D. Antonio2/5
- E. Siluane2/5
- F. Bangal2/5
- Guima2/5
Sudan
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Taifour4/5
- M. Karshom4/5
- A. Abdallah3/5
- A. Omer3/5
- B. Khamis3/5
- M. Abdelrahman3/5
- M. Eisa3/5
- M. Elneel3/5
- M. Saeed Ahmed3/5
- W. Khidir3/5
- Y. Awad3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Mozambique vs Sudan prediction?
Our AI gives Mozambique a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sudan 24%. Mozambique are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Mozambique vs Sudan?
1-1 (11.8%), followed by 1-0 (11.4%), 2-1 (9.5%), 2-0 (9.3%) and 0-1 (7.3%).
Will both teams score in Mozambique vs Sudan?
The probability that both Mozambique and Sudan score is 52%. Mozambique have a 36% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Sudan 20%.
How many goals should we expect in Mozambique vs Sudan?
The model expects 2.65 goals (1.62 for Mozambique, 1.03 for Sudan). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is Mozambique vs Sudan played?
Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time), AFCON 2027 Qualifiers.
What form are Mozambique and Sudan in?
Mozambique: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 13 conceded). Sudan: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 11 conceded).
How is the Mozambique vs Sudan prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.62 for Mozambique, 1.03 for Sudan) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Mozambique predictions
- All Sudan predictions
- AFCON 2027 Qualifiers predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology