AFCON 2027 Qualifiers· Kick-off : Tuesday, September 29, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)
Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
AFCON 2027 Qualifiers: the Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria match is scheduled on Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time). It is a tight call: 35% for Guinea-Bissau, 27% for the draw and 38% for Nigeria. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.6%), followed by 0-1 (10.0%) and 1-0 (9.5%).
Guinea-Bissau have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 8. Over their last 5 matches, Nigeria have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 6. Nigeria therefore arrive in far better shape than Guinea-Bissau. On average Guinea-Bissau score 0.60 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Nigeria score 2.00 and concede 1.20.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Guinea-Bissau and Nigeria: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Guinea-Bissau or draw" stands at 62%, "Nigeria or draw" at 65% and "no draw" at 73%.
In short : An evenly-matched game between Guinea-Bissau and Nigeria: our model sees no clear favourite. On recent form, Guinea-Bissau have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in 5 while Nigeria have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in 5. Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 53%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Guinea-Bissau – Nigeria. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 48% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Guinea-Bissau 1-1 Nigeria | 12.6% |
| Guinea-Bissau 0-1 Nigeria | 10.0% |
| Guinea-Bissau 1-0 Nigeria | 9.5% |
| Guinea-Bissau 1-2 Nigeria | 8.4% |
| Guinea-Bissau 2-1 Nigeria | 7.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.26 expected goals for Guinea-Bissau and 1.33 for Nigeria, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 48% and "both teams to score" at 53%. Guinea-Bissau keep a clean sheet in 26% of scenarios, Nigeria in 28%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Guinea-Bissau expected goals | 1.26 |
| Nigeria expected goals | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | 53% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% |
| Guinea-Bissau clean sheet | 26% |
| Nigeria clean sheet | 28% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Guinea-Bissau
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Burkina Faso · International Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Burkina Faso · International Friendlies | 0-5 | L |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Egypt · World Cup Qualifiers (Africa) | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Ethiopia · World Cup Qualifiers (Africa) | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 8, 2025 | Djibouti · World Cup Qualifiers (Africa) | 2-0 | W |
Nigeria
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2026 | Portugal · International Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Poland · International Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
| May 30, 2026 | Jamaica · International Friendlies | 3-0 | W |
| May 26, 2026 | Zimbabwe · International Friendlies | 2-0 | W |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Jordan · International Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Guinea-Bissau and Nigeria: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Guinea-Bissau
No absences reported.
Nigeria
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Guinea-Bissau
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- M. Balde5/4
- M. Rodrigues4/4
- Bura3/4
- F. Cande3/4
- R. Nhaga3/4
- S. Mane3/4
- Beto2/4
- Dalcio2/4
- lano Imbene2/4
- O. Sangante2/4
- T. Monteiro2/4
Nigeria
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- I. Ogbu4/5
- T. Nnadi4/5
- A. Adams3/5
- M. Simon3/5
- T. Moffi3/5
- A. Okonkwo2/5
- B. Onyemaechi2/5
- C. Nwaiwu2/5
- C. Oputa2/5
- E. Fernandez2/5
- F. Azeez2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria prediction?
Our AI gives Guinea-Bissau a 35% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Nigeria 38%. Nigeria are therefore slight favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria?
1-1 (12.6%), followed by 0-1 (10.0%), 1-0 (9.5%), 1-2 (8.4%) and 2-1 (7.9%).
Will both teams score in Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria?
The probability that both Guinea-Bissau and Nigeria score is 53%. Guinea-Bissau have a 26% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Nigeria 28%.
How many goals should we expect in Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria?
The model expects 2.59 goals (1.26 for Guinea-Bissau, 1.33 for Nigeria). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 73%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 26%.
When and where is Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria played?
Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), AFCON 2027 Qualifiers.
What form are Guinea-Bissau and Nigeria in?
Guinea-Bissau: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 8 conceded). Nigeria: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 6 conceded).
How is the Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.26 for Guinea-Bissau, 1.33 for Nigeria) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Guinea-Bissau predictions
- All Nigeria predictions
- AFCON 2027 Qualifiers predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology