AFCON 2027 Qualifiers· Kick-off : Tuesday, September 29, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Somalia vs Ivory Coast prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Somalia take on Ivory Coast on Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), a AFCON 2027 Qualifiers fixture. Venue: Accra Sports Stadium, Accra. Ivory Coast start as favourites with a 58% chance of victory; Somalia are given 20% and the draw 22%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (10.4%), followed by 0-1 (10.1%) and 1-2 (9.9%).
Somalia have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 2 and conceding 2. Over their last 5 matches, Ivory Coast have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 4. Ivory Coast therefore arrive in far better shape than Somalia. On average Somalia score 0.40 and concede 0.40 goals per game; Ivory Coast score 1.40 and concede 0.80.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Somalia and Ivory Coast: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Somalia or draw" stands at 42%, "Ivory Coast or draw" at 80% and "no draw" at 78%.
In short : Ivory Coast are tipped by our AI model in this Somalia v Ivory Coast (58%). On recent form, Somalia have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss in 5 while Ivory Coast have 3 wins, 0 draw and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Somalia – Ivory Coast. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (10.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 46% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Somalia 1-1 Ivory Coast | 10.4% |
| Somalia 0-1 Ivory Coast | 10.1% |
| Somalia 1-2 Ivory Coast | 9.9% |
| Somalia 0-2 Ivory Coast | 9.6% |
| Somalia 1-3 Ivory Coast | 6.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.03 expected goals for Somalia and 1.91 for Ivory Coast, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 56% and "both teams to score" at 55%. Somalia keep a clean sheet in 15% of scenarios, Ivory Coast in 36%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Somalia expected goals | 1.03 |
| Ivory Coast expected goals | 1.91 |
| Both teams to score | 55% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% |
| Somalia clean sheet | 15% |
| Ivory Coast clean sheet | 36% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Somalia
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | Gambia · AFCON 2027 Qualifiers | 1-2 | L |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Mauritius · AFCON 2027 Qualifiers | 0-0 | D |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Mauritius · AFCON 2027 Qualifiers | 0-0 | D |
| Nov 26, 2025 | Oman · Arab Cup | 0-0 | D |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Bahrain · International Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
Ivory Coast
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2026 | Ghana · AFCON 2027 Qualifiers | 2-0 | W |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Norway · FIFA World Cup | 1-2 | L |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Curaçao · FIFA World Cup | 2-0 | W |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Germany · FIFA World Cup | 1-2 | L |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Ecuador · FIFA World Cup | 1-0 | W |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Somalia and Ivory Coast: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Somalia
No absences reported.
Ivory Coast
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Somalia
Starts over the last 2 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Abdullahi3/2
- A. Omar2/2
- A. Sharif2/2
- A. Abdullahi Abdulle1/2
- A. Gigli1/2
- A. Musse1/2
- A. Sabriye1/2
- Abel Gigli Mohamed1/2
- B. Njie1/2
- C. C. Maxamed1/2
- Faysal Omar1/2
Ivory Coast
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Y. Diomande5/5
- Y. Fofana5/5
- A. Bonny4/5
- F. Kessie4/5
- G. Konan4/5
- E. Agbadou3/5
- G. Doue3/5
- I. Sangare3/5
- N. Pepe3/5
- O. Kossounou3/5
- A. Diallo2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
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- Guinea-Bissau – NigeriaSep 29, 2026
- Ghana – GambiaSep 29, 2026
- Cape Verde – RwandaSep 29, 2026
- Benin – MauritaniaSep 29, 2026
- Liberia – MaliSep 29, 2026
- Gabon – NigerSep 29, 2026
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Somalia vs Ivory Coast prediction?
Our AI gives Somalia a 20% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ivory Coast 58%. Ivory Coast are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Somalia vs Ivory Coast?
1-1 (10.4%), followed by 0-1 (10.1%), 1-2 (9.9%), 0-2 (9.6%) and 1-3 (6.3%).
Will both teams score in Somalia vs Ivory Coast?
The probability that both Somalia and Ivory Coast score is 55%. Somalia have a 15% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Ivory Coast 36%.
How many goals should we expect in Somalia vs Ivory Coast?
The model expects 2.94 goals (1.03 for Somalia, 1.91 for Ivory Coast). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 79%, over 2.5 goals 56%, over 3.5 goals 34%.
When and where is Somalia vs Ivory Coast played?
Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), AFCON 2027 Qualifiers. Venue: Accra Sports Stadium, Accra.
What form are Somalia and Ivory Coast in?
Somalia: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (2 scored, 2 conceded). Ivory Coast: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 4 conceded).
How is the Somalia vs Ivory Coast prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.03 for Somalia, 1.91 for Ivory Coast) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Somalia predictions
- All Ivory Coast predictions
- AFCON 2027 Qualifiers predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology