AFCON 2027 Qualifiers· Kick-off : Tuesday, September 29, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Gabon vs Niger: 2-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Gabon 2-0 Niger. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Gabon at 61%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (14.7%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (32%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (33%): correct.
Match analysis
Gabon and Niger met on Tuesday, September 29, 2026, a AFCON 2027 Qualifiers fixture. Venue: Stade de Franceville, Franceville. Before kick-off, our model gave Gabon a 61% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Niger 13%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (19.8%), followed by 2-0 (14.7%) and 0-0 (13.3%).
Gabon have not won any of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 4 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 13. Niger have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 4. Niger therefore arrive in far better shape than Gabon. On average Gabon score 1.40 and concede 2.60 goals per game; Niger score 0.60 and concede 0.80. In the table, Gabon sit 3rd with 0 points from 1 games, Niger 2nd with 3 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Gabon, 1 for Niger and 0 draws. The most recent ended Gabon 3-4 Niger (Jun 6, 2025). In double chance terms, "Gabon or draw" stands at 87%, "Niger or draw" at 39% and "no draw" at 74%.
In short : Our model backs Gabon to edge Niger (61% probability). On recent form, Gabon are struggling (4 losses in 5) while Niger have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in 5. The model leans towards a tight, low-scoring game.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Gabon – Niger. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (19.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 66% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Gabon 1-0 Niger | 19.8% |
| Gabon 2-0 Niger | 14.7% |
| Gabon 0-0 Niger | 13.3% |
| Gabon 1-1 Niger | 10.5% |
| Gabon 2-1 Niger | 7.8% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.49 expected goals for Gabon and 0.53 for Niger, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 33% and "both teams to score" at 32%. Few goals are expected here. Gabon keep a clean sheet in 59% of scenarios, Niger in 23%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Gabon expected goals | 1.49 |
| Niger expected goals | 0.53 |
| Both teams to score | 32% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 15% |
| Gabon clean sheet | 59% |
| Niger clean sheet | 23% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Gabon
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | Morocco · AFCON 2027 Qualifiers | 0-2 | L |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Trinidad & Tobago · FIFA Series | 2-2 | D |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Uzbekistan · FIFA Series | 1-3 | L |
| Dec 31, 2025 | Ivory Coast · Africa Cup of Nations | 2-3 | L |
| Dec 28, 2025 | Mozambique · Africa Cup of Nations | 2-3 | L |
Niger
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | Lesotho · AFCON 2027 Qualifiers | 2-1 | W |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Mauritania · International Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Benin · International Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Togo · International Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Libya · International Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gabon | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Niger | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2025 | Gabon 3-4 Niger | International Friendlies |
Out and doubtful
Gabon
No absences reported.
Niger
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Gabon
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- D. Ndong5/5
- G. Kanga5/5
- S. Babicka4/5
- D. Bouanga3/5
- F. Bekale3/5
- J. Oyono3/5
- M. Onfia3/5
- T. Averlant3/5
- U. Mboula3/5
- A. Oyono2/5
- A. Poko2/5
Niger
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Camara4/4
- O. Badamassi4/4
- O. Sako4/4
- R. Alhassane4/4
- M. Tanja3/4
- Y. Oumarou3/4
- A. Sabo2/4
- D. Sosah2/4
- H. Adamou2/4
- K. Boureima2/4
- V. Adebayor2/4
Other matches in this competition
- Madagascar 1-1 TanzaniaSep 29, 2026
- Zambia 2-0 TogoSep 29, 2026
- Uganda 1-0 LibyaSep 29, 2026
- Guinea-Bissau 3-0 NigeriaSep 29, 2026
- Ghana 2-4 GambiaSep 29, 2026
- Cape Verde 1-2 RwandaSep 29, 2026
- Somalia 0-2 Ivory CoastSep 29, 2026
- Liberia 0-1 MaliSep 29, 2026
- Benin 2-1 MauritaniaSep 29, 2026
- Congo 1-1 CameroonSep 29, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Gabon vs Niger prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Gabon a 61% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Niger 13%. Gabon are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Gabon vs Niger?
1-0 (19.8%), followed by 2-0 (14.7%), 0-0 (13.3%), 1-1 (10.5%) and 2-1 (7.8%).
Will both teams score in Gabon vs Niger?
The probability that both Gabon and Niger score is 32%. Gabon have a 59% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Niger 23%.
How many goals should we expect in Gabon vs Niger?
The model expects 2.02 goals (1.49 for Gabon, 0.53 for Niger). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 60%, over 2.5 goals 33%, over 3.5 goals 15%.
When and where is Gabon vs Niger played?
Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), AFCON 2027 Qualifiers. Venue: Stade de Franceville, Franceville.
What form are Gabon and Niger in?
Gabon: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 13 conceded). Niger: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 4 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Gabon and Niger?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Gabon, 1 for Niger and 0 draws. The most recent ended Gabon 3-4 Niger (Jun 6, 2025).
What was the Gabon vs Niger result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Gabon 2-0 Niger. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Gabon at 61%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (14.7%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (32%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (33%): correct.
How is the Gabon vs Niger prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.49 for Gabon, 0.53 for Niger) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Gabon predictions
- All Niger predictions
- AFCON 2027 Qualifiers predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology