AFCON 2027 Qualifiers· Kick-off : Tuesday, September 29, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Gabon vs Niger prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
AFCON 2027 Qualifiers: the Gabon vs Niger match is scheduled on Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time). Venue: Stade de Franceville, Franceville. Gabon start as favourites with a 57% chance of victory; Niger are given 20% and the draw 23%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (11.7%), followed by 1-1 (11.0%) and 2-0 (10.4%).
Gabon have not won any of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 4 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 12. Niger have not won any of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 2 and conceding 4. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Gabon score 1.40 and concede 2.40 goals per game; Niger score 0.40 and concede 0.80.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Gabon and Niger: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Gabon or draw" stands at 80%, "Niger or draw" at 43% and "no draw" at 77%.
In short : Our model backs Gabon to edge Niger (57% probability). On recent form, Gabon are struggling (4 losses in 5) while Niger have 0 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in 5. Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 51%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Gabon – Niger. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Gabon 1-0 Niger | 11.7% |
| Gabon 1-1 Niger | 11.0% |
| Gabon 2-0 Niger | 10.4% |
| Gabon 2-1 Niger | 9.8% |
| Gabon 0-0 Niger | 6.6% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.78 expected goals for Gabon and 0.94 for Niger, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 51% and "both teams to score" at 51%. Gabon keep a clean sheet in 39% of scenarios, Niger in 17%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Gabon expected goals | 1.78 |
| Niger expected goals | 0.94 |
| Both teams to score | 51% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% |
| Gabon clean sheet | 39% |
| Niger clean sheet | 17% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Gabon
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | Trinidad & Tobago · FIFA Series | 2-2 | D |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Uzbekistan · FIFA Series | 1-3 | L |
| Dec 31, 2025 | Ivory Coast · Africa Cup of Nations | 2-3 | L |
| Dec 28, 2025 | Mozambique · Africa Cup of Nations | 2-3 | L |
| Dec 24, 2025 | Cameroon · Africa Cup of Nations | 0-1 | L |
Niger
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 8, 2026 | Mauritania · International Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Benin · International Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Togo · International Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Libya · International Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Guinea · International Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Gabon and Niger: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Gabon
No absences reported.
Niger
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Gabon
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- D. Ndong5/5
- G. Kanga4/5
- T. Averlant4/5
- A. Poko3/5
- D. Bouanga3/5
- F. Bekale3/5
- J. Ekomie3/5
- J. Oyono3/5
- M. Onfia3/5
- S. Babicka3/5
- A. Moucketou-Moussounda2/5
Niger
Starts over the last 3 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Camara2/3
- A. Sabo2/3
- K. Boureima2/3
- M. Tanja2/3
- O. Badamassi2/3
- O. Sako2/3
- R. Alhassane2/3
- V. Adebayor2/3
- Y. Oumarou2/3
- Abdel Rahim1/3
- Aboubacar Camara1/3
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Gabon vs Niger prediction?
Our AI gives Gabon a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Niger 20%. Gabon are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Gabon vs Niger?
1-0 (11.7%), followed by 1-1 (11.0%), 2-0 (10.4%), 2-1 (9.8%) and 0-0 (6.6%).
Will both teams score in Gabon vs Niger?
The probability that both Gabon and Niger score is 51%. Gabon have a 39% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Niger 17%.
How many goals should we expect in Gabon vs Niger?
The model expects 2.72 goals (1.78 for Gabon, 0.94 for Niger). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 76%, over 2.5 goals 51%, over 3.5 goals 29%.
When and where is Gabon vs Niger played?
Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), AFCON 2027 Qualifiers. Venue: Stade de Franceville, Franceville.
What form are Gabon and Niger in?
Gabon: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 12 conceded). Niger: 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (2 scored, 4 conceded).
How is the Gabon vs Niger prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.78 for Gabon, 0.94 for Niger) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Gabon predictions
- All Niger predictions
- AFCON 2027 Qualifiers predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology