AFCON 2027 Qualifiers· Kick-off : Tuesday, September 29, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Congo vs Cameroon: 1-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Congo 1-1 Cameroon. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Cameroon (60%), while a draw was rated at only 26%. The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (10.8%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (34%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (34%): correct.
Match analysis
Congo and Cameroon met on Tuesday, September 29, 2026, a AFCON 2027 Qualifiers fixture. Venue: Stade Alphonse Massamba Debat, Brazzaville. Before kick-off, our model gave Congo a 14% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Cameroon 60%. On the correct score, 0-1 comes out on top (18.9%), followed by 0-2 (14.2%) and 0-0 (12.6%).
Congo have not won any of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 4 defeats), scoring 2 and conceding 8. Over their last 5 matches, Cameroon have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Cameroon therefore arrive in far better shape than Congo. On average Congo score 0.40 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Cameroon score 1.40 and concede 1.00. In the table, Congo sit 4th with 0 points from 1 games, Cameroon 1st with 3 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Congo, 2 for Cameroon and 2 draws. The most recent ended Cameroon 1-0 Congo (Jan 16, 2023). In double chance terms, "Congo or draw" stands at 40%, "Cameroon or draw" at 86% and "no draw" at 74%.
In short : Our model backs Cameroon to edge Congo (60% probability). On recent form, Congo are struggling (4 losses in 5) while Cameroon have 3 wins, 0 draw and 2 losses in 5. The model leans towards a tight, low-scoring game.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Congo – Cameroon. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (18.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 65% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Congo 0-1 Cameroon | 18.9% |
| Congo 0-2 Cameroon | 14.2% |
| Congo 0-0 Cameroon | 12.6% |
| Congo 1-1 Cameroon | 10.8% |
| Congo 1-2 Cameroon | 8.1% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 0.57 expected goals for Congo and 1.50 for Cameroon, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 34% and "both teams to score" at 34%. Few goals are expected here. Congo keep a clean sheet in 22% of scenarios, Cameroon in 57%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Congo expected goals | 0.57 |
| Cameroon expected goals | 1.50 |
| Both teams to score | 34% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 61% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 34% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 16% |
| Congo clean sheet | 22% |
| Cameroon clean sheet | 57% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Congo
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2026 | Namibia · AFCON 2027 Qualifiers | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 14, 2025 | Morocco · World Cup Qualifiers (Africa) | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Niger · World Cup Qualifiers (Africa) | 1-3 | L |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Tanzania · World Cup Qualifiers (Africa) | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Nigeria · African Nations Championship | 0-2 | L |
Cameroon
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2026 | Comoros · AFCON 2027 Qualifiers | 3-1 | W |
| Mar 31, 2026 | China · FIFA Series | 2-0 | W |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Australia · FIFA Series | 0-1 | L |
| Jan 9, 2026 | Morocco · Africa Cup of Nations | 0-2 | L |
| Jan 4, 2026 | South Africa · Africa Cup of Nations | 2-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Congo | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| Cameroon | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2023 | Cameroon 1-0 Congo | African Nations Championship |
| Feb 20, 2020 | Congo 1-1 Cameroon | International Friendlies |
| Jan 16, 2018 | Cameroon 0-1 Congo | African Nations Championship |
| Oct 31, 2015 | Congo 0-1 Cameroon | African Nations Championship |
| Oct 18, 2015 | Cameroon 0-0 Congo | African Nations Championship |
Out and doubtful
Congo
No absences reported.
Cameroon
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Congo
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- D. Moussavou4/5
- B. Itoua3/5
- C. Atipo3/5
- C. Makosso3/5
- D. Bassinga3/5
- G. Nongo3/5
- J. Kapaya3/5
- I. Loemba2/5
- J. B. Mbemba Kambamba2/5
- M. Ndockyt2/5
- P. Ndinga2/5
Cameroon
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Avom4/5
- D. Namaso4/5
- S. Kotto4/5
- B. Mbeumo3/5
- C. Kofane3/5
- C. Malone Junior3/5
- D. Epassy3/5
- M. Nagida3/5
- C. Baleba2/5
- D. Yongwa2/5
- J. Tchamadeu2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Madagascar 1-1 TanzaniaSep 29, 2026
- Zambia 2-0 TogoSep 29, 2026
- Uganda 1-0 LibyaSep 29, 2026
- Guinea-Bissau 3-0 NigeriaSep 29, 2026
- Ghana 2-4 GambiaSep 29, 2026
- Cape Verde 1-2 RwandaSep 29, 2026
- Somalia 0-2 Ivory CoastSep 29, 2026
- Liberia 0-1 MaliSep 29, 2026
- Benin 2-1 MauritaniaSep 29, 2026
- Gabon 2-0 NigerSep 29, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Congo vs Cameroon prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Congo a 14% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Cameroon 60%. Cameroon are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Congo vs Cameroon?
0-1 (18.9%), followed by 0-2 (14.2%), 0-0 (12.6%), 1-1 (10.8%) and 1-2 (8.1%).
Will both teams score in Congo vs Cameroon?
The probability that both Congo and Cameroon score is 34%. Congo have a 22% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Cameroon 57%.
How many goals should we expect in Congo vs Cameroon?
The model expects 2.07 goals (0.57 for Congo, 1.50 for Cameroon). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 61%, over 2.5 goals 34%, over 3.5 goals 16%.
When and where is Congo vs Cameroon played?
Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), AFCON 2027 Qualifiers. Venue: Stade Alphonse Massamba Debat, Brazzaville.
What form are Congo and Cameroon in?
Congo: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (2 scored, 8 conceded). Cameroon: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 5 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Congo and Cameroon?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Congo, 2 for Cameroon and 2 draws. The most recent ended Cameroon 1-0 Congo (Jan 16, 2023).
What was the Congo vs Cameroon result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Congo 1-1 Cameroon. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Cameroon (60%), while a draw was rated at only 26%. The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (10.8%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (34%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (34%): correct.
How is the Congo vs Cameroon prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.57 for Congo, 1.50 for Cameroon) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Congo predictions
- All Cameroon predictions
- AFCON 2027 Qualifiers predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology