AFCON 2027 Qualifiers· Kick-off : Tuesday, September 29, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)
Benin vs Mauritania prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
AFCON 2027 Qualifiers: Benin vs Mauritania kicks off on Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time). Venue: Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara, Abidjan. The edge goes to Benin (53%), ahead of the draw (24%) and a Mauritania win (23%). The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.6%), ahead of 1-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.6%).
Over their last 5 matches, Benin have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 9. Mauritania have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 2 and conceding 6. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Benin score 1.00 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Mauritania score 0.40 and concede 1.20.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Benin and Mauritania: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Benin or draw" stands at 77%, "Mauritania or draw" at 47% and "no draw" at 76%.
In short : Benin are favourites for this Benin v Mauritania, with a 53% win probability from our model. On recent form, Benin have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Mauritania have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Benin – Mauritania. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Benin 1-1 Mauritania | 11.6% |
| Benin 1-0 Mauritania | 11.5% |
| Benin 2-1 Mauritania | 9.6% |
| Benin 2-0 Mauritania | 9.5% |
| Benin 0-1 Mauritania | 7.0% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.67 goals in total (1.66 for Benin, 1.01 for Mauritania): over 2.5 goals has a 50% probability and both teams to score 52%. Benin keep a clean sheet in 36% of scenarios, Mauritania in 19%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Benin expected goals | 1.66 |
| Mauritania expected goals | 1.01 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Benin clean sheet | 36% |
| Mauritania clean sheet | 19% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Benin
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Togo · International Friendlies | 1-5 | L |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Niger · International Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Guinea · International Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Liberia · International Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Jan 5, 2026 | Egypt · Africa Cup of Nations | 1-3 | L |
Mauritania
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2025 | Kuwait · Arab Cup | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 14, 2025 | Senegal · World Cup Qualifiers (Africa) | 0-4 | L |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Sudan · World Cup Qualifiers (Africa) | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 9, 2025 | South Sudan · World Cup Qualifiers (Africa) | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Togo · World Cup Qualifiers (Africa) | 2-0 | W |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Benin and Mauritania: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Benin
No absences reported.
Mauritania
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Benin
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- H. Imourane5/5
- M. Dandjinou5/5
- M. Tijani5/5
- A. Samadou4/5
- F. Santos4/5
- C. Azongnitode3/5
- D. Dodo3/5
- J. Olaitan3/5
- T. Ouorou3/5
- Y. Roche3/5
- L. Omore2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Benin vs Mauritania prediction?
Our AI gives Benin a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mauritania 23%. Benin are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Benin vs Mauritania?
1-1 (11.6%), followed by 1-0 (11.5%), 2-1 (9.6%), 2-0 (9.5%) and 0-1 (7.0%).
Will both teams score in Benin vs Mauritania?
The probability that both Benin and Mauritania score is 52%. Benin have a 36% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Mauritania 19%.
How many goals should we expect in Benin vs Mauritania?
The model expects 2.67 goals (1.66 for Benin, 1.01 for Mauritania). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is Benin vs Mauritania played?
Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), AFCON 2027 Qualifiers. Venue: Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara, Abidjan.
What form are Benin and Mauritania in?
Benin: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 9 conceded). Mauritania: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (2 scored, 6 conceded).
How is the Benin vs Mauritania prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.66 for Benin, 1.01 for Mauritania) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Benin predictions
- All Mauritania predictions
- AFCON 2027 Qualifiers predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology