AFCON 2027 Qualifiers· Kick-off : Tuesday, September 29, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)
Cape Verde vs Rwanda prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Cape Verde take on Rwanda on Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), a AFCON 2027 Qualifiers fixture. It is a tight call: 32% for Cape Verde, 33% for the draw and 35% for Rwanda. On the correct score, 0-0 comes out on top (15.9%), followed by 0-1 (15.1%) and 1-0 (14.1%).
Cape Verde have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 7 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, Rwanda have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 4. Rwanda therefore arrive in far better shape than Cape Verde. On average Cape Verde score 1.40 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Rwanda score 1.40 and concede 0.80.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Cape Verde and Rwanda: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Cape Verde or draw" stands at 65%, "Rwanda or draw" at 68% and "no draw" at 67%.
In short : An evenly-matched game between Cape Verde and Rwanda: our model sees no clear favourite. On recent form, Cape Verde have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss in 5 while Rwanda have 3 wins, 0 draw and 2 losses in 5. The model leans towards a tight, low-scoring game.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Cape Verde – Rwanda. 0-0 is the single most likely scoreline (15.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 66% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Cape Verde 0-0 Rwanda | 15.9% |
| Cape Verde 0-1 Rwanda | 15.1% |
| Cape Verde 1-0 Rwanda | 14.1% |
| Cape Verde 1-1 Rwanda | 13.4% |
| Cape Verde 0-2 Rwanda | 7.2% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 0.89 expected goals for Cape Verde and 0.95 for Rwanda, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 28% and "both teams to score" at 36%. Few goals are expected here. Cape Verde keep a clean sheet in 39% of scenarios, Rwanda in 41%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Cape Verde expected goals | 0.89 |
| Rwanda expected goals | 0.95 |
| Both teams to score | 36% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 28% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 12% |
| Cape Verde clean sheet | 39% |
| Rwanda clean sheet | 41% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Cape Verde
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 2026 | Argentina · FIFA World Cup | 2-3 | L |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Saudi Arabia · FIFA World Cup | 0-0 | D |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Uruguay · FIFA World Cup | 2-2 | D |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Spain · FIFA World Cup | 0-0 | D |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Bermuda · International Friendlies | 3-0 | W |
Rwanda
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | Estonia · FIFA Series | 2-0 | W |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Grenada · FIFA Series | 4-0 | W |
| Oct 14, 2025 | South Africa · World Cup Qualifiers (Africa) | 0-3 | L |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Benin · World Cup Qualifiers (Africa) | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 9, 2025 | Zimbabwe · World Cup Qualifiers (Africa) | 1-0 | W |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Cape Verde and Rwanda: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Cape Verde
No absences reported.
Rwanda
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Cape Verde
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- S. Moreira4/5
- D. Livramento3/5
- Diney Borges3/5
- Kevin Pina3/5
- Pico3/5
- Ryan Mendes3/5
- S. Lopes Cabral3/5
- Vózinha3/5
- Deroy Duarte2/5
- J. Cabral2/5
- Jamiro Monteiro2/5
Rwanda
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Mutsinzi5/5
- B. Mugisha5/5
- C. Niyomugabo5/5
- D. Bizimana5/5
- J. Kwizera5/5
- P. Kavita4/5
- A. Biramahire3/5
- F. Ntwari3/5
- G. Byiringiro3/5
- G. Mugisha3/5
- K. Muhire3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Cape Verde vs Rwanda prediction?
Our AI gives Cape Verde a 32% chance of winning, the draw 33% and Rwanda 35%. Rwanda are therefore slight favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Cape Verde vs Rwanda?
0-0 (15.9%), followed by 0-1 (15.1%), 1-0 (14.1%), 1-1 (13.4%) and 0-2 (7.2%).
Will both teams score in Cape Verde vs Rwanda?
The probability that both Cape Verde and Rwanda score is 36%. Cape Verde have a 39% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Rwanda 41%.
How many goals should we expect in Cape Verde vs Rwanda?
The model expects 1.84 goals (0.89 for Cape Verde, 0.95 for Rwanda). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 55%, over 2.5 goals 28%, over 3.5 goals 12%.
When and where is Cape Verde vs Rwanda played?
Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), AFCON 2027 Qualifiers.
What form are Cape Verde and Rwanda in?
Cape Verde: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 5 conceded). Rwanda: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 4 conceded).
How is the Cape Verde vs Rwanda prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.89 for Cape Verde, 0.95 for Rwanda) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Cape Verde predictions
- All Rwanda predictions
- AFCON 2027 Qualifiers predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology