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AFCON 2027 QualifiersAFCON 2027 Qualifiers· Kick-off : Tuesday, September 29, 2026, 14:00 (UK time)

South Sudan vs Egypt prediction: correct score and AI tips

Match analysis

AFCON 2027 Qualifiers: the South Sudan vs Egypt match is scheduled on Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time). Venue: Juba Stadium, Juba. Egypt start as favourites with a 46% chance of victory; South Sudan are given 29% and the draw 25%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.1%), followed by 0-1 (10.5%) and 1-2 (9.2%).

South Sudan have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 8. Egypt have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 8 and conceding 7. Both sides come in with similar form. On average South Sudan score 0.80 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Egypt score 1.60 and concede 1.40.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between South Sudan and Egypt: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "South Sudan or draw" stands at 54%, "Egypt or draw" at 71% and "no draw" at 75%.

In short : Our model backs Egypt to edge South Sudan (46% probability). On recent form, South Sudan have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in 5 while Egypt have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss in 5. Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 53%).

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

29%
South Sudan (Win)
25%
Draw
46%
Egypt (Win)

Double chance

54%
South Sudan or draw
71%
Egypt or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as South Sudan – Egypt. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 48% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
South Sudan 1-1 Egypt12.1%
South Sudan 0-1 Egypt10.5%
South Sudan 1-2 Egypt9.2%
South Sudan 0-2 Egypt8.0%
South Sudan 1-0 Egypt8.0%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.15 expected goals for South Sudan and 1.52 for Egypt, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 50% and "both teams to score" at 53%. South Sudan keep a clean sheet in 22% of scenarios, Egypt in 32%.

Probability
South Sudan expected goals1.15
Egypt expected goals1.52
Both teams to score53%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
South Sudan clean sheet22%
Egypt clean sheet32%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

South Sudan

DateOpponentScore
Mar 29, 2026Djibouti · AFCON 2027 Qualifiers0-1L
Mar 26, 2026Djibouti · AFCON 2027 Qualifiers4-0W
Nov 25, 2025Syria · Arab Cup0-2L
Oct 13, 2025Togo · World Cup Qualifiers (Africa)0-0D
Oct 10, 2025Senegal · World Cup Qualifiers (Africa)0-5L

Egypt

DateOpponentScore
Jul 7, 2026Argentina · FIFA World Cup2-3L
Jul 3, 2026Australia · FIFA World Cup1-1D
Jun 27, 2026Iran · FIFA World Cup1-1D
Jun 22, 2026New Zealand · FIFA World Cup3-1W
Jun 15, 2026Belgium · FIFA World Cup1-1D

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between South Sudan and Egypt: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

South Sudan

No absences reported.

Egypt

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

South Sudan

Starts over the last 3 matches (official line-ups).

  • B. Laku3/3
  • C. Yak3/3
  • K. Majak3/3
  • M. Mawith3/3
  • A. Geriga2/3
  • M. Albano2/3
  • M. Malish2/3
  • R. Okocha2/3
  • S. Taban2/3
  • A. Leku1/3
  • A. Riak1/3

Egypt

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • E. Ashour5/5
  • M. Hany5/5
  • M. Salah5/5
  • M. Shobeir5/5
  • M. Ziko5/5
  • M. Attia4/5
  • M. Lasheen4/5
  • Y. Ibrahim4/5
  • A. Fatouh3/5
  • H. Fathy3/5
  • O. Marmoush3/5

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the South Sudan vs Egypt prediction?

Our AI gives South Sudan a 29% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Egypt 46%. Egypt are therefore favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for South Sudan vs Egypt?

1-1 (12.1%), followed by 0-1 (10.5%), 1-2 (9.2%), 0-2 (8.0%) and 1-0 (8.0%).

Will both teams score in South Sudan vs Egypt?

The probability that both South Sudan and Egypt score is 53%. South Sudan have a 22% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Egypt 32%.

How many goals should we expect in South Sudan vs Egypt?

The model expects 2.67 goals (1.15 for South Sudan, 1.52 for Egypt). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.

When and where is South Sudan vs Egypt played?

Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time), AFCON 2027 Qualifiers. Venue: Juba Stadium, Juba.

What form are South Sudan and Egypt in?

South Sudan: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 8 conceded). Egypt: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 7 conceded).

How is the South Sudan vs Egypt prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.15 for South Sudan, 1.52 for Egypt) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained