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AFCON 2027 QualifiersAFCON 2027 Qualifiers· Kick-off : Tuesday, September 29, 2026, 14:00 (UK time)

South Sudan vs Egypt: 0-5 result and AI prediction review

South SudanSouth Sudan0 – 5EgyptEgypt

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: South Sudan 0-5 Egypt. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Egypt at 47%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.5%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (54%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (51%): correct.

Match analysis

South Sudan and Egypt met on Tuesday, September 29, 2026, a AFCON 2027 Qualifiers fixture. Venue: Juba Stadium, Juba. Before kick-off, our model gave South Sudan a 28% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Egypt 47%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (11.9%), followed by 0-1 (10.4%) and 1-2 (9.3%).

South Sudan have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 5. Egypt have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 7 and conceding 6. Both sides come in with similar form. On average South Sudan score 1.00 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Egypt score 1.40 and concede 1.20.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for South Sudan, 1 for Egypt and 0 draws. The most recent ended Egypt 3-0 South Sudan (Jun 18, 2023). In double chance terms, "South Sudan or draw" stands at 53%, "Egypt or draw" at 72% and "no draw" at 75%.

In short : Our model backs Egypt to edge South Sudan (47% probability). On recent form, South Sudan have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in 5 while Egypt have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss in 5. Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 54%).

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

28%
South Sudan (Win)
25%
Draw
47%
Egypt (Win)

Double chance

53%
South Sudan or draw
72%
Egypt or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as South Sudan – Egypt. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 47% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
South Sudan 1-1 Egypt11.9%
South Sudan 0-1 Egypt10.4%
South Sudan 1-2 Egypt9.3%
South Sudan 0-2 Egypt8.1%
South Sudan 1-0 Egypt7.7%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.15 expected goals for South Sudan and 1.56 for Egypt, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 51% and "both teams to score" at 54%. South Sudan keep a clean sheet in 21% of scenarios, Egypt in 32%.

Probability
South Sudan expected goals1.15
Egypt expected goals1.56
Both teams to score54%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Over 3.5 goals29%
South Sudan clean sheet21%
Egypt clean sheet32%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

South Sudan

DateOpponentScore
Sep 25, 2026Malawi · AFCON 2027 Qualifiers1-2L
Mar 29, 2026Djibouti · AFCON 2027 Qualifiers0-1L
Mar 26, 2026Djibouti · AFCON 2027 Qualifiers4-0W
Nov 25, 2025Syria · Arab Cup0-2L
Oct 13, 2025Togo · World Cup Qualifiers (Africa)0-0D

Egypt

DateOpponentScore
Sep 25, 2026Angola · AFCON 2027 Qualifiers0-0D
Jul 7, 2026Argentina · FIFA World Cup2-3L
Jul 3, 2026Australia · FIFA World Cup1-1D
Jun 27, 2026Iran · FIFA World Cup1-1D
Jun 22, 2026New Zealand · FIFA World Cup3-1W

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 18, 2023Egypt 3-0 South SudanInternational Friendlies

Out and doubtful

South Sudan

No absences reported.

Egypt

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

South Sudan

Starts over the last 3 matches (official line-ups).

  • M. Albano3/3
  • B. Laku2/3
  • C. Yak2/3
  • K. Majak2/3
  • M. Malish2/3
  • M. Mawith2/3
  • R. Okocha2/3
  • S. Taban2/3
  • A. Geriga1/3
  • A. Leku1/3
  • A. Riak1/3

Egypt

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • E. Ashour4/5
  • M. Hany4/5
  • M. Salah4/5
  • M. Shobeir4/5
  • M. Ziko4/5
  • M. Attia3/5
  • M. Lasheen3/5
  • R. Rabia3/5
  • Y. Ibrahim3/5
  • A. Fatouh2/5
  • H. Fathy2/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the South Sudan vs Egypt prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave South Sudan a 28% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Egypt 47%. Egypt are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-5.

What is the most likely correct score for South Sudan vs Egypt?

1-1 (11.9%), followed by 0-1 (10.4%), 1-2 (9.3%), 0-2 (8.1%) and 1-0 (7.7%).

Will both teams score in South Sudan vs Egypt?

The probability that both South Sudan and Egypt score is 54%. South Sudan have a 21% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Egypt 32%.

How many goals should we expect in South Sudan vs Egypt?

The model expects 2.71 goals (1.15 for South Sudan, 1.56 for Egypt). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 51%, over 3.5 goals 29%.

When and where is South Sudan vs Egypt played?

Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time), AFCON 2027 Qualifiers. Venue: Juba Stadium, Juba.

What form are South Sudan and Egypt in?

South Sudan: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 5 conceded). Egypt: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 6 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between South Sudan and Egypt?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for South Sudan, 1 for Egypt and 0 draws. The most recent ended Egypt 3-0 South Sudan (Jun 18, 2023).

What was the South Sudan vs Egypt result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: South Sudan 0-5 Egypt. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Egypt at 47%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.5%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (54%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (51%): correct.

How is the South Sudan vs Egypt prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.15 for South Sudan, 1.56 for Egypt) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained