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AFCON 2027 QualifiersAFCON 2027 Qualifiers· Kick-off : Monday, September 28, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)

Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso: 0-1 result and AI prediction review

Central African RepublicCentral African Republic0 – 1Burkina FasoBurkina Faso

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Central African Republic 0-1 Burkina Faso. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Burkina Faso at 37%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (9.9%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (53%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): correct.

Match analysis

Central African Republic and Burkina Faso met on Monday, September 28, 2026, a AFCON 2027 Qualifiers fixture. Venue: Stade Larbi Zaouli, Casablanca. Before kick-off, our model gave Central African Republic a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Burkina Faso 37%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.6%), followed by 0-1 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.7%).

Central African Republic have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 14. Burkina Faso have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 9 and conceding 7. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Central African Republic score 1.00 and concede 2.80 goals per game; Burkina Faso score 1.80 and concede 1.40.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Central African Republic, 1 for Burkina Faso and 0 draws. The most recent ended Burkina Faso 4-2 Central African Republic (Aug 6, 2025). In double chance terms, "Central African Republic or draw" stands at 63%, "Burkina Faso or draw" at 64% and "no draw" at 73%.

In short : Central African Republic and Burkina Faso meet in a wide-open clash with no clear favourite (draw at 27%). On recent form, Central African Republic have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in 5 while Burkina Faso have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

36%
Central African Republic (Win)
27%
Draw
37%
Burkina Faso (Win)

Double chance

63%
Central African Republic or draw
64%
Burkina Faso or draw
73%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Central African Republic – Burkina Faso. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Central African Republic 1-1 Burkina Faso12.6%
Central African Republic 0-1 Burkina Faso9.9%
Central African Republic 1-0 Burkina Faso9.7%
Central African Republic 1-2 Burkina Faso8.2%
Central African Republic 2-1 Burkina Faso8.1%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.28 expected goals for Central African Republic and 1.30 for Burkina Faso, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 48% and "both teams to score" at 53%. Central African Republic keep a clean sheet in 27% of scenarios, Burkina Faso in 28%.

Probability
Central African Republic expected goals1.28
Burkina Faso expected goals1.30
Both teams to score53%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Central African Republic clean sheet27%
Burkina Faso clean sheet28%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Central African Republic

DateOpponentScore
Sep 24, 2026Mauritania · AFCON 2027 Qualifiers1-3L
Jun 9, 2026Angola · International Friendlies0-3L
Jun 5, 2026Togo · International Friendlies1-1D
Oct 12, 2025Chad · World Cup Qualifiers (Africa)3-2W
Oct 8, 2025Ghana · World Cup Qualifiers (Africa)0-5L

Burkina Faso

DateOpponentScore
Sep 25, 2026Benin · AFCON 2027 Qualifiers1-1D
Jun 9, 2026Belarus · International Friendlies2-2D
Jun 5, 2026Russia · International Friendlies0-3L
Mar 31, 2026Guinea-Bissau · International Friendlies1-1D
Mar 28, 2026Guinea-Bissau · International Friendlies5-0W

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 6, 2025Burkina Faso 4-2 Central African RepublicAfrican Nations Championship

Out and doubtful

Central African Republic

No absences reported.

Burkina Faso

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Central African Republic

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • D. Youfeigane4/5
  • C. Yawanendji-Malipangou3/5
  • D. Mokonou3/5
  • V. Baboula3/5
  • C. Basse-Zokana2/5
  • F. Yangao2/5
  • H. Gambor2/5
  • J. Kouadio2/5
  • J. Sambia2/5
  • M. Doudou2/5
  • M. Fourdeau2/5

Burkina Faso

Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).

  • E. Tapsoba4/4
  • L. Doucet4/4
  • A. Kouassi3/4
  • A. Nagalo3/4
  • D. Ouattara3/4
  • O. Bouda3/4
  • C. Irie2/4
  • G. Minoungou2/4
  • H. Koffi2/4
  • I. Ouedraogo2/4
  • P. Kabore2/4

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Central African Republic a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Burkina Faso 37%. Burkina Faso are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 0-1.

What is the most likely correct score for Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso?

1-1 (12.6%), followed by 0-1 (9.9%), 1-0 (9.7%), 1-2 (8.2%) and 2-1 (8.1%).

Will both teams score in Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso?

The probability that both Central African Republic and Burkina Faso score is 53%. Central African Republic have a 27% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Burkina Faso 28%.

How many goals should we expect in Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso?

The model expects 2.58 goals (1.28 for Central African Republic, 1.30 for Burkina Faso). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 73%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 26%.

When and where is Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso played?

Monday, September 28, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), AFCON 2027 Qualifiers. Venue: Stade Larbi Zaouli, Casablanca.

What form are Central African Republic and Burkina Faso in?

Central African Republic: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 14 conceded). Burkina Faso: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 7 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Central African Republic and Burkina Faso?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Central African Republic, 1 for Burkina Faso and 0 draws. The most recent ended Burkina Faso 4-2 Central African Republic (Aug 6, 2025).

What was the Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Central African Republic 0-1 Burkina Faso. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Burkina Faso at 37%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (9.9%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (53%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): correct.

How is the Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.28 for Central African Republic, 1.30 for Burkina Faso) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained