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AFCON 2027 QualifiersAFCON 2027 Qualifiers· Kick-off : Monday, September 28, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)

Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso prediction: correct score and AI tips

Central African RepublicCentral African Republic–Burkina FasoBurkina Faso

Match analysis

Central African Republic take on Burkina Faso on Monday, September 28, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), a AFCON 2027 Qualifiers fixture. Venue: Stade Larbi Zaouli, Casablanca. It is a tight call: 37% for Central African Republic, 26% for the draw and 37% for Burkina Faso. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.6%), followed by 1-0 (9.8%) and 0-1 (9.8%).

Central African Republic have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 11. Burkina Faso have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 8 and conceding 9. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Central African Republic score 0.60 and concede 2.20 goals per game; Burkina Faso score 1.60 and concede 1.80.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Central African Republic and Burkina Faso: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Central African Republic or draw" stands at 63%, "Burkina Faso or draw" at 63% and "no draw" at 74%.

In short : Central African Republic and Burkina Faso meet in a wide-open clash with no clear favourite (draw at 26%). On recent form, Central African Republic have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in 5 while Burkina Faso have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

37%
Central African Republic (Win)
26%
Draw
37%
Burkina Faso (Win)

Double chance

63%
Central African Republic or draw
63%
Burkina Faso or draw
74%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Central African Republic – Burkina Faso. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 48% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Central African Republic 1-1 Burkina Faso12.6%
Central African Republic 1-0 Burkina Faso9.8%
Central African Republic 0-1 Burkina Faso9.8%
Central African Republic 2-1 Burkina Faso8.1%
Central African Republic 1-2 Burkina Faso8.1%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.29 expected goals for Central African Republic and 1.29 for Burkina Faso, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 48% and "both teams to score" at 53%. Central African Republic keep a clean sheet in 28% of scenarios, Burkina Faso in 28%.

Probability
Central African Republic expected goals1.29
Burkina Faso expected goals1.29
Both teams to score53%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Central African Republic clean sheet28%
Burkina Faso clean sheet28%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Central African Republic

DateOpponentScore
Oct 12, 2025Chad · World Cup Qualifiers (Africa)3-2W
Oct 8, 2025Ghana · World Cup Qualifiers (Africa)0-5L
Sep 7, 2025Comoros · World Cup Qualifiers (Africa)0-2L
Sep 4, 2025Madagascar · World Cup Qualifiers (Africa)0-2L
Aug 16, 2025Tanzania · African Nations Championship0-0D

Burkina Faso

DateOpponentScore
Jun 9, 2026Belarus · International Friendlies2-2D
Jun 5, 2026Russia · International Friendlies0-3L
Mar 31, 2026Guinea-Bissau · International Friendlies1-1D
Mar 28, 2026Guinea-Bissau · International Friendlies5-0W
Jan 6, 2026Ivory Coast · Africa Cup of Nations0-3L

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Central African Republic and Burkina Faso: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Central African Republic

No absences reported.

Burkina Faso

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Burkina Faso

Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Kouassi4/4
  • A. Nagalo4/4
  • D. Ouattara4/4
  • E. Tapsoba4/4
  • C. Irie3/4
  • I. Ouedraogo3/4
  • L. Doucet3/4
  • H. Koffi2/4
  • O. Bouda2/4
  • P. Kabore2/4
  • A. Zagre1/4

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso prediction?

Our AI gives Central African Republic a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Burkina Faso 37%. Central African Republic are therefore slight favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso?

1-1 (12.6%), followed by 1-0 (9.8%), 0-1 (9.8%), 2-1 (8.1%) and 1-2 (8.1%).

Will both teams score in Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso?

The probability that both Central African Republic and Burkina Faso score is 53%. Central African Republic have a 28% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Burkina Faso 28%.

How many goals should we expect in Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso?

The model expects 2.58 goals (1.29 for Central African Republic, 1.29 for Burkina Faso). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 73%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 26%.

When and where is Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso played?

Monday, September 28, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), AFCON 2027 Qualifiers. Venue: Stade Larbi Zaouli, Casablanca.

What form are Central African Republic and Burkina Faso in?

Central African Republic: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 11 conceded). Burkina Faso: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 9 conceded).

How is the Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.29 for Central African Republic, 1.29 for Burkina Faso) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained