AFCON 2027 Qualifiers· Kick-off : Monday, September 28, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)
Zimbabwe vs DR Congo: 1-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Zimbabwe 1-2 DR Congo. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Zimbabwe (49%), while victory for DR Congo was rated at only 25%. The final score ranked 7th among the most likely scorelines (6.1%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (49%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (46%): missed.
Match analysis
Zimbabwe vs DR Congo was played on Monday, September 28, 2026 (AFCON 2027 Qualifiers). Venue: National Sports Stadium, Harare. Before kick-off, our model gave Zimbabwe a 49% chance of winning, the draw 26% and DR Congo 25%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (12.2%), ahead of 1-1 (12.2%) and 2-0 (9.3%).
Over their last 5 matches, Zimbabwe have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 4. Over their last 5 matches, DR Congo have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Recent momentum is clearly with Zimbabwe. On average Zimbabwe score 1.60 and concede 0.80 goals per game; DR Congo score 1.40 and concede 1.00.
In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Zimbabwe, 1 for DR Congo and 1 draw. The most recent ended Zimbabwe 0-4 DR Congo (Jun 30, 2019). In double chance terms, "Zimbabwe or draw" stands at 75%, "DR Congo or draw" at 51% and "no draw" at 74%.
In short : Zimbabwe are favourites for this Zimbabwe v DR Congo, with a 49% win probability from our model. On recent form, Zimbabwe are in good shape (4 wins in 5) while DR Congo have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Zimbabwe – DR Congo. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (12.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Zimbabwe 1-0 DR Congo | 12.2% |
| Zimbabwe 1-1 DR Congo | 12.2% |
| Zimbabwe 2-0 DR Congo | 9.3% |
| Zimbabwe 2-1 DR Congo | 9.3% |
| Zimbabwe 0-0 DR Congo | 8.0% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.52 goals in total (1.52 for Zimbabwe, 1.00 for DR Congo): over 2.5 goals has a 46% probability and both teams to score 49%. Zimbabwe keep a clean sheet in 37% of scenarios, DR Congo in 22%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Zimbabwe expected goals | 1.52 |
| DR Congo expected goals | 1.00 |
| Both teams to score | 49% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% |
| Zimbabwe clean sheet | 37% |
| DR Congo clean sheet | 22% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Zimbabwe
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2026 | Sierra Leone · AFCON 2027 Qualifiers | 3-2 | W |
| May 30, 2026 | India · International Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| May 26, 2026 | Nigeria · International Friendlies | 0-2 | L |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Zambia U23 · International Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Botswana · International Friendlies | 3-0 | W |
DR Congo
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2026 | Equatorial Guinea · AFCON 2027 Qualifiers | 2-0 | W |
| Jul 1, 2026 | England · FIFA World Cup | 1-2 | L |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Uzbekistan · FIFA World Cup | 3-1 | W |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Colombia · FIFA World Cup | 0-1 | L |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Portugal · FIFA World Cup | 1-1 | D |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2019 | Zimbabwe 0-4 DR Congo | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Oct 16, 2018 | Zimbabwe 1-1 DR Congo | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Oct 13, 2018 | DR Congo 1-2 Zimbabwe | Africa Cup of Nations |
Out and doubtful
Zimbabwe
No absences reported.
DR Congo
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Zimbabwe
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- M. Garananga4/4
- M. Munetsi3/4
- M. Nakamba3/4
- C. Mthunzi2/4
- E. Chipezeze2/4
- E. Jalai2/4
- G. Takwara2/4
- J. Fabisch2/4
- M. Tshuma2/4
- S. Fusire2/4
- S. Maroodza2/4
DR Congo
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Masuaku5/5
- A. Tuanzebe5/5
- A. Wan-Bissaka5/5
- C. Mbemba5/5
- S. Moutoussamy5/5
- Y. Wissa5/5
- L. Mpasi-Nzau4/5
- C. Bakambu3/5
- E. Kayembe3/5
- N. Mbuku3/5
- N. Mukau3/5
Other matches in this competition
- Central African Republic 0-1 Burkina FasoSep 28, 2026
- Equatorial Guinea 1-0 Sierra LeoneSep 28, 2026
- Tunisia 2-2 BotswanaSep 28, 2026
- Comoros 1-0 NamibiaSep 29, 2026
- Ethiopia 0-1 SenegalSep 29, 2026
- Mozambique 4-1 SudanSep 29, 2026
- South Sudan 0-5 EgyptSep 29, 2026
- Lesotho 0-2 MoroccoSep 29, 2026
- Burundi 2-2 AlgeriaSep 29, 2026
- Madagascar 1-1 TanzaniaSep 29, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Zimbabwe vs DR Congo prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Zimbabwe a 49% chance of winning, the draw 26% and DR Congo 25%. Zimbabwe are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-2.
What is the most likely correct score for Zimbabwe vs DR Congo?
1-0 (12.2%), followed by 1-1 (12.2%), 2-0 (9.3%), 2-1 (9.3%) and 0-0 (8.0%).
Will both teams score in Zimbabwe vs DR Congo?
The probability that both Zimbabwe and DR Congo score is 49%. Zimbabwe have a 37% chance of keeping a clean sheet, DR Congo 22%.
How many goals should we expect in Zimbabwe vs DR Congo?
The model expects 2.52 goals (1.52 for Zimbabwe, 1.00 for DR Congo). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 72%, over 2.5 goals 46%, over 3.5 goals 25%.
When and where is Zimbabwe vs DR Congo played?
Monday, September 28, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), AFCON 2027 Qualifiers. Venue: National Sports Stadium, Harare.
What form are Zimbabwe and DR Congo in?
Zimbabwe: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 4 conceded). DR Congo: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 5 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Zimbabwe and DR Congo?
In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Zimbabwe, 1 for DR Congo and 1 draw. The most recent ended Zimbabwe 0-4 DR Congo (Jun 30, 2019).
What was the Zimbabwe vs DR Congo result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Zimbabwe 1-2 DR Congo. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Zimbabwe (49%), while victory for DR Congo was rated at only 25%. The final score ranked 7th among the most likely scorelines (6.1%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (49%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (46%): missed.
How is the Zimbabwe vs DR Congo prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.52 for Zimbabwe, 1.00 for DR Congo) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Zimbabwe predictions
- All DR Congo predictions
- AFCON 2027 Qualifiers predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology