AFCON 2027 Qualifiers· Kick-off : Monday, September 28, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)
Zimbabwe vs DR Congo prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
AFCON 2027 Qualifiers: the Zimbabwe vs DR Congo match is scheduled on Monday, September 28, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time). Venue: National Sports Stadium, Harare. The edge goes to Zimbabwe (52%), ahead of the draw (25%) and a DR Congo win (23%). The most likely correct score is 1-0 (12.4%), ahead of 1-1 (12.0%) and 2-0 (9.7%).
Over their last 5 matches, Zimbabwe have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 4. DR Congo have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 7. Recent momentum is clearly with Zimbabwe. On average Zimbabwe score 1.60 and concede 0.80 goals per game; DR Congo score 1.20 and concede 1.40.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Zimbabwe and DR Congo: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Zimbabwe or draw" stands at 77%, "DR Congo or draw" at 48% and "no draw" at 75%.
In short : Zimbabwe are favourites for this Zimbabwe v DR Congo, with a 52% win probability from our model. On recent form, Zimbabwe are in good shape (4 wins in 5) while DR Congo have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Zimbabwe – DR Congo. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (12.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Zimbabwe 1-0 DR Congo | 12.4% |
| Zimbabwe 1-1 DR Congo | 12.0% |
| Zimbabwe 2-0 DR Congo | 9.7% |
| Zimbabwe 2-1 DR Congo | 9.4% |
| Zimbabwe 0-0 DR Congo | 7.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.54 goals in total (1.57 for Zimbabwe, 0.97 for DR Congo): over 2.5 goals has a 47% probability and both teams to score 49%. Zimbabwe keep a clean sheet in 38% of scenarios, DR Congo in 21%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Zimbabwe expected goals | 1.57 |
| DR Congo expected goals | 0.97 |
| Both teams to score | 49% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% |
| Zimbabwe clean sheet | 38% |
| DR Congo clean sheet | 21% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Zimbabwe
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2026 | Sierra Leone · AFCON 2027 Qualifiers | 3-2 | W |
| May 30, 2026 | India · International Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| May 26, 2026 | Nigeria · International Friendlies | 0-2 | L |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Zambia U23 · International Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Botswana · International Friendlies | 3-0 | W |
DR Congo
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 2026 | England · FIFA World Cup | 1-2 | L |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Uzbekistan · FIFA World Cup | 3-1 | W |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Colombia · FIFA World Cup | 0-1 | L |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Portugal · FIFA World Cup | 1-1 | D |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Chile · International Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Zimbabwe and DR Congo: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Zimbabwe
No absences reported.
DR Congo
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Zimbabwe
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- M. Garananga4/4
- M. Munetsi3/4
- M. Nakamba3/4
- C. Mthunzi2/4
- E. Chipezeze2/4
- E. Jalai2/4
- G. Takwara2/4
- J. Fabisch2/4
- M. Tshuma2/4
- S. Fusire2/4
- S. Maroodza2/4
DR Congo
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Tuanzebe5/5
- A. Wan-Bissaka5/5
- C. Mbemba5/5
- L. Mpasi-Nzau5/5
- S. Moutoussamy5/5
- Y. Wissa5/5
- A. Masuaku4/5
- N. Mukau4/5
- C. Bakambu3/5
- N. Mbuku3/5
- N. Sadiki3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
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- Equatorial Guinea – Sierra LeoneSep 28, 2026
- Botswana – TunisiaSep 28, 2026
- Comoros – NamibiaSep 29, 2026
- Ethiopia – SenegalSep 29, 2026
- Mozambique – SudanSep 29, 2026
- Madagascar – TanzaniaSep 29, 2026
- South Sudan – EgyptSep 29, 2026
- Lesotho – MoroccoSep 29, 2026
- Burundi – AlgeriaSep 29, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Zimbabwe vs DR Congo prediction?
Our AI gives Zimbabwe a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and DR Congo 23%. Zimbabwe are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Zimbabwe vs DR Congo?
1-0 (12.4%), followed by 1-1 (12.0%), 2-0 (9.7%), 2-1 (9.4%) and 0-0 (7.9%).
Will both teams score in Zimbabwe vs DR Congo?
The probability that both Zimbabwe and DR Congo score is 49%. Zimbabwe have a 38% chance of keeping a clean sheet, DR Congo 21%.
How many goals should we expect in Zimbabwe vs DR Congo?
The model expects 2.54 goals (1.57 for Zimbabwe, 0.97 for DR Congo). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 72%, over 2.5 goals 47%, over 3.5 goals 25%.
When and where is Zimbabwe vs DR Congo played?
Monday, September 28, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), AFCON 2027 Qualifiers. Venue: National Sports Stadium, Harare.
What form are Zimbabwe and DR Congo in?
Zimbabwe: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 4 conceded). DR Congo: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 7 conceded).
How is the Zimbabwe vs DR Congo prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.57 for Zimbabwe, 0.97 for DR Congo) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Zimbabwe predictions
- All DR Congo predictions
- AFCON 2027 Qualifiers predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology