AFCON 2027 Qualifiers· Kick-off : Saturday, September 26, 2026, 14:00 (UK time)
South Africa vs Guinea prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
AFCON 2027 Qualifiers: the South Africa vs Guinea match is scheduled on Saturday, September 26, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time). Venue: Orlando Stadium, Johannesburg. It is a tight call: 31% for South Africa, 31% for the draw and 38% for Guinea. On the correct score, 0-1 comes out on top (14.6%), followed by 0-0 (13.8%) and 1-1 (13.5%).
South Africa have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 3 and conceding 4. Guinea are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws), scoring 8 and conceding 4. Guinea therefore arrive in far better shape than South Africa. On average South Africa score 0.60 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Guinea score 1.60 and concede 0.80.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between South Africa and Guinea: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "South Africa or draw" stands at 62%, "Guinea or draw" at 69% and "no draw" at 69%.
In short : South Africa host Guinea in a tight contest where a draw stays on the table (31%). On recent form, South Africa have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss in 5 while Guinea have 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as South Africa – Guinea. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (14.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 62% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| South Africa 0-1 Guinea | 14.6% |
| South Africa 0-0 Guinea | 13.8% |
| South Africa 1-1 Guinea | 13.5% |
| South Africa 1-0 Guinea | 12.7% |
| South Africa 0-2 Guinea | 7.8% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 0.92 expected goals for South Africa and 1.06 for Guinea, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 32% and "both teams to score" at 39%. Few goals are expected here. South Africa keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, Guinea in 40%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| South Africa expected goals | 0.92 |
| Guinea expected goals | 1.06 |
| Both teams to score | 39% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 59% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 32% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 14% |
| South Africa clean sheet | 35% |
| Guinea clean sheet | 40% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
South Africa
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 25, 2026 | South Korea · FIFA World Cup | 1-0 | W |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Czechia · FIFA World Cup | 1-1 | D |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Mexico · FIFA World Cup | 0-2 | L |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Jamaica · International Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| May 29, 2026 | Nicaragua · International Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
Guinea
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | Botswana · World Cup Qualifiers (Africa) | 2-2 | D |
| Oct 9, 2025 | Mozambique · World Cup Qualifiers (Africa) | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 8, 2025 | Algeria · World Cup Qualifiers (Africa) | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Somalia · World Cup Qualifiers (Africa) | 3-0 | W |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Algeria · African Nations Championship | 1-1 | D |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between South Africa and Guinea: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
South Africa
No absences reported.
Guinea
No absences reported.
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
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- Gambia – SomaliaSep 25, 2026
- Mali – Cape VerdeSep 25, 2026
- Egypt – AngolaSep 25, 2026
- Burkina Faso – BeninSep 25, 2026
- Morocco – GabonSep 25, 2026
- Algeria – ZambiaSep 25, 2026
- Kenya – EritreaSep 26, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the South Africa vs Guinea prediction?
Our AI gives South Africa a 31% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Guinea 38%. Guinea are therefore slight favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for South Africa vs Guinea?
0-1 (14.6%), followed by 0-0 (13.8%), 1-1 (13.5%), 1-0 (12.7%) and 0-2 (7.8%).
Will both teams score in South Africa vs Guinea?
The probability that both South Africa and Guinea score is 39%. South Africa have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Guinea 40%.
How many goals should we expect in South Africa vs Guinea?
The model expects 1.98 goals (0.92 for South Africa, 1.06 for Guinea). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 59%, over 2.5 goals 32%, over 3.5 goals 14%.
When and where is South Africa vs Guinea played?
Saturday, September 26, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time), AFCON 2027 Qualifiers. Venue: Orlando Stadium, Johannesburg.
What form are South Africa and Guinea in?
South Africa: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 4 conceded). Guinea: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 4 conceded).
How is the South Africa vs Guinea prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.92 for South Africa, 1.06 for Guinea) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All South Africa predictions
- All Guinea predictions
- AFCON 2027 Qualifiers predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology