UEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 13, 2026, 19:30 (UK time)
Anderlecht vs PAOK: 3-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Anderlecht 3-2 PAOK. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for PAOK (42%), while victory for Anderlecht was rated at only 31%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.6%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (48%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (42%): missed.
Match analysis
Anderlecht vs PAOK was played on Thursday, August 13, 2026 (UEFA Europa League). Venue: Lotto Park, Anderlecht. Before kick-off, our model gave Anderlecht a 31% chance of winning, the draw 28% and PAOK 42%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (13.0%), ahead of 0-1 (12.2%) and 1-0 (10.1%).
Anderlecht are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 8 and conceding 3. Over their last 5 matches, PAOK have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 10 and conceding 8. Recent momentum is clearly with Anderlecht. On average Anderlecht score 1.60 and concede 0.60 goals per game; PAOK score 2.00 and concede 1.60.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Anderlecht, 0 for PAOK and 0 draws. The most recent ended PAOK 0-1 Anderlecht (Aug 6, 2026). In double chance terms, "Anderlecht or draw" stands at 58%, "PAOK or draw" at 69% and "no draw" at 72%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Anderlecht – PAOK. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (13.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 53% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Anderlecht 1-1 PAOK | 13.0% |
| Anderlecht 0-1 PAOK | 12.2% |
| Anderlecht 1-0 PAOK | 10.1% |
| Anderlecht 0-0 PAOK | 9.4% |
| Anderlecht 1-2 PAOK | 8.4% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.36 goals in total (1.07 for Anderlecht, 1.29 for PAOK): over 2.5 goals has a 42% probability and both teams to score 48%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Anderlecht keep a clean sheet in 28% of scenarios, PAOK in 34%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Anderlecht expected goals | 1.07 |
| PAOK expected goals | 1.29 |
| Both teams to score | 48% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% |
| Anderlecht clean sheet | 28% |
| PAOK clean sheet | 34% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Anderlecht
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière · Jupiler Pro League | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 6, 2026 | PAOK · UEFA Europa League | 1-0 | W |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Hammarby FF · UEFA Europa League | 3-1 | W |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Hammarby FF · UEFA Europa League | 1-1 | D |
| Jul 15, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
PAOK
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Anderlecht · UEFA Europa League | 0-1 | L |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv · UEFA Europa League | 2-0 | W |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv · UEFA Europa League | 3-2 | W |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Twente · Club Friendlies | 2-3 | L |
| Jul 7, 2026 | AEK Larnaca · Club Friendlies | 3-2 | W |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | PAOK 0-1 Anderlecht | UEFA Europa League |
Out and doubtful
Anderlecht
No absences reported.
PAOK
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Omonia Nicosia 1-0 Lincoln Red Imps FCAug 13, 2026
- Gornik Zabrze 1-1 Ferencvarosi TCAug 13, 2026
- Beşiktaş 1-0 Hradec KrálovéAug 13, 2026
- Pafos 3-3 Red Bull SalzburgAug 13, 2026
- Universitatea Craiova 2-1 KuPSAug 13, 2026
- Vikingur Reykjavik 3-2 FC ThunAug 13, 2026
- CSKA Sofia 1-3 Maccabi Tel AvivAug 13, 2026
- Rangers 1-1 JagielloniaAug 13, 2026
- Heart Of Midlothian 1-1 BenficaAug 13, 2026
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë 5-1 Shamrock RoversAug 13, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Anderlecht vs PAOK prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Anderlecht a 31% chance of winning, the draw 28% and PAOK 42%. PAOK are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 3-2.
What is the most likely correct score for Anderlecht vs PAOK?
1-1 (13.0%), followed by 0-1 (12.2%), 1-0 (10.1%), 0-0 (9.4%) and 1-2 (8.4%).
Will both teams score in Anderlecht vs PAOK?
The probability that both Anderlecht and PAOK score is 48%. Anderlecht have a 28% chance of keeping a clean sheet, PAOK 34%.
How many goals should we expect in Anderlecht vs PAOK?
The model expects 2.36 goals (1.07 for Anderlecht, 1.29 for PAOK). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 68%, over 2.5 goals 42%, over 3.5 goals 21%.
When and where is Anderlecht vs PAOK played?
Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 19:30 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: Lotto Park, Anderlecht.
What form are Anderlecht and PAOK in?
Anderlecht: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 3 conceded). PAOK: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 8 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Anderlecht and PAOK?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Anderlecht, 0 for PAOK and 0 draws. The most recent ended PAOK 0-1 Anderlecht (Aug 6, 2026).
What was the Anderlecht vs PAOK result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Anderlecht 3-2 PAOK. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for PAOK (42%), while victory for Anderlecht was rated at only 31%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.6%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (48%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (42%): missed.
How is the Anderlecht vs PAOK prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.07 for Anderlecht, 1.29 for PAOK) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Anderlecht predictions
- All PAOK predictions
- UEFA Europa League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology