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UEFA Europa LeagueUEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 13, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)

Omonia Nicosia vs Lincoln Red Imps FC: 1-0 result and AI prediction review

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Omonia Nicosia 1-0 Lincoln Red Imps FC. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Omonia Nicosia was the model's favourite outcome (53%). The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (11.5%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): correct.

Match analysis

Omonia Nicosia vs Lincoln Red Imps FC was played on Thursday, August 13, 2026 (UEFA Europa League). Venue: GSP Stadium, Nicosia. Before kick-off, our model gave Omonia Nicosia a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lincoln Red Imps FC 23%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.6%), ahead of 1-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.6%).

Omonia Nicosia have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 4 and conceding 4. Lincoln Red Imps FC have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 5 and conceding 6. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Omonia Nicosia score 0.80 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Lincoln Red Imps FC score 1.00 and concede 1.20.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Omonia Nicosia, 0 for Lincoln Red Imps FC and 1 draw. The most recent ended Lincoln Red Imps FC 1-1 Omonia Nicosia (Aug 6, 2026). In double chance terms, "Omonia Nicosia or draw" stands at 77%, "Lincoln Red Imps FC or draw" at 47% and "no draw" at 76%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

53%
Omonia Nicosia (Win)
24%
Draw
23%
Lincoln Red Imps FC (Win)

Double chance

77%
Omonia Nicosia or draw
47%
Lincoln Red Imps FC or draw
76%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Omonia Nicosia – Lincoln Red Imps FC. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Omonia Nicosia 1-1 Lincoln Red Imps FC11.6%
Omonia Nicosia 1-0 Lincoln Red Imps FC11.5%
Omonia Nicosia 2-1 Lincoln Red Imps FC9.6%
Omonia Nicosia 2-0 Lincoln Red Imps FC9.5%
Omonia Nicosia 0-1 Lincoln Red Imps FC7.0%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.67 goals in total (1.66 for Omonia Nicosia, 1.01 for Lincoln Red Imps FC): over 2.5 goals has a 50% probability and both teams to score 52%. Omonia Nicosia keep a clean sheet in 36% of scenarios, Lincoln Red Imps FC in 19%.

Probability
Omonia Nicosia expected goals1.66
Lincoln Red Imps FC expected goals1.01
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Omonia Nicosia clean sheet36%
Lincoln Red Imps FC clean sheet19%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Omonia Nicosia

DateOpponentScore
Aug 6, 2026Lincoln Red Imps FC · UEFA Europa League1-1D
Jul 29, 2026Kairat Almaty · UEFA Champions League0-1L
Jul 22, 2026Kairat Almaty · UEFA Champions League1-0W
Jul 9, 2026Korona Kielce · Club Friendlies0-0D
Jul 5, 2026Hapoel Beer Sheva · Club Friendlies2-2D

Lincoln Red Imps FC

DateOpponentScore
Aug 6, 2026Omonia Nicosia · UEFA Europa League1-1D
Jul 28, 2026Mjallby AIF · UEFA Champions League0-0D
Jul 21, 2026Mjallby AIF · UEFA Champions League0-3L
Jul 14, 2026Inter Club d'Escaldes · UEFA Champions League1-1D
Jul 7, 2026Inter Club d'Escaldes · UEFA Champions League3-1W

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 6, 2026Lincoln Red Imps FC 1-1 Omonia NicosiaUEFA Europa League

Out and doubtful

Omonia Nicosia

No absences reported.

Lincoln Red Imps FC

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Omonia Nicosia vs Lincoln Red Imps FC prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Omonia Nicosia a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lincoln Red Imps FC 23%. Omonia Nicosia are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Omonia Nicosia vs Lincoln Red Imps FC?

1-1 (11.6%), followed by 1-0 (11.5%), 2-1 (9.6%), 2-0 (9.5%) and 0-1 (7.0%).

Will both teams score in Omonia Nicosia vs Lincoln Red Imps FC?

The probability that both Omonia Nicosia and Lincoln Red Imps FC score is 52%. Omonia Nicosia have a 36% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Lincoln Red Imps FC 19%.

How many goals should we expect in Omonia Nicosia vs Lincoln Red Imps FC?

The model expects 2.67 goals (1.66 for Omonia Nicosia, 1.01 for Lincoln Red Imps FC). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.

When and where is Omonia Nicosia vs Lincoln Red Imps FC played?

Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: GSP Stadium, Nicosia.

What form are Omonia Nicosia and Lincoln Red Imps FC in?

Omonia Nicosia: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 4 conceded). Lincoln Red Imps FC: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 6 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Omonia Nicosia and Lincoln Red Imps FC?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Omonia Nicosia, 0 for Lincoln Red Imps FC and 1 draw. The most recent ended Lincoln Red Imps FC 1-1 Omonia Nicosia (Aug 6, 2026).

What was the Omonia Nicosia vs Lincoln Red Imps FC result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Omonia Nicosia 1-0 Lincoln Red Imps FC. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Omonia Nicosia was the model's favourite outcome (53%). The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (11.5%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): correct.

How is the Omonia Nicosia vs Lincoln Red Imps FC prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.66 for Omonia Nicosia, 1.01 for Lincoln Red Imps FC) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained