Skip to content
Elofoot

UEFA Europa LeagueUEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 13, 2026, 18:30 (UK time)

Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun: 3-2 result and AI prediction review

Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik3 – 2FC ThunFC Thun

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Vikingur Reykjavik 3-2 FC Thun. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Vikingur Reykjavik was the model's favourite outcome (51%). The model considered this score unlikely (2.7%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.

Match analysis

Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun was played on Thursday, August 13, 2026 (UEFA Europa League). Venue: Víkingsvollur Stadium, Reykjavik. Before kick-off, our model gave Vikingur Reykjavik a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FC Thun 24%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.8%), ahead of 1-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.5%).

Over their last 5 matches, Vikingur Reykjavik have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 8. Over their last 5 matches, FC Thun have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 13 and conceding 7. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Vikingur Reykjavik score 1.00 and concede 1.60 goals per game; FC Thun score 2.60 and concede 1.40.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Vikingur Reykjavik, 1 for FC Thun and 0 draws. The most recent ended FC Thun 3-0 Vikingur Reykjavik (Aug 6, 2026). In double chance terms, "Vikingur Reykjavik or draw" stands at 76%, "FC Thun or draw" at 49% and "no draw" at 75%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

51%
Vikingur Reykjavik (Win)
25%
Draw
24%
FC Thun (Win)

Double chance

76%
Vikingur Reykjavik or draw
49%
FC Thun or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Vikingur Reykjavik – FC Thun. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Vikingur Reykjavik 1-1 FC Thun11.8%
Vikingur Reykjavik 1-0 FC Thun11.4%
Vikingur Reykjavik 2-1 FC Thun9.5%
Vikingur Reykjavik 2-0 FC Thun9.2%
Vikingur Reykjavik 0-1 FC Thun7.3%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.65 goals in total (1.61 for Vikingur Reykjavik, 1.04 for FC Thun): over 2.5 goals has a 49% probability and both teams to score 52%. Vikingur Reykjavik keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, FC Thun in 20%.

Probability
Vikingur Reykjavik expected goals1.61
FC Thun expected goals1.04
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Vikingur Reykjavik clean sheet35%
FC Thun clean sheet20%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Vikingur Reykjavik

DateOpponentScore
Aug 6, 2026FC Thun · UEFA Europa League0-3L
Jul 29, 2026Hapoel Beer Sheva · UEFA Champions League0-2L
Jul 21, 2026Hapoel Beer Sheva · UEFA Champions League2-1W
Jul 14, 2026Gyori ETO FC · UEFA Champions League2-2D
Jul 7, 2026Gyori ETO FC · UEFA Champions League1-0W

FC Thun

DateOpponentScore
Aug 6, 2026Vikingur Reykjavik · UEFA Europa League3-0W
Jul 28, 2026Dinamo Zagreb · UEFA Champions League2-3L
Jul 21, 2026Dinamo Zagreb · UEFA Champions League1-1D
Jul 11, 2026SV Elversberg · Club Friendlies1-1D
Jul 4, 2026Neuchatel Xamax FC · Club Friendlies6-2W

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 6, 2026FC Thun 3-0 Vikingur ReykjavikUEFA Europa League

Out and doubtful

Vikingur Reykjavik

No absences reported.

FC Thun

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Vikingur Reykjavik a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FC Thun 24%. Vikingur Reykjavik are therefore favourites. Final score: 3-2.

What is the most likely correct score for Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun?

1-1 (11.8%), followed by 1-0 (11.4%), 2-1 (9.5%), 2-0 (9.2%) and 0-1 (7.3%).

Will both teams score in Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun?

The probability that both Vikingur Reykjavik and FC Thun score is 52%. Vikingur Reykjavik have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, FC Thun 20%.

How many goals should we expect in Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun?

The model expects 2.65 goals (1.61 for Vikingur Reykjavik, 1.04 for FC Thun). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 28%.

When and where is Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun played?

Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 18:30 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: Víkingsvollur Stadium, Reykjavik.

What form are Vikingur Reykjavik and FC Thun in?

Vikingur Reykjavik: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 8 conceded). FC Thun: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (13 scored, 7 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Vikingur Reykjavik and FC Thun?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Vikingur Reykjavik, 1 for FC Thun and 0 draws. The most recent ended FC Thun 3-0 Vikingur Reykjavik (Aug 6, 2026).

What was the Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Vikingur Reykjavik 3-2 FC Thun. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Vikingur Reykjavik was the model's favourite outcome (51%). The model considered this score unlikely (2.7%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.

How is the Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.61 for Vikingur Reykjavik, 1.04 for FC Thun) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained