UEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 13, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Shamrock Rovers: 5-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Egnatia Rrogozhinë 5-1 Shamrock Rovers. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Egnatia Rrogozhinë was the model's favourite outcome (49%). The model considered this score unlikely (0.6%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.
Match analysis
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Shamrock Rovers was played on Thursday, August 13, 2026 (UEFA Europa League). Venue: Arena Egnatia, Rrogozhine. Before kick-off, our model gave Egnatia Rrogozhinë a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Shamrock Rovers 26%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.0%), ahead of 1-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.4%).
Egnatia Rrogozhinë have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 12 and conceding 9. Over their last 5 matches, Shamrock Rovers have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Recent momentum is clearly with Shamrock Rovers. On average Egnatia Rrogozhinë score 2.40 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Shamrock Rovers score 2.00 and concede 1.40.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Egnatia Rrogozhinë, 1 for Shamrock Rovers and 0 draws. The most recent ended Shamrock Rovers 3-1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë (Aug 4, 2026). In double chance terms, "Egnatia Rrogozhinë or draw" stands at 74%, "Shamrock Rovers or draw" at 51% and "no draw" at 75%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Egnatia Rrogozhinë – Shamrock Rovers. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1-1 Shamrock Rovers | 12.0% |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1-0 Shamrock Rovers | 11.2% |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2-1 Shamrock Rovers | 9.4% |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2-0 Shamrock Rovers | 8.8% |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0-1 Shamrock Rovers | 7.7% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.63 goals in total (1.56 for Egnatia Rrogozhinë, 1.07 for Shamrock Rovers): over 2.5 goals has a 49% probability and both teams to score 52%. Egnatia Rrogozhinë keep a clean sheet in 34% of scenarios, Shamrock Rovers in 21%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë expected goals | 1.56 |
| Shamrock Rovers expected goals | 1.07 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë clean sheet | 34% |
| Shamrock Rovers clean sheet | 21% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | Shamrock Rovers · UEFA Europa League | 1-3 | L |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Celje · UEFA Champions League | 1-1 | D |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Celje · UEFA Champions League | 3-3 | D |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Petrocub · UEFA Champions League | 6-1 | W |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Petrocub · UEFA Champions League | 1-1 | D |
Shamrock Rovers
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë · UEFA Europa League | 3-1 | W |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia · UEFA Champions League | 2-1 | W |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia · UEFA Champions League | 0-2 | L |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Floriana · UEFA Champions League | 5-1 | W |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Floriana · UEFA Champions League | 0-2 | L |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | Shamrock Rovers 3-1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë | UEFA Europa League |
Out and doubtful
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
No absences reported.
Shamrock Rovers
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Omonia Nicosia 1-0 Lincoln Red Imps FCAug 13, 2026
- Gornik Zabrze 1-1 Ferencvarosi TCAug 13, 2026
- Beşiktaş 1-0 Hradec KrálovéAug 13, 2026
- Pafos 3-3 Red Bull SalzburgAug 13, 2026
- Universitatea Craiova 2-1 KuPSAug 13, 2026
- Vikingur Reykjavik 3-2 FC ThunAug 13, 2026
- CSKA Sofia 1-3 Maccabi Tel AvivAug 13, 2026
- Anderlecht 3-2 PAOKAug 13, 2026
- Rangers 1-1 JagielloniaAug 13, 2026
- Heart Of Midlothian 1-1 BenficaAug 13, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Shamrock Rovers prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Egnatia Rrogozhinë a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Shamrock Rovers 26%. Egnatia Rrogozhinë are therefore favourites. Final score: 5-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Shamrock Rovers?
1-1 (12.0%), followed by 1-0 (11.2%), 2-1 (9.4%), 2-0 (8.8%) and 0-1 (7.7%).
Will both teams score in Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Shamrock Rovers?
The probability that both Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Shamrock Rovers score is 52%. Egnatia Rrogozhinë have a 34% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Shamrock Rovers 21%.
How many goals should we expect in Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Shamrock Rovers?
The model expects 2.63 goals (1.56 for Egnatia Rrogozhinë, 1.07 for Shamrock Rovers). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.
When and where is Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Shamrock Rovers played?
Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: Arena Egnatia, Rrogozhine.
What form are Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Shamrock Rovers in?
Egnatia Rrogozhinë: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 9 conceded). Shamrock Rovers: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 7 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Shamrock Rovers?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Egnatia Rrogozhinë, 1 for Shamrock Rovers and 0 draws. The most recent ended Shamrock Rovers 3-1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë (Aug 4, 2026).
What was the Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Shamrock Rovers result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Egnatia Rrogozhinë 5-1 Shamrock Rovers. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Egnatia Rrogozhinë was the model's favourite outcome (49%). The model considered this score unlikely (0.6%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.
How is the Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Shamrock Rovers prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.56 for Egnatia Rrogozhinë, 1.07 for Shamrock Rovers) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Egnatia Rrogozhinë predictions
- All Shamrock Rovers predictions
- UEFA Europa League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology