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UEFA Europa LeagueUEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 13, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)

Universitatea Craiova vs KuPS: 2-1 result and AI prediction review

Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea Craiova2 – 1KuPSKuPS

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Universitatea Craiova 2-1 KuPS. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Universitatea Craiova was the model's favourite outcome (49%). The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (9.4%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.

Match analysis

Universitatea Craiova vs KuPS was played on Thursday, August 13, 2026 (UEFA Europa League). Venue: Stadionul Ion Oblemenco, Craiova. Before kick-off, our model gave Universitatea Craiova a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and KuPS 26%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.0%), ahead of 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.4%).

Over their last 5 matches, Universitatea Craiova have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 5. KuPS have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 7. Recent momentum is clearly with Universitatea Craiova. On average Universitatea Craiova score 1.60 and concede 1.00 goals per game; KuPS score 1.00 and concede 1.40.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Universitatea Craiova, 0 for KuPS and 1 draw. The most recent ended KuPS 1-1 Universitatea Craiova (Aug 6, 2026). In double chance terms, "Universitatea Craiova or draw" stands at 74%, "KuPS or draw" at 51% and "no draw" at 75%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

49%
Universitatea Craiova (Win)
25%
Draw
26%
KuPS (Win)

Double chance

74%
Universitatea Craiova or draw
51%
KuPS or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Universitatea Craiova – KuPS. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Universitatea Craiova 1-1 KuPS12.0%
Universitatea Craiova 1-0 KuPS11.3%
Universitatea Craiova 2-1 KuPS9.4%
Universitatea Craiova 2-0 KuPS8.9%
Universitatea Craiova 0-1 KuPS7.6%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.64 goals in total (1.58 for Universitatea Craiova, 1.06 for KuPS): over 2.5 goals has a 49% probability and both teams to score 52%. Universitatea Craiova keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, KuPS in 21%.

Probability
Universitatea Craiova expected goals1.58
KuPS expected goals1.06
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Universitatea Craiova clean sheet35%
KuPS clean sheet21%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Universitatea Craiova

DateOpponentScore
Aug 6, 2026KuPS · UEFA Europa League1-1D
Jul 29, 2026Levski Sofia · UEFA Champions League2-2D
Jul 22, 2026Levski Sofia · UEFA Champions League0-1L
Jul 15, 2026ML Vitebsk · UEFA Champions League1-0W
Jul 8, 2026ML Vitebsk · UEFA Champions League4-1W

KuPS

DateOpponentScore
Aug 6, 2026Universitatea Craiova · UEFA Europa League1-1D
Jul 28, 2026Sabah FA · UEFA Champions League0-2L
Jul 21, 2026Sabah FA · UEFA Champions League0-1L
Jul 14, 2026Vardar Skopje · UEFA Champions League2-3L
Jul 7, 2026Vardar Skopje · UEFA Champions League2-0W

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 6, 2026KuPS 1-1 Universitatea CraiovaUEFA Europa League

Out and doubtful

Universitatea Craiova

No absences reported.

KuPS

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Universitatea Craiova vs KuPS prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Universitatea Craiova a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and KuPS 26%. Universitatea Craiova are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-1.

What is the most likely correct score for Universitatea Craiova vs KuPS?

1-1 (12.0%), followed by 1-0 (11.3%), 2-1 (9.4%), 2-0 (8.9%) and 0-1 (7.6%).

Will both teams score in Universitatea Craiova vs KuPS?

The probability that both Universitatea Craiova and KuPS score is 52%. Universitatea Craiova have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, KuPS 21%.

How many goals should we expect in Universitatea Craiova vs KuPS?

The model expects 2.64 goals (1.58 for Universitatea Craiova, 1.06 for KuPS). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.

When and where is Universitatea Craiova vs KuPS played?

Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: Stadionul Ion Oblemenco, Craiova.

What form are Universitatea Craiova and KuPS in?

Universitatea Craiova: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 5 conceded). KuPS: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 7 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Universitatea Craiova and KuPS?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Universitatea Craiova, 0 for KuPS and 1 draw. The most recent ended KuPS 1-1 Universitatea Craiova (Aug 6, 2026).

What was the Universitatea Craiova vs KuPS result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Universitatea Craiova 2-1 KuPS. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Universitatea Craiova was the model's favourite outcome (49%). The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (9.4%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.

How is the Universitatea Craiova vs KuPS prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.58 for Universitatea Craiova, 1.06 for KuPS) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

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Key terms explained