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UEFA Europa LeagueUEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 13, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)

Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencvarosi TC: 1-1 result and AI prediction review

Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze1 – 1Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score foundMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Gornik Zabrze 1-1 Ferencvarosi TC. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Gornik Zabrze (45%), while a draw was rated at only 28%. The exact score 1-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (11.6%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): correct.

Match analysis

Gornik Zabrze and Ferencvarosi TC met on Thursday, August 13, 2026, a UEFA Europa League fixture. Venue: Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, Zabrze. Before kick-off, our model gave Gornik Zabrze a 45% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Ferencvarosi TC 28%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (11.6%), followed by 1-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.6%).

Gornik Zabrze have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 3. Over their last 5 matches, Ferencvarosi TC have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Ferencvarosi TC therefore arrive in far better shape than Gornik Zabrze. On average Gornik Zabrze score 0.60 and concede 0.60 goals per game; Ferencvarosi TC score 1.80 and concede 1.00.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Gornik Zabrze, 1 for Ferencvarosi TC and 0 draws. The most recent ended Ferencvarosi TC 1-0 Gornik Zabrze (Aug 5, 2026). In double chance terms, "Gornik Zabrze or draw" stands at 72%, "Ferencvarosi TC or draw" at 55% and "no draw" at 72%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

45%
Gornik Zabrze (Win)
28%
Draw
28%
Ferencvarosi TC (Win)

Double chance

72%
Gornik Zabrze or draw
55%
Ferencvarosi TC or draw
72%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Gornik Zabrze – Ferencvarosi TC. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Gornik Zabrze 1-1 Ferencvarosi TC11.6%
Gornik Zabrze 1-0 Ferencvarosi TC11.5%
Gornik Zabrze 2-1 Ferencvarosi TC9.6%
Gornik Zabrze 2-0 Ferencvarosi TC9.5%
Gornik Zabrze 0-1 Ferencvarosi TC7.0%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.66 expected goals for Gornik Zabrze and 1.01 for Ferencvarosi TC, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 50% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Gornik Zabrze keep a clean sheet in 36% of scenarios, Ferencvarosi TC in 19%.

Probability
Gornik Zabrze expected goals1.66
Ferencvarosi TC expected goals1.01
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Gornik Zabrze clean sheet36%
Ferencvarosi TC clean sheet19%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Gornik Zabrze

DateOpponentScore
Aug 5, 2026Ferencvarosi TC · UEFA Europa League0-1L
Jul 29, 2026Fenerbahçe · UEFA Champions League1-1D
Jul 21, 2026Fenerbahçe · UEFA Champions League0-1L
Jul 10, 2026FC Nordsjaelland · Club Friendlies2-0W
Jul 4, 2026WSG Wattens · Club Friendlies0-0D

Ferencvarosi TC

DateOpponentScore
Aug 8, 2026Real Madrid · Club Friendlies1-2L
Aug 5, 2026Gornik Zabrze · UEFA Europa League1-0W
Jul 30, 2026Twente · UEFA Europa League2-2D
Jul 23, 2026Twente · UEFA Europa League2-1W
Jul 16, 2026Vojvodina · UEFA Europa League3-0W

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 5, 2026Ferencvarosi TC 1-0 Gornik ZabrzeUEFA Europa League

Out and doubtful

Gornik Zabrze

No absences reported.

Ferencvarosi TC

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencvarosi TC prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Gornik Zabrze a 45% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Ferencvarosi TC 28%. Gornik Zabrze are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 1-1.

What is the most likely correct score for Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencvarosi TC?

1-1 (11.6%), followed by 1-0 (11.5%), 2-1 (9.6%), 2-0 (9.5%) and 0-1 (7.0%).

Will both teams score in Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencvarosi TC?

The probability that both Gornik Zabrze and Ferencvarosi TC score is 52%. Gornik Zabrze have a 36% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Ferencvarosi TC 19%.

How many goals should we expect in Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencvarosi TC?

The model expects 2.67 goals (1.66 for Gornik Zabrze, 1.01 for Ferencvarosi TC). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.

When and where is Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencvarosi TC played?

Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, Zabrze.

What form are Gornik Zabrze and Ferencvarosi TC in?

Gornik Zabrze: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 3 conceded). Ferencvarosi TC: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 5 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Gornik Zabrze and Ferencvarosi TC?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Gornik Zabrze, 1 for Ferencvarosi TC and 0 draws. The most recent ended Ferencvarosi TC 1-0 Gornik Zabrze (Aug 5, 2026).

What was the Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencvarosi TC result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Gornik Zabrze 1-1 Ferencvarosi TC. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Gornik Zabrze (45%), while a draw was rated at only 28%. The exact score 1-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (11.6%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): correct.

How is the Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencvarosi TC prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.66 for Gornik Zabrze, 1.01 for Ferencvarosi TC) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained