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UEFA Europa LeagueUEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 13, 2026, 19:30 (UK time)

Rangers vs Jagiellonia: 1-1 result and AI prediction review

RangersRangers1 – 1JagielloniaJagiellonia

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score foundMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Rangers 1-1 Jagiellonia. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Rangers (53%), while a draw was rated at only 33%. The exact score 1-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (12.2%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.

Match analysis

Rangers vs Jagiellonia was played on Thursday, August 13, 2026 (UEFA Europa League). Venue: Ibrox Stadium, Glasgow. Before kick-off, our model gave Rangers a 53% chance of winning, the draw 33% and Jagiellonia 14%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.2%), ahead of 1-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.3%).

Over their last 5 matches, Rangers have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, Jagiellonia have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Recent momentum is clearly with Jagiellonia. On average Rangers score 1.00 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Jagiellonia score 2.00 and concede 1.40.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Rangers, 1 for Jagiellonia and 0 draws. The most recent ended Jagiellonia 2-1 Rangers (Aug 6, 2026). In double chance terms, "Rangers or draw" stands at 86%, "Jagiellonia or draw" at 47% and "no draw" at 67%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

53%
Rangers (Win)
33%
Draw
14%
Jagiellonia (Win)

Double chance

86%
Rangers or draw
47%
Jagiellonia or draw
67%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Rangers – Jagiellonia. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Rangers 1-1 Jagiellonia12.2%
Rangers 1-0 Jagiellonia11.1%
Rangers 2-1 Jagiellonia9.3%
Rangers 2-0 Jagiellonia8.4%
Rangers 0-1 Jagiellonia8.0%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.62 goals in total (1.52 for Rangers, 1.10 for Jagiellonia): over 2.5 goals has a 49% probability and both teams to score 52%. Rangers keep a clean sheet in 33% of scenarios, Jagiellonia in 22%.

Probability
Rangers expected goals1.52
Jagiellonia expected goals1.10
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Rangers clean sheet33%
Jagiellonia clean sheet22%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Rangers

DateOpponentScore
Aug 6, 2026Jagiellonia · UEFA Europa League1-2L
Jul 26, 2026West Ham · Club Friendlies0-0D
Jul 22, 2026Saint Etienne · Club Friendlies2-1W
Jan 29, 2026FC Porto · UEFA Europa League1-3L
Jan 22, 2026Ludogorets · UEFA Europa League1-0W

Jagiellonia

DateOpponentScore
Aug 6, 2026Rangers · UEFA Europa League2-1W
Jul 9, 2026Polessya · Club Friendlies0-0D
Jul 4, 2026Pogoń Siedlce · Club Friendlies4-1W
Feb 26, 2026Fiorentina · UEFA Conference League4-2W
Feb 19, 2026Fiorentina · UEFA Conference League0-3L

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 6, 2026Jagiellonia 2-1 RangersUEFA Europa League

Out and doubtful

Rangers

No absences reported.

Jagiellonia

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Rangers vs Jagiellonia prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Rangers a 53% chance of winning, the draw 33% and Jagiellonia 14%. Rangers are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-1.

What is the most likely correct score for Rangers vs Jagiellonia?

1-1 (12.2%), followed by 1-0 (11.1%), 2-1 (9.3%), 2-0 (8.4%) and 0-1 (8.0%).

Will both teams score in Rangers vs Jagiellonia?

The probability that both Rangers and Jagiellonia score is 52%. Rangers have a 33% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Jagiellonia 22%.

How many goals should we expect in Rangers vs Jagiellonia?

The model expects 2.62 goals (1.52 for Rangers, 1.10 for Jagiellonia). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.

When and where is Rangers vs Jagiellonia played?

Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 19:30 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: Ibrox Stadium, Glasgow.

What form are Rangers and Jagiellonia in?

Rangers: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 6 conceded). Jagiellonia: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 7 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Rangers and Jagiellonia?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Rangers, 1 for Jagiellonia and 0 draws. The most recent ended Jagiellonia 2-1 Rangers (Aug 6, 2026).

What was the Rangers vs Jagiellonia result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Rangers 1-1 Jagiellonia. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Rangers (53%), while a draw was rated at only 33%. The exact score 1-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (12.2%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.

How is the Rangers vs Jagiellonia prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.52 for Rangers, 1.10 for Jagiellonia) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

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