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UEFA Europa LeagueUEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 13, 2026, 19:00 (UK time)

CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv: 1-3 result and AI prediction review

CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1 – 3Maccabi Tel AvivMaccabi Tel Aviv

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-0

Final score: CSKA Sofia 1-3 Maccabi Tel Aviv. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for CSKA Sofia (54%), while victory for Maccabi Tel Aviv was rated at only 22%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.9%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (50%): correct.

Match analysis

CSKA Sofia and Maccabi Tel Aviv met on Thursday, August 13, 2026, a UEFA Europa League fixture. Venue: National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia. Before kick-off, our model gave CSKA Sofia a 54% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Maccabi Tel Aviv 22%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (11.6%), followed by 1-1 (11.5%) and 2-0 (9.8%).

CSKA Sofia are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 8 and conceding 3. Over their last 5 matches, Maccabi Tel Aviv have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 4. Both sides come in with similar form. On average CSKA Sofia score 1.60 and concede 0.60 goals per game; Maccabi Tel Aviv score 1.40 and concede 0.80.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for CSKA Sofia, 0 for Maccabi Tel Aviv and 0 draws. The most recent ended Maccabi Tel Aviv 0-3 CSKA Sofia (Aug 6, 2026). In double chance terms, "CSKA Sofia or draw" stands at 78%, "Maccabi Tel Aviv or draw" at 46% and "no draw" at 76%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

54%
CSKA Sofia (Win)
24%
Draw
22%
Maccabi Tel Aviv (Win)

Double chance

78%
CSKA Sofia or draw
46%
Maccabi Tel Aviv or draw
76%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as CSKA Sofia – Maccabi Tel Aviv. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
CSKA Sofia 1-0 Maccabi Tel Aviv11.6%
CSKA Sofia 1-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv11.5%
CSKA Sofia 2-0 Maccabi Tel Aviv9.8%
CSKA Sofia 2-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv9.7%
CSKA Sofia 0-0 Maccabi Tel Aviv6.9%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.69 expected goals for CSKA Sofia and 0.99 for Maccabi Tel Aviv, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 50% and "both teams to score" at 51%. CSKA Sofia keep a clean sheet in 37% of scenarios, Maccabi Tel Aviv in 19%.

Probability
CSKA Sofia expected goals1.69
Maccabi Tel Aviv expected goals0.99
Both teams to score51%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
CSKA Sofia clean sheet37%
Maccabi Tel Aviv clean sheet19%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

CSKA Sofia

DateOpponentScore
Aug 6, 2026Maccabi Tel Aviv · UEFA Europa League3-0W
Jul 30, 2026Qarabag · UEFA Europa League0-0D
Jul 23, 2026Qarabag · UEFA Europa League0-0D
Jul 16, 2026Derry City · UEFA Europa League2-1W
Jul 9, 2026Derry City · UEFA Europa League3-2W

Maccabi Tel Aviv

DateOpponentScore
Aug 6, 2026CSKA Sofia · UEFA Europa League0-3L
Jul 30, 2026Sheriff Tiraspol · UEFA Europa League1-0W
Jul 23, 2026Sheriff Tiraspol · UEFA Europa League5-0W
Jul 3, 2026IMT Novi Beograd · Club Friendlies0-1L
Jun 30, 2026Alashkert · Club Friendlies1-0W

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 6, 2026Maccabi Tel Aviv 0-3 CSKA SofiaUEFA Europa League

Out and doubtful

CSKA Sofia

No absences reported.

Maccabi Tel Aviv

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave CSKA Sofia a 54% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Maccabi Tel Aviv 22%. CSKA Sofia are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-3.

What is the most likely correct score for CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?

1-0 (11.6%), followed by 1-1 (11.5%), 2-0 (9.8%), 2-1 (9.7%) and 0-0 (6.9%).

Will both teams score in CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?

The probability that both CSKA Sofia and Maccabi Tel Aviv score is 51%. CSKA Sofia have a 37% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Maccabi Tel Aviv 19%.

How many goals should we expect in CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?

The model expects 2.68 goals (1.69 for CSKA Sofia, 0.99 for Maccabi Tel Aviv). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.

When and where is CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv played?

Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia.

What form are CSKA Sofia and Maccabi Tel Aviv in?

CSKA Sofia: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 3 conceded). Maccabi Tel Aviv: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 4 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between CSKA Sofia and Maccabi Tel Aviv?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for CSKA Sofia, 0 for Maccabi Tel Aviv and 0 draws. The most recent ended Maccabi Tel Aviv 0-3 CSKA Sofia (Aug 6, 2026).

What was the CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: CSKA Sofia 1-3 Maccabi Tel Aviv. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for CSKA Sofia (54%), while victory for Maccabi Tel Aviv was rated at only 22%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.9%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (50%): correct.

How is the CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.69 for CSKA Sofia, 0.99 for Maccabi Tel Aviv) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained