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UEFA Europa LeagueUEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 13, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)

Heart Of Midlothian vs Benfica: 1-1 result and AI prediction review

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1 – 1BenficaBenfica

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-3

Final score: Heart Of Midlothian 1-1 Benfica. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Benfica (67%), while a draw was rated at only 18%. The model considered this score unlikely (3.3%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (69%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (87%): missed.

Match analysis

Heart Of Midlothian and Benfica met on Thursday, August 13, 2026, a UEFA Europa League fixture. Venue: Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh. Before kick-off, our model gave Heart Of Midlothian a 15% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Benfica 67%. On the correct score, 1-3 comes out on top (7.5%), followed by 1-4 (7.0%) and 0-3 (6.2%).

Heart Of Midlothian have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 15. Over their last 5 matches, Benfica have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 19 and conceding 6. Benfica therefore arrive in far better shape than Heart Of Midlothian. On average Heart Of Midlothian score 0.80 and concede 3.00 goals per game; Benfica score 3.80 and concede 1.20.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Heart Of Midlothian, 1 for Benfica and 0 draws. The most recent ended Benfica 6-1 Heart Of Midlothian (Aug 6, 2026). In double chance terms, "Heart Of Midlothian or draw" stands at 33%, "Benfica or draw" at 85% and "no draw" at 82%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

15%
Heart Of Midlothian (Win)
18%
Draw
67%
Benfica (Win)

Double chance

33%
Heart Of Midlothian or draw
85%
Benfica or draw
82%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Heart Of Midlothian – Benfica. 1-3 is the single most likely scoreline (7.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 33% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Heart Of Midlothian 1-3 Benfica7.5%
Heart Of Midlothian 1-4 Benfica7.0%
Heart Of Midlothian 0-3 Benfica6.2%
Heart Of Midlothian 1-2 Benfica6.1%
Heart Of Midlothian 0-4 Benfica5.7%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.22 expected goals for Heart Of Midlothian and 3.70 for Benfica, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 87% and "both teams to score" at 69%. Goals look likely in this one. Heart Of Midlothian keep a clean sheet in 3% of scenarios, Benfica in 30%.

Probability
Heart Of Midlothian expected goals1.22
Benfica expected goals3.70
Both teams to score69%
Over 1.5 goals96%
Over 2.5 goals87%
Over 3.5 goals72%
Heart Of Midlothian clean sheet3%
Benfica clean sheet30%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Heart Of Midlothian

DateOpponentScore
Aug 6, 2026Benfica · UEFA Europa League1-6L
Jul 28, 2026Sturm Graz · UEFA Champions League0-2L
Jul 21, 2026Sturm Graz · UEFA Champions League0-4L
Jul 17, 2026Rayo Vallecano · Club Friendlies2-1W
Jul 10, 2026Livingston · Club Friendlies1-2L

Benfica

DateOpponentScore
Aug 9, 2026Academico Viseu · Primeira Liga2-2D
Aug 6, 2026Heart Of Midlothian · UEFA Europa League6-1W
Jul 30, 2026FC ST. Gallen · UEFA Europa League5-0W
Jul 24, 2026CF Os Belenenses · Club Friendlies5-1W
Jul 23, 2026FC ST. Gallen · UEFA Europa League1-2L

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 6, 2026Benfica 6-1 Heart Of MidlothianUEFA Europa League

Out and doubtful

Heart Of Midlothian

No absences reported.

Benfica

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Heart Of Midlothian vs Benfica prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Heart Of Midlothian a 15% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Benfica 67%. Benfica are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-1.

What is the most likely correct score for Heart Of Midlothian vs Benfica?

1-3 (7.5%), followed by 1-4 (7.0%), 0-3 (6.2%), 1-2 (6.1%) and 0-4 (5.7%).

Will both teams score in Heart Of Midlothian vs Benfica?

The probability that both Heart Of Midlothian and Benfica score is 69%. Heart Of Midlothian have a 3% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Benfica 30%.

How many goals should we expect in Heart Of Midlothian vs Benfica?

The model expects 4.92 goals (1.22 for Heart Of Midlothian, 3.70 for Benfica). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 96%, over 2.5 goals 87%, over 3.5 goals 72%.

When and where is Heart Of Midlothian vs Benfica played?

Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh.

What form are Heart Of Midlothian and Benfica in?

Heart Of Midlothian: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 15 conceded). Benfica: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (19 scored, 6 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Heart Of Midlothian and Benfica?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Heart Of Midlothian, 1 for Benfica and 0 draws. The most recent ended Benfica 6-1 Heart Of Midlothian (Aug 6, 2026).

What was the Heart Of Midlothian vs Benfica result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Heart Of Midlothian 1-1 Benfica. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Benfica (67%), while a draw was rated at only 18%. The model considered this score unlikely (3.3%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (69%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (87%): missed.

How is the Heart Of Midlothian vs Benfica prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.22 for Heart Of Midlothian, 3.70 for Benfica) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained