UEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, October 15, 2026, 17:45 (UK time)
Celje vs Omonia Nicosia prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
UEFA Europa League: Celje vs Omonia Nicosia kicks off on Thursday, October 15, 2026 at 17:45 (UK time). It is a tight call: 41% for Celje, 37% for the draw and 22% for Omonia Nicosia. On the correct score, 0-0 comes out on top (24.7%), followed by 1-0 (21.2%) and 0-1 (13.3%).
Celje have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 9. Over their last 5 matches, Omonia Nicosia have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 3. Omonia Nicosia therefore arrive in far better shape than Celje. On average Celje score 1.00 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Omonia Nicosia score 1.80 and concede 0.60. In the table, Celje sit 31st with 0 points from 1 games, Omonia Nicosia 16th with 3 points from 1. 15 places separate the two sides.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Celje and Omonia Nicosia: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Celje or draw" stands at 78%, "Omonia Nicosia or draw" at 59% and "no draw" at 63%.
In short : Our model backs Celje to edge Omonia Nicosia (41% probability). In the table, Celje (31st, 0 pts) host Omonia Nicosia (16th, 3 pts). The model leans towards a tight, low-scoring game.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Celje – Omonia Nicosia. 0-0 is the single most likely scoreline (24.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 80% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Celje 0-0 Omonia Nicosia | 24.7% |
| Celje 1-0 Omonia Nicosia | 21.2% |
| Celje 0-1 Omonia Nicosia | 13.3% |
| Celje 1-1 Omonia Nicosia | 11.5% |
| Celje 2-0 Omonia Nicosia | 9.1% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 0.86 expected goals for Celje and 0.54 for Omonia Nicosia, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 17% and "both teams to score" at 24%. Few goals are expected here. Celje keep a clean sheet in 58% of scenarios, Omonia Nicosia in 42%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Celje expected goals | 0.86 |
| Omonia Nicosia expected goals | 0.54 |
| Both teams to score | 24% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 41% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 17% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 5% |
| Celje clean sheet | 58% |
| Omonia Nicosia clean sheet | 42% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Celje
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bravo · 1. SNL | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Koper · 1. SNL | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Aluminij · 1. SNL | 2-0 | W |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Brinje-Grosuplje · 1. SNL | 1-4 | L |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava · UEFA Champions League | 1-2 | L |
Omonia Nicosia
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Krasava Ypsonas · 1. Division | 4-1 | W |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Celta Vigo · UEFA Europa League | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Apollon Limassol · 1. Division | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Aris · 1. Division | 4-1 | W |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Pafos · Super Cup | 0-1 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celje | 31 | 0 | 1 |
| Omonia Nicosia | 16 | 3 | 1 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Celje and Omonia Nicosia: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Celje
No absences reported.
Omonia Nicosia
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Celje
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Tutyskinas3/4
- M. Kvesic3/4
- M. Zabukovnik3/4
- P. Sirvys3/4
- S. Seslar3/4
- Z. Leban3/4
- A. Kotnik2/4
- I. Calusic2/4
- L. Koutris2/4
- M. Avdyli2/4
- M. Ivansek2/4
Omonia Nicosia
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- J. Balkovec4/5
- J. Duverne4/5
- J. Montnor4/5
- L. Diony4/5
- M. Tankovic4/5
- P. Andreou4/5
- S. Coulibaly4/5
- M. Mayambela3/5
- Fabiano2/5
- Ľ. Šatka2/5
- M. Maric2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Celje vs Omonia Nicosia prediction?
Our AI gives Celje a 41% chance of winning, the draw 37% and Omonia Nicosia 22%. Celje are therefore slight favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Celje vs Omonia Nicosia?
0-0 (24.7%), followed by 1-0 (21.2%), 0-1 (13.3%), 1-1 (11.5%) and 2-0 (9.1%).
Will both teams score in Celje vs Omonia Nicosia?
The probability that both Celje and Omonia Nicosia score is 24%. Celje have a 58% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Omonia Nicosia 42%.
How many goals should we expect in Celje vs Omonia Nicosia?
The model expects 1.40 goals (0.86 for Celje, 0.54 for Omonia Nicosia). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 41%, over 2.5 goals 17%, over 3.5 goals 5%.
When and where is Celje vs Omonia Nicosia played?
Thursday, October 15, 2026 at 17:45 (UK time), UEFA Europa League.
What form are Celje and Omonia Nicosia in?
Celje: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 9 conceded). Omonia Nicosia: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 3 conceded).
How is the Celje vs Omonia Nicosia prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.86 for Celje, 0.54 for Omonia Nicosia) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Celje predictions
- All Omonia Nicosia predictions
- UEFA Europa League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology

