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UEFA Europa LeagueUEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, October 15, 2026, 17:45 (UK time)

Celje vs Omonia Nicosia prediction: correct score and AI tips

Match analysis

UEFA Europa League: Celje vs Omonia Nicosia kicks off on Thursday, October 15, 2026 at 17:45 (UK time). It is a tight call: 41% for Celje, 37% for the draw and 22% for Omonia Nicosia. On the correct score, 0-0 comes out on top (24.7%), followed by 1-0 (21.2%) and 0-1 (13.3%).

Celje have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 9. Over their last 5 matches, Omonia Nicosia have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 3. Omonia Nicosia therefore arrive in far better shape than Celje. On average Celje score 1.00 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Omonia Nicosia score 1.80 and concede 0.60. In the table, Celje sit 31st with 0 points from 1 games, Omonia Nicosia 16th with 3 points from 1. 15 places separate the two sides.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Celje and Omonia Nicosia: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Celje or draw" stands at 78%, "Omonia Nicosia or draw" at 59% and "no draw" at 63%.

In short : Our model backs Celje to edge Omonia Nicosia (41% probability). In the table, Celje (31st, 0 pts) host Omonia Nicosia (16th, 3 pts). The model leans towards a tight, low-scoring game.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

41%
Celje (Win)
37%
Draw
22%
Omonia Nicosia (Win)

Double chance

78%
Celje or draw
59%
Omonia Nicosia or draw
63%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Celje – Omonia Nicosia. 0-0 is the single most likely scoreline (24.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 80% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Celje 0-0 Omonia Nicosia24.7%
Celje 1-0 Omonia Nicosia21.2%
Celje 0-1 Omonia Nicosia13.3%
Celje 1-1 Omonia Nicosia11.5%
Celje 2-0 Omonia Nicosia9.1%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 0.86 expected goals for Celje and 0.54 for Omonia Nicosia, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 17% and "both teams to score" at 24%. Few goals are expected here. Celje keep a clean sheet in 58% of scenarios, Omonia Nicosia in 42%.

Probability
Celje expected goals0.86
Omonia Nicosia expected goals0.54
Both teams to score24%
Over 1.5 goals41%
Over 2.5 goals17%
Over 3.5 goals5%
Celje clean sheet58%
Omonia Nicosia clean sheet42%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Celje

DateOpponentScore
Sep 12, 2026Bravo · 1. SNL1-2L
Sep 6, 2026Koper · 1. SNL0-1L
Sep 2, 2026Aluminij · 1. SNL2-0W
Aug 30, 2026Brinje-Grosuplje · 1. SNL1-4L
Aug 26, 2026Slovan Bratislava · UEFA Champions League1-2L

Omonia Nicosia

DateOpponentScore
Sep 20, 2026Krasava Ypsonas · 1. Division4-1W
Sep 16, 2026Celta Vigo · UEFA Europa League1-0W
Sep 12, 2026Apollon Limassol · 1. Division0-0D
Sep 7, 2026Aris · 1. Division4-1W
Sep 3, 2026Pafos · Super Cup0-1L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Celje3101
Omonia Nicosia1631

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Celje and Omonia Nicosia: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Celje

No absences reported.

Omonia Nicosia

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Celje

Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Tutyskinas3/4
  • M. Kvesic3/4
  • M. Zabukovnik3/4
  • P. Sirvys3/4
  • S. Seslar3/4
  • Z. Leban3/4
  • A. Kotnik2/4
  • I. Calusic2/4
  • L. Koutris2/4
  • M. Avdyli2/4
  • M. Ivansek2/4

Omonia Nicosia

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • J. Balkovec4/5
  • J. Duverne4/5
  • J. Montnor4/5
  • L. Diony4/5
  • M. Tankovic4/5
  • P. Andreou4/5
  • S. Coulibaly4/5
  • M. Mayambela3/5
  • Fabiano2/5
  • Ľ. Šatka2/5
  • M. Maric2/5

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Celje vs Omonia Nicosia prediction?

Our AI gives Celje a 41% chance of winning, the draw 37% and Omonia Nicosia 22%. Celje are therefore slight favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for Celje vs Omonia Nicosia?

0-0 (24.7%), followed by 1-0 (21.2%), 0-1 (13.3%), 1-1 (11.5%) and 2-0 (9.1%).

Will both teams score in Celje vs Omonia Nicosia?

The probability that both Celje and Omonia Nicosia score is 24%. Celje have a 58% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Omonia Nicosia 42%.

How many goals should we expect in Celje vs Omonia Nicosia?

The model expects 1.40 goals (0.86 for Celje, 0.54 for Omonia Nicosia). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 41%, over 2.5 goals 17%, over 3.5 goals 5%.

When and where is Celje vs Omonia Nicosia played?

Thursday, October 15, 2026 at 17:45 (UK time), UEFA Europa League.

What form are Celje and Omonia Nicosia in?

Celje: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 9 conceded). Omonia Nicosia: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 3 conceded).

How is the Celje vs Omonia Nicosia prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.86 for Celje, 0.54 for Omonia Nicosia) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained