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UEFA Europa LeagueUEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, October 15, 2026, 17:45 (UK time)

Torreense vs Sunderland prediction: correct score and AI tips

TorreenseTorreense–SunderlandSunderland

Match analysis

UEFA Europa League: the Torreense vs Sunderland match is scheduled on Thursday, October 15, 2026 at 17:45 (UK time). Venue: Estadio Algarve. Our model makes Sunderland clear favourites: a 65% chance of winning, against 17% for the draw and 18% for Torreense. On the correct score, 1-2 comes out on top (8.3%), followed by 1-3 (7.5%) and 1-1 (6.1%).

Over their last 5 matches, Torreense have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, Sunderland have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Torreense score 1.20 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Sunderland score 1.20 and concede 1.60. In the table, Torreense sit 12th with 3 points from 1 games, Sunderland 15th with 3 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Torreense and Sunderland: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Sunderland: H. Diarra, R. Mundle, D. Ballard (doubtful) and B. Brobbey (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Torreense or draw" stands at 35%, "Sunderland or draw" at 82% and "no draw" at 83%.

In short : Sunderland are tipped by our AI model in this Torreense v Sunderland (65%). On recent form, Torreense have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in 5 while Sunderland have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-2.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

18%
Torreense (Win)
17%
Draw
65%
Sunderland (Win)

Double chance

35%
Torreense or draw
82%
Sunderland or draw
83%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Torreense – Sunderland. 1-2 is the single most likely scoreline (8.3%); the 5 scores below add up to 34% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Torreense 1-2 Sunderland8.3%
Torreense 1-3 Sunderland7.5%
Torreense 1-1 Sunderland6.1%
Torreense 2-2 Sunderland6.0%
Torreense 0-2 Sunderland5.7%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.45 expected goals for Torreense and 2.73 for Sunderland, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 79% and "both teams to score" at 72%. Goals look likely in this one. Torreense keep a clean sheet in 7% of scenarios, Sunderland in 24%.

Probability
Torreense expected goals1.45
Sunderland expected goals2.73
Both teams to score72%
Over 1.5 goals92%
Over 2.5 goals79%
Over 3.5 goals60%
Torreense clean sheet7%
Sunderland clean sheet24%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Torreense

DateOpponentScore
Sep 17, 2026Lillestrom · UEFA Europa League2-1W
Sep 11, 2026Leixoes · Liga Portugal 20-0D
Sep 5, 2026Benfica B · Liga Portugal 22-0W
Aug 29, 2026Vizela · Liga Portugal 20-3L
Aug 22, 2026Lusitânia Lourosa · Liga Portugal 22-2D

Sunderland

DateOpponentScore
Sep 20, 2026Manchester City · Premier League3-5L
Sep 16, 2026AZ Alkmaar · UEFA Europa League1-0W
Sep 12, 2026Arsenal · Premier League0-2L
Sep 8, 2026Hull City · EFL Cup1-0W
Sep 5, 2026Brentford · Premier League1-1D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Torreense1231
Sunderland1531

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Torreense and Sunderland: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Torreense

No absences reported.

Sunderland

  • H. Diarra (out)
  • R. Mundle (out)
  • D. Ballard (doubtful)
  • B. Brobbey (doubtful)

Most regular starters

Torreense

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Adriel5/5
  • D. Jean5/5
  • A. Alfaro4/5
  • A. Oudrhiri4/5
  • Volnei4/5
  • David Bruno3/5
  • J. Alcedo3/5
  • M. Drammeh3/5
  • Stopira3/5
  • A. Baradji2/5
  • A. Simoes2/5

Sunderland

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • G. Xhaka4/5
  • K. Danso4/5
  • N. Mukiele4/5
  • N. Sadiki4/5
  • R. Roefs4/5
  • B. Brobbey3/5
  • D. Ballard3/5
  • E. Le Fee3/5
  • N. Angulo3/5
  • R. Mandava3/5
  • T. Meunier3/5

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Torreense vs Sunderland prediction?

Our AI gives Torreense a 18% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Sunderland 65%. Sunderland are therefore favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for Torreense vs Sunderland?

1-2 (8.3%), followed by 1-3 (7.5%), 1-1 (6.1%), 2-2 (6.0%) and 0-2 (5.7%).

Will both teams score in Torreense vs Sunderland?

The probability that both Torreense and Sunderland score is 72%. Torreense have a 7% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Sunderland 24%.

How many goals should we expect in Torreense vs Sunderland?

The model expects 4.18 goals (1.45 for Torreense, 2.73 for Sunderland). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 92%, over 2.5 goals 79%, over 3.5 goals 60%.

When and where is Torreense vs Sunderland played?

Thursday, October 15, 2026 at 17:45 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: Estadio Algarve.

What form are Torreense and Sunderland in?

Torreense: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 6 conceded). Sunderland: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 8 conceded).

How is the Torreense vs Sunderland prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.45 for Torreense, 2.73 for Sunderland) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained