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UEFA Europa LeagueUEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, September 17, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

Juventus vs NEC Nijmegen: 5-0 result and AI prediction review

JuventusJuventus5 – 0NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 2-1

Final score: Juventus 5-0 NEC Nijmegen. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Juventus was the model's favourite outcome (83%). The model considered this score unlikely (1.3%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (57%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (60%): correct.

Match analysis

Juventus vs NEC Nijmegen was played on Thursday, September 17, 2026 (UEFA Europa League). Venue: Allianz Stadium, Turin. Before kick-off, our model gave Juventus a 83% chance of winning, the draw 12% and NEC Nijmegen 5%. The most likely correct score is 2-1 (9.9%), ahead of 1-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.2%).

Over their last 5 matches, Juventus have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 4. NEC Nijmegen have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 12. Recent momentum is clearly with Juventus. On average Juventus score 1.60 and concede 0.80 goals per game; NEC Nijmegen score 1.20 and concede 2.40. Over their recent games, Juventus have averaged 1.61 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.35 for NEC Nijmegen.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Juventus and NEC Nijmegen: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Juventus out or doubtful: J. Boga, J. Cabal, A. Cambiaso, J. Ekhator and M. Locatelli. NEC Nijmegen: D. Fonville, A. Kaplan, G. Crettaz, F. Entius and I. Hansen-Aaroen. In double chance terms, "Juventus or draw" stands at 95%, "NEC Nijmegen or draw" at 17% and "no draw" at 88%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

83%
Juventus (Win)
12%
Draw
5%
NEC Nijmegen (Win)

Double chance

95%
Juventus or draw
17%
NEC Nijmegen or draw
88%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Juventus – NEC Nijmegen. 2-1 is the single most likely scoreline (9.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 45% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Juventus 2-1 NEC Nijmegen9.9%
Juventus 1-1 NEC Nijmegen9.8%
Juventus 2-0 NEC Nijmegen9.2%
Juventus 1-0 NEC Nijmegen9.1%
Juventus 3-1 NEC Nijmegen6.7%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 3.10 goals in total (2.02 for Juventus, 1.08 for NEC Nijmegen): over 2.5 goals has a 60% probability and both teams to score 57%. Everything points to an open game. Juventus keep a clean sheet in 34% of scenarios, NEC Nijmegen in 13%.

Probability
Juventus expected goals2.02
NEC Nijmegen expected goals1.08
Both teams to score57%
Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Over 3.5 goals38%
Juventus clean sheet34%
NEC Nijmegen clean sheet13%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Juventus

DateOpponentScore
Sep 13, 2026Sassuolo · Serie A2-3L
Sep 6, 2026AC Milan · Serie A1-1D
Aug 29, 2026Parma · Serie A2-0W
Aug 23, 2026Frosinone · Serie A1-0W
Aug 11, 2026Palermo · Club Friendlies2-0W

NEC Nijmegen

DateOpponentScore
Sep 12, 2026Cambuur · Eredivisie0-3L
Sep 8, 2026Excelsior · Eredivisie2-2D
Sep 5, 2026Feyenoord · Eredivisie1-3L
Aug 29, 2026PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie3-1W
Aug 25, 2026Bodo/Glimt · UEFA Champions League0-3L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Juventus1800
NEC Nijmegen2300

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Juventus and NEC Nijmegen: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Juventus

  • J. Boga (out)
  • J. Cabal (out)
  • A. Cambiaso (out)
  • J. Ekhator (out)
  • M. Locatelli (out)

NEC Nijmegen

  • D. Fonville (out)
  • A. Kaplan (out)
  • G. Crettaz (out)
  • F. Entius (out)
  • I. Hansen-Aaroen (out)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Juventus vs NEC Nijmegen prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Juventus a 83% chance of winning, the draw 12% and NEC Nijmegen 5%. Juventus are therefore favourites. Final score: 5-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Juventus vs NEC Nijmegen?

2-1 (9.9%), followed by 1-1 (9.8%), 2-0 (9.2%), 1-0 (9.1%) and 3-1 (6.7%).

Will both teams score in Juventus vs NEC Nijmegen?

The probability that both Juventus and NEC Nijmegen score is 57%. Juventus have a 34% chance of keeping a clean sheet, NEC Nijmegen 13%.

How many goals should we expect in Juventus vs NEC Nijmegen?

The model expects 3.10 goals (2.02 for Juventus, 1.08 for NEC Nijmegen). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 82%, over 2.5 goals 60%, over 3.5 goals 38%.

When and where is Juventus vs NEC Nijmegen played?

Thursday, September 17, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: Allianz Stadium, Turin.

What form are Juventus and NEC Nijmegen in?

Juventus: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 4 conceded). NEC Nijmegen: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 12 conceded).

What was the Juventus vs NEC Nijmegen result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Juventus 5-0 NEC Nijmegen. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Juventus was the model's favourite outcome (83%). The model considered this score unlikely (1.3%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (57%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (60%): correct.

How is the Juventus vs NEC Nijmegen prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.02 for Juventus, 1.08 for NEC Nijmegen) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained