UEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, September 17, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Lillestrom vs Torreense: 1-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Lillestrom 1-2 Torreense. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Lillestrom (44%), while victory for Torreense was rated at only 30%. The final score ranked 7th among the most likely scorelines (7.1%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): missed.
Match analysis
Lillestrom vs Torreense was played on Thursday, September 17, 2026 (UEFA Europa League). Venue: Åråsen Stadion, Lillestrom. Before kick-off, our model gave Lillestrom a 44% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Torreense 30%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.4%), ahead of 1-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.0%).
Over their last 5 matches, Lillestrom have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Torreense have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 6 and conceding 7. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Lillestrom score 1.40 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Torreense score 1.20 and concede 1.40.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Lillestrom and Torreense: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Lillestrom out or doubtful: L. Alperud, E. B. Garnas and C. Jebara. In double chance terms, "Lillestrom or draw" stands at 70%, "Torreense or draw" at 56% and "no draw" at 74%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Lillestrom – Torreense. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Lillestrom 1-1 Torreense | 12.4% |
| Lillestrom 1-0 Torreense | 10.8% |
| Lillestrom 2-1 Torreense | 9.0% |
| Lillestrom 0-1 Torreense | 8.5% |
| Lillestrom 2-0 Torreense | 7.8% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.60 goals in total (1.45 for Lillestrom, 1.15 for Torreense): over 2.5 goals has a 48% probability and both teams to score 52%. Lillestrom keep a clean sheet in 32% of scenarios, Torreense in 24%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Lillestrom expected goals | 1.45 |
| Torreense expected goals | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% |
| Lillestrom clean sheet | 32% |
| Torreense clean sheet | 24% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Lillestrom
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2026 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë · UEFA Europa League | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë · UEFA Europa League | 0-0 | D |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Sarpsborg 08 FF · Club Friendlies | 3-1 | W |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Degerfors IF · Club Friendlies | 2-3 | L |
| Jun 20, 2026 | FC Midtjylland · Club Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
Torreense
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2026 | Leixoes · Liga Portugal 2 | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Benfica B · Liga Portugal 2 | 2-0 | W |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Vizela · Liga Portugal 2 | 0-3 | L |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa · Liga Portugal 2 | 2-2 | D |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Penafiel · Liga Portugal 2 | 2-2 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lillestrom | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| Torreense | 27 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Lillestrom and Torreense: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Lillestrom
- L. Alperud (out)
- E. B. Garnas (out)
- C. Jebara (out)
Torreense
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Hapoel Beer Sheva 0-0 Dinamo ZagrebSep 16, 2026
- Sunderland 1-0 AZ AlkmaarSep 16, 2026
- OFI 2-0 1899 HoffenheimSep 17, 2026
- Levski Sofia 0-1 Red Bull SalzburgSep 17, 2026
- Juventus 5-0 NEC NijmegenSep 17, 2026
- Celtic 1-3 Ferencvarosi TCSep 17, 2026
- Crystal Palace 4-0 Lech PoznanSep 17, 2026
- Beşiktaş 4-1 MarseilleSep 17, 2026
- Plzen 0-3 Union St. GilloiseSep 17, 2026
- Real Sociedad 1-2 BournemouthSep 17, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Lillestrom vs Torreense prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Lillestrom a 44% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Torreense 30%. Lillestrom are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 1-2.
What is the most likely correct score for Lillestrom vs Torreense?
1-1 (12.4%), followed by 1-0 (10.8%), 2-1 (9.0%), 0-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.8%).
Will both teams score in Lillestrom vs Torreense?
The probability that both Lillestrom and Torreense score is 52%. Lillestrom have a 32% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Torreense 24%.
How many goals should we expect in Lillestrom vs Torreense?
The model expects 2.60 goals (1.45 for Lillestrom, 1.15 for Torreense). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 73%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 26%.
When and where is Lillestrom vs Torreense played?
Thursday, September 17, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: Åråsen Stadion, Lillestrom.
What form are Lillestrom and Torreense in?
Lillestrom: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 6 conceded). Torreense: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 7 conceded).
What was the Lillestrom vs Torreense result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Lillestrom 1-2 Torreense. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Lillestrom (44%), while victory for Torreense was rated at only 30%. The final score ranked 7th among the most likely scorelines (7.1%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): missed.
How is the Lillestrom vs Torreense prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.45 for Lillestrom, 1.15 for Torreense) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Lillestrom predictions
- All Torreense predictions
- UEFA Europa League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology

