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UEFA Europa LeagueUEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, September 17, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

Plzen vs Union St. Gilloise: 0-3 result and AI prediction review

PlzenPlzen0 – 3Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Plzen 0-3 Union St. Gilloise. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Union St. Gilloise at 44%. The model considered this score unlikely (3.7%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (55%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (51%): correct.

Match analysis

Plzen and Union St. Gilloise met on Thursday, September 17, 2026, a UEFA Europa League fixture. Venue: Doosan Arena, Pilsner. Before kick-off, our model gave Plzen a 31% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Union St. Gilloise 44%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.1%), followed by 0-1 (10.0%) and 1-2 (9.1%).

Plzen have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 10 and conceding 11. Union St. Gilloise are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 14 and conceding 2. Union St. Gilloise therefore arrive in far better shape than Plzen. On average Plzen score 2.00 and concede 2.20 goals per game; Union St. Gilloise score 2.80 and concede 0.40.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Plzen and Union St. Gilloise: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Plzen out or doubtful: V. Jemelka, J. Paluska, K. Spacil, M. Tvrdon and M. Vydra. Union St. Gilloise: A. Ait El Hadj, N. Chibani, R. Florucz, K. Mac Allister and I. Pavlic. In double chance terms, "Plzen or draw" stands at 56%, "Union St. Gilloise or draw" at 69% and "no draw" at 75%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

31%
Plzen (Win)
25%
Draw
44%
Union St. Gilloise (Win)

Double chance

56%
Plzen or draw
69%
Union St. Gilloise or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Plzen – Union St. Gilloise. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 47% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Plzen 1-1 Union St. Gilloise12.1%
Plzen 0-1 Union St. Gilloise10.0%
Plzen 1-2 Union St. Gilloise9.1%
Plzen 1-0 Union St. Gilloise8.1%
Plzen 0-2 Union St. Gilloise7.5%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.21 expected goals for Plzen and 1.50 for Union St. Gilloise, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 51% and "both teams to score" at 55%. Plzen keep a clean sheet in 22% of scenarios, Union St. Gilloise in 30%.

Probability
Plzen expected goals1.21
Union St. Gilloise expected goals1.50
Both teams to score55%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Plzen clean sheet22%
Union St. Gilloise clean sheet30%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Plzen

DateOpponentScore
Aug 27, 2026FK Crvena Zvezda · UEFA Europa League5-1W
Aug 20, 2026FK Crvena Zvezda · UEFA Europa League0-3L
Jul 10, 2026BSC Young Boys · Club Friendlies3-5L
Jul 7, 2026FC Copenhagen · Club Friendlies1-1D
Jul 1, 2026Spartak Trnava · Club Friendlies1-1D

Union St. Gilloise

DateOpponentScore
Sep 12, 2026Lommel United · Jupiler Pro League5-0W
Sep 5, 2026Charleroi · Jupiler Pro League3-2W
Sep 2, 2026St. Truiden · Jupiler Pro League3-0W
Aug 30, 2026Anderlecht · Jupiler Pro League3-0W
Aug 15, 2026Zulte Waregem · Jupiler Pro League0-0D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Plzen2900
Union St. Gilloise2800

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Plzen and Union St. Gilloise: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Plzen

  • V. Jemelka (out)
  • J. Paluska (out)
  • K. Spacil (out)
  • M. Tvrdon (out)
  • M. Vydra (out)

Union St. Gilloise

  • A. Ait El Hadj (out)
  • N. Chibani (out)
  • R. Florucz (out)
  • K. Mac Allister (out)
  • I. Pavlic (out)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Plzen vs Union St. Gilloise prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Plzen a 31% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Union St. Gilloise 44%. Union St. Gilloise are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 0-3.

What is the most likely correct score for Plzen vs Union St. Gilloise?

1-1 (12.1%), followed by 0-1 (10.0%), 1-2 (9.1%), 1-0 (8.1%) and 0-2 (7.5%).

Will both teams score in Plzen vs Union St. Gilloise?

The probability that both Plzen and Union St. Gilloise score is 55%. Plzen have a 22% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Union St. Gilloise 30%.

How many goals should we expect in Plzen vs Union St. Gilloise?

The model expects 2.71 goals (1.21 for Plzen, 1.50 for Union St. Gilloise). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 51%, over 3.5 goals 29%.

When and where is Plzen vs Union St. Gilloise played?

Thursday, September 17, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: Doosan Arena, Pilsner.

What form are Plzen and Union St. Gilloise in?

Plzen: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 11 conceded). Union St. Gilloise: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (14 scored, 2 conceded).

What was the Plzen vs Union St. Gilloise result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Plzen 0-3 Union St. Gilloise. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Union St. Gilloise at 44%. The model considered this score unlikely (3.7%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (55%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (51%): correct.

How is the Plzen vs Union St. Gilloise prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.21 for Plzen, 1.50 for Union St. Gilloise) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained