UEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, September 17, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth: 1-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Real Sociedad 1-2 Bournemouth. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Bournemouth at 41%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (8.1%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (45%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (39%): missed.
Match analysis
Real Sociedad and Bournemouth met on Thursday, September 17, 2026, a UEFA Europa League fixture. Venue: Anoeta Stadium, San Sebastian. Before kick-off, our model gave Real Sociedad a 32% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Bournemouth 41%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (13.2%), followed by 0-1 (13.1%) and 1-0 (10.8%).
Over their last 5 matches, Real Sociedad have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 10. Bournemouth have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 10 and conceding 7. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Real Sociedad score 1.20 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Bournemouth score 2.00 and concede 1.40. Over their recent games, Real Sociedad have averaged 0.89 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.39 for Bournemouth.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Real Sociedad, 0 for Bournemouth and 1 draw. Real Sociedad out or doubtful: J. Martin, A. Odriozola, I. Zubeldia and J. Aramburu. Bournemouth: A. Adli, J. Araujo, E. J. Kroupi, V. Milosavljevic and M. Aarons. In double chance terms, "Real Sociedad or draw" stands at 59%, "Bournemouth or draw" at 68% and "no draw" at 74%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Real Sociedad – Bournemouth. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (13.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 56% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Real Sociedad 1-1 Bournemouth | 13.2% |
| Real Sociedad 0-1 Bournemouth | 13.1% |
| Real Sociedad 1-0 Bournemouth | 10.8% |
| Real Sociedad 0-0 Bournemouth | 10.6% |
| Real Sociedad 1-2 Bournemouth | 8.1% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.01 expected goals for Real Sociedad and 1.23 for Bournemouth, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 39% and "both teams to score" at 45%. Few goals are expected here. Real Sociedad keep a clean sheet in 29% of scenarios, Bournemouth in 36%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Real Sociedad expected goals | 1.01 |
| Bournemouth expected goals | 1.23 |
| Both teams to score | 45% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% |
| Real Sociedad clean sheet | 29% |
| Bournemouth clean sheet | 36% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Real Sociedad
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Atletico Madrid · La Liga | 0-3 | L |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Elche · La Liga | 3-2 | W |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Celta Vigo · La Liga | 0-0 | D |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Espanyol · La Liga | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Real Madrid · La Liga | 1-4 | L |
Bournemouth
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Brentford · Premier League | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Lincoln · EFL Cup | 4-0 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Newcastle · Premier League | 2-2 | D |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Everton · Premier League | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Manchester City · Premier League | 1-2 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| Bournemouth | 13 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Real Sociedad, 0 for Bournemouth and 1 draw.
Out and doubtful
Real Sociedad
- J. Martin (out)
- A. Odriozola (out)
- I. Zubeldia (out)
- J. Aramburu (out)
Bournemouth
- A. Adli (out)
- J. Araujo (out)
- E. J. Kroupi (out)
- V. Milosavljevic (out)
- M. Aarons (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Hapoel Beer Sheva 0-0 Dinamo ZagrebSep 16, 2026
- Sunderland 1-0 AZ AlkmaarSep 16, 2026
- OFI 2-0 1899 HoffenheimSep 17, 2026
- Levski Sofia 0-1 Red Bull SalzburgSep 17, 2026
- Juventus 5-0 NEC NijmegenSep 17, 2026
- Celtic 1-3 Ferencvarosi TCSep 17, 2026
- Crystal Palace 4-0 Lech PoznanSep 17, 2026
- Beşiktaş 4-1 MarseilleSep 17, 2026
- Lillestrom 1-2 TorreenseSep 17, 2026
- Plzen 0-3 Union St. GilloiseSep 17, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Real Sociedad a 32% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Bournemouth 41%. Bournemouth are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 1-2.
What is the most likely correct score for Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth?
1-1 (13.2%), followed by 0-1 (13.1%), 1-0 (10.8%), 0-0 (10.6%) and 1-2 (8.1%).
Will both teams score in Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth?
The probability that both Real Sociedad and Bournemouth score is 45%. Real Sociedad have a 29% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Bournemouth 36%.
How many goals should we expect in Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth?
The model expects 2.24 goals (1.01 for Real Sociedad, 1.23 for Bournemouth). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 66%, over 2.5 goals 39%, over 3.5 goals 19%.
When and where is Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth played?
Thursday, September 17, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: Anoeta Stadium, San Sebastian.
What form are Real Sociedad and Bournemouth in?
Real Sociedad: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 10 conceded). Bournemouth: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 7 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Real Sociedad and Bournemouth?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Real Sociedad, 0 for Bournemouth and 1 draw.
What was the Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Real Sociedad 1-2 Bournemouth. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Bournemouth at 41%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (8.1%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (45%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (39%): missed.
How is the Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.01 for Real Sociedad, 1.23 for Bournemouth) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Real Sociedad predictions
- All Bournemouth predictions
- UEFA Europa League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology