UEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Wednesday, September 16, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia: 2-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Olympiakos Piraeus 2-1 Jagiellonia. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Olympiakos Piraeus was the model's favourite outcome (52%). The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (9.6%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): missed.
Match analysis
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia was played on Wednesday, September 16, 2026 (UEFA Europa League). Venue: Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus. Before kick-off, our model gave Olympiakos Piraeus a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Jagiellonia 23%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.7%), ahead of 1-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.6%).
Olympiakos Piraeus have not won any of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 4 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 9. Jagiellonia are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 9 and conceding 3. Recent momentum is clearly with Jagiellonia. On average Olympiakos Piraeus score 0.60 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Jagiellonia score 1.80 and concede 0.60.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Olympiakos Piraeus and Jagiellonia: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Olympiakos Piraeus out or doubtful: Clayton, A. El Kaabi, K. Fortounis, D. Garcia and B. Popovic. Jagiellonia: D. Drachal, D. Rallis, Z. Zalewski and O. Sow. In double chance terms, "Olympiakos Piraeus or draw" stands at 77%, "Jagiellonia or draw" at 48% and "no draw" at 75%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Olympiakos Piraeus – Jagiellonia. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Olympiakos Piraeus 1-1 Jagiellonia | 11.7% |
| Olympiakos Piraeus 1-0 Jagiellonia | 11.5% |
| Olympiakos Piraeus 2-1 Jagiellonia | 9.6% |
| Olympiakos Piraeus 2-0 Jagiellonia | 9.4% |
| Olympiakos Piraeus 0-1 Jagiellonia | 7.1% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.66 goals in total (1.64 for Olympiakos Piraeus, 1.02 for Jagiellonia): over 2.5 goals has a 50% probability and both teams to score 52%. Olympiakos Piraeus keep a clean sheet in 36% of scenarios, Jagiellonia in 19%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Olympiakos Piraeus expected goals | 1.64 |
| Jagiellonia expected goals | 1.02 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Olympiakos Piraeus clean sheet | 36% |
| Jagiellonia clean sheet | 19% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Olympiakos Piraeus
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen · UEFA Champions League | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 4, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen · UEFA Champions League | 0-0 | D |
| Jul 25, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar · Club Friendlies | 2-3 | L |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Antwerp · Club Friendlies | 0-3 | L |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Ajax · Club Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
Jagiellonia
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2026 | Saburtalo · UEFA Europa League | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Saburtalo · UEFA Europa League | 4-0 | W |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Rangers · UEFA Europa League | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Rangers · UEFA Europa League | 2-1 | W |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Polessya · Club Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiakos Piraeus | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| Jagiellonia | 15 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Olympiakos Piraeus and Jagiellonia: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Olympiakos Piraeus
- Clayton (out)
- A. El Kaabi (out)
- K. Fortounis (out)
- D. Garcia (out)
- B. Popovic (out)
Jagiellonia
- D. Drachal (out)
- D. Rallis (out)
- Z. Zalewski (out)
- O. Sow (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Omonia Nicosia 1-0 Celta VigoSep 16, 2026
- Ararat-Armenia 1-4 Sparta PrahaSep 16, 2026
- Hapoel Beer Sheva 0-0 Dinamo ZagrebSep 16, 2026
- Sunderland 1-0 AZ AlkmaarSep 16, 2026
- Anderlecht 1-2 LyonSep 16, 2026
- Sturm Graz 0-0 RennesSep 16, 2026
- AC Milan 0-2 BenficaSep 16, 2026
- Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 CeljeSep 16, 2026
- OFI 2-0 1899 HoffenheimSep 17, 2026
- Levski Sofia 0-1 Red Bull SalzburgSep 17, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Olympiakos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Olympiakos Piraeus a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Jagiellonia 23%. Olympiakos Piraeus are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Olympiakos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia?
1-1 (11.7%), followed by 1-0 (11.5%), 2-1 (9.6%), 2-0 (9.4%) and 0-1 (7.1%).
Will both teams score in Olympiakos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia?
The probability that both Olympiakos Piraeus and Jagiellonia score is 52%. Olympiakos Piraeus have a 36% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Jagiellonia 19%.
How many goals should we expect in Olympiakos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia?
The model expects 2.66 goals (1.64 for Olympiakos Piraeus, 1.02 for Jagiellonia). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is Olympiakos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia played?
Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus.
What form are Olympiakos Piraeus and Jagiellonia in?
Olympiakos Piraeus: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 9 conceded). Jagiellonia: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 3 conceded).
What was the Olympiakos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Olympiakos Piraeus 2-1 Jagiellonia. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Olympiakos Piraeus was the model's favourite outcome (52%). The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (9.6%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): missed.
How is the Olympiakos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.64 for Olympiakos Piraeus, 1.02 for Jagiellonia) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Olympiakos Piraeus predictions
- All Jagiellonia predictions
- UEFA Europa League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology