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UEFA Europa LeagueUEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Wednesday, September 16, 2026, 17:45 (UK time)

Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo: 1-0 result and AI prediction review

Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia1 – 0Celta VigoCelta Vigo

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Omonia Nicosia 1-0 Celta Vigo. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Omonia Nicosia was the model's favourite outcome (40%). The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (11.9%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (48%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (42%): correct.

Match analysis

Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo was played on Wednesday, September 16, 2026 (UEFA Europa League). Venue: GSP Stadium, Nicosia. Before kick-off, our model gave Omonia Nicosia a 40% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Celta Vigo 32%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (13.1%), ahead of 1-0 (11.9%) and 0-1 (10.3%).

Over their last 5 matches, Omonia Nicosia have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Celta Vigo have not won any of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 6. Recent momentum is clearly with Omonia Nicosia. On average Omonia Nicosia score 1.20 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Celta Vigo score 0.60 and concede 1.20.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Omonia Nicosia and Celta Vigo: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Omonia Nicosia out or doubtful: C. Eiting, F. Kitsos and A. Neofytou. Celta Vigo: A. Antanon and I. Aspas. In double chance terms, "Omonia Nicosia or draw" stands at 68%, "Celta Vigo or draw" at 60% and "no draw" at 72%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

40%
Omonia Nicosia (Win)
28%
Draw
32%
Celta Vigo (Win)

Double chance

68%
Omonia Nicosia or draw
60%
Celta Vigo or draw
72%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Omonia Nicosia – Celta Vigo. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (13.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 53% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Omonia Nicosia 1-1 Celta Vigo13.1%
Omonia Nicosia 1-0 Celta Vigo11.9%
Omonia Nicosia 0-1 Celta Vigo10.3%
Omonia Nicosia 0-0 Celta Vigo9.3%
Omonia Nicosia 2-1 Celta Vigo8.3%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.37 goals in total (1.27 for Omonia Nicosia, 1.10 for Celta Vigo): over 2.5 goals has a 42% probability and both teams to score 48%. Omonia Nicosia keep a clean sheet in 33% of scenarios, Celta Vigo in 28%.

Probability
Omonia Nicosia expected goals1.27
Celta Vigo expected goals1.10
Both teams to score48%
Over 1.5 goals69%
Over 2.5 goals42%
Over 3.5 goals22%
Omonia Nicosia clean sheet33%
Celta Vigo clean sheet28%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Omonia Nicosia

DateOpponentScore
Aug 27, 2026St. Truiden · UEFA Europa League4-2W
Aug 20, 2026St. Truiden · UEFA Europa League0-1L
Aug 13, 2026Lincoln Red Imps FC · UEFA Europa League1-0W
Aug 6, 2026Lincoln Red Imps FC · UEFA Europa League1-1D
Jul 29, 2026Kairat Almaty · UEFA Champions League0-1L

Celta Vigo

DateOpponentScore
Sep 13, 2026Malaga · La Liga1-1D
Sep 7, 2026Getafe · La Liga1-1D
Sep 3, 2026Real Sociedad · La Liga0-0D
Aug 30, 2026Athletic Club · La Liga0-2L
Aug 27, 2026Osasuna · La Liga1-2L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Omonia Nicosia2700
Celta Vigo800

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Omonia Nicosia and Celta Vigo: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Omonia Nicosia

  • C. Eiting (out)
  • F. Kitsos (out)
  • A. Neofytou (out)

Celta Vigo

  • A. Antanon (out)
  • I. Aspas (out)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Omonia Nicosia a 40% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Celta Vigo 32%. Omonia Nicosia are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 1-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo?

1-1 (13.1%), followed by 1-0 (11.9%), 0-1 (10.3%), 0-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (8.3%).

Will both teams score in Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo?

The probability that both Omonia Nicosia and Celta Vigo score is 48%. Omonia Nicosia have a 33% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Celta Vigo 28%.

How many goals should we expect in Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo?

The model expects 2.37 goals (1.27 for Omonia Nicosia, 1.10 for Celta Vigo). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 69%, over 2.5 goals 42%, over 3.5 goals 22%.

When and where is Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo played?

Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 17:45 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: GSP Stadium, Nicosia.

What form are Omonia Nicosia and Celta Vigo in?

Omonia Nicosia: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 5 conceded). Celta Vigo: 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 6 conceded).

What was the Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Omonia Nicosia 1-0 Celta Vigo. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Omonia Nicosia was the model's favourite outcome (40%). The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (11.9%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (48%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (42%): correct.

How is the Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.27 for Omonia Nicosia, 1.10 for Celta Vigo) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained