La Liga· Kick-off : Wednesday, September 16, 2026, 20:30 (UK time)
Barcelona vs Racing Santander: 7-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Barcelona 7-2 Racing Santander. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Barcelona at 89%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.0%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (60%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (87%): correct.
Match analysis
Barcelona and Racing Santander met on Wednesday, September 16, 2026, a La Liga, matchday 6 fixture. Venue: Camp Nou, Barcelona. Before kick-off, our model gave Barcelona a 89% chance of winning, the draw 7% and Racing Santander 4%. On the correct score, 3-0 comes out on top (7.6%), followed by 4-0 (7.6%) and 3-1 (7.2%).
Barcelona are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 21 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, Racing Santander have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 9. Barcelona therefore arrive in far better shape than Racing Santander. On average Barcelona score 4.20 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Racing Santander score 1.80 and concede 1.80. In the table, Barcelona sit 1st with 15 points from 5 games, Racing Santander 10th with 7 points from 5. 9 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Barcelona have averaged 3.43 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.48 for Racing Santander.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Barcelona, 0 for Racing Santander and 0 draws. The most recent ended Racing Santander 0-2 Barcelona (Jan 15, 2026). Barcelona out or doubtful: R. Bardghji and F. de Jong. Racing Santander: S. Eriksson, A. Martin and A. Almeida. In double chance terms, "Barcelona or draw" stands at 96%, "Racing Santander or draw" at 11% and "no draw" at 93%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Barcelona – Racing Santander. 3-0 is the single most likely scoreline (7.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 36% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Barcelona 3-0 Racing Santander | 7.6% |
| Barcelona 4-0 Racing Santander | 7.6% |
| Barcelona 3-1 Racing Santander | 7.2% |
| Barcelona 4-1 Racing Santander | 7.2% |
| Barcelona 5-0 Racing Santander | 6.1% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 4.00 expected goals for Barcelona and 0.94 for Racing Santander, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 87% and "both teams to score" at 60%. Goals look likely in this one. Barcelona keep a clean sheet in 39% of scenarios, Racing Santander in 2%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Barcelona expected goals | 4.00 |
| Racing Santander expected goals | 0.94 |
| Both teams to score | 60% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 96% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 87% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 73% |
| Barcelona clean sheet | 39% |
| Racing Santander clean sheet | 2% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Barcelona
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Levante · La Liga | 4-2 | W |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Feyenoord · UEFA Champions League | 5-1 | W |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Valencia · La Liga | 5-0 | W |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano · La Liga | 5-2 | W |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Athletic Club · La Liga | 2-0 | W |
Racing Santander
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Alaves · La Liga | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano · La Liga | 2-3 | L |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Elche · La Liga | 3-2 | W |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Getafe · La Liga | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Villarreal · La Liga | 2-2 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 1 | 15 | 5 |
| Racing Santander | 10 | 7 | 5 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | Racing Santander 0-2 Barcelona | Copa del Rey |
Out and doubtful
Barcelona
- R. Bardghji (out)
- F. de Jong (out)
Racing Santander
- S. Eriksson (out)
- A. Martin (out)
- A. Almeida (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Villarreal 1-2 Real BetisSep 14, 2026
- Rayo Vallecano 2-1 EspanyolSep 15, 2026
- Alaves 0-1 ValenciaSep 15, 2026
- Elche 2-3 Real MadridSep 15, 2026
- Atletico Madrid 4-0 OsasunaSep 16, 2026
- Deportivo La Coruna 0-1 SevillaSep 16, 2026
- Real Betis 1-0 GetafeSep 17, 2026
- Malaga 1-3 VillarrealSep 17, 2026
- Espanyol 1-3 ElcheSep 18, 2026
- Osasuna 1-1 Rayo VallecanoSep 19, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Barcelona vs Racing Santander prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Barcelona a 89% chance of winning, the draw 7% and Racing Santander 4%. Barcelona are therefore favourites. Final score: 7-2.
What is the most likely correct score for Barcelona vs Racing Santander?
3-0 (7.6%), followed by 4-0 (7.6%), 3-1 (7.2%), 4-1 (7.2%) and 5-0 (6.1%).
Will both teams score in Barcelona vs Racing Santander?
The probability that both Barcelona and Racing Santander score is 60%. Barcelona have a 39% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Racing Santander 2%.
How many goals should we expect in Barcelona vs Racing Santander?
The model expects 4.94 goals (4.00 for Barcelona, 0.94 for Racing Santander). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 96%, over 2.5 goals 87%, over 3.5 goals 73%.
When and where is Barcelona vs Racing Santander played?
Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 20:30 (UK time), La Liga, matchday 6. Venue: Camp Nou, Barcelona.
What form are Barcelona and Racing Santander in?
Barcelona: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (21 scored, 5 conceded). Racing Santander: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 9 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Barcelona and Racing Santander?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Barcelona, 0 for Racing Santander and 0 draws. The most recent ended Racing Santander 0-2 Barcelona (Jan 15, 2026).
What was the Barcelona vs Racing Santander result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Barcelona 7-2 Racing Santander. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Barcelona at 89%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.0%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (60%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (87%): correct.
How is the Barcelona vs Racing Santander prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (4.00 for Barcelona, 0.94 for Racing Santander) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Barcelona predictions
- All Racing Santander predictions
- La Liga predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology