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Elofoot

La LigaLa Liga· Kick-off : Monday, September 14, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

Villarreal vs Real Betis: 1-2 result and AI prediction review

VillarrealVillarreal1 – 2Real BetisReal Betis

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Villarreal 1-2 Real Betis. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Villarreal (50%), while victory for Real Betis was rated at only 26%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (6.6%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (56%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (54%): correct.

Match analysis

Villarreal and Real Betis met on Monday, September 14, 2026, a La Liga, matchday 5 fixture. Venue: Estadio de la Ceramica, Villarreal. Before kick-off, our model gave Villarreal a 50% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Real Betis 26%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (11.4%), followed by 1-0 (10.0%) and 2-1 (9.6%).

Villarreal have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 8 and conceding 11. Over their last 5 matches, Real Betis have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Real Betis therefore arrive in far better shape than Villarreal. On average Villarreal score 1.60 and concede 2.20 goals per game; Real Betis score 1.60 and concede 1.40. In the table, Villarreal sit 18th with 2 points from 4 games, Real Betis 7th with 9 points from 4. 11 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Villarreal have averaged 1.63 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.32 for Real Betis.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Villarreal, 1 for Real Betis and 1 draw. The most recent ended Real Betis 2-0 Villarreal (Jan 17, 2026). Villarreal out or doubtful: J. Foyth and C. Romero. Real Betis: A. Ruibal. In double chance terms, "Villarreal or draw" stands at 74%, "Real Betis or draw" at 51% and "no draw" at 76%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

50%
Villarreal (Win)
24%
Draw
26%
Real Betis (Win)

Double chance

74%
Villarreal or draw
51%
Real Betis or draw
76%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Villarreal – Real Betis. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 46% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Villarreal 1-1 Real Betis11.4%
Villarreal 1-0 Real Betis10.0%
Villarreal 2-1 Real Betis9.6%
Villarreal 2-0 Real Betis8.3%
Villarreal 0-1 Real Betis6.9%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.67 expected goals for Villarreal and 1.15 for Real Betis, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 54% and "both teams to score" at 56%. Villarreal keep a clean sheet in 32% of scenarios, Real Betis in 19%.

Probability
Villarreal expected goals1.67
Real Betis expected goals1.15
Both teams to score56%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Villarreal clean sheet32%
Real Betis clean sheet19%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Villarreal

DateOpponentScore
Sep 8, 2026Borussia Dortmund · UEFA Champions League2-3L
Sep 5, 2026Deportivo La Coruna · La Liga2-3L
Aug 28, 2026Alaves · La Liga0-1L
Aug 23, 2026Atletico Madrid · La Liga2-2D
Aug 16, 2026Racing Santander · La Liga2-2D

Real Betis

DateOpponentScore
Sep 8, 2026Lille · UEFA Champions League3-2W
Sep 4, 2026Real Madrid · La Liga1-0W
Aug 29, 2026Levante · La Liga2-5L
Aug 25, 2026Valencia · La Liga1-0W
Aug 21, 2026Real Sociedad · La Liga1-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Villarreal1824
Real Betis794

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 17, 2026Real Betis 2-0 VillarrealLa Liga
Oct 18, 2025Villarreal 2-2 Real BetisLa Liga

Out and doubtful

Villarreal

  • J. Foyth (out)
  • C. Romero (out)

Real Betis

  • A. Ruibal (out)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Villarreal vs Real Betis prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Villarreal a 50% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Real Betis 26%. Villarreal are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-2.

What is the most likely correct score for Villarreal vs Real Betis?

1-1 (11.4%), followed by 1-0 (10.0%), 2-1 (9.6%), 2-0 (8.3%) and 0-1 (6.9%).

Will both teams score in Villarreal vs Real Betis?

The probability that both Villarreal and Real Betis score is 56%. Villarreal have a 32% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Real Betis 19%.

How many goals should we expect in Villarreal vs Real Betis?

The model expects 2.82 goals (1.67 for Villarreal, 1.15 for Real Betis). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 77%, over 2.5 goals 54%, over 3.5 goals 31%.

When and where is Villarreal vs Real Betis played?

Monday, September 14, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), La Liga, matchday 5. Venue: Estadio de la Ceramica, Villarreal.

What form are Villarreal and Real Betis in?

Villarreal: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 11 conceded). Real Betis: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 7 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Villarreal and Real Betis?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Villarreal, 1 for Real Betis and 1 draw. The most recent ended Real Betis 2-0 Villarreal (Jan 17, 2026).

What was the Villarreal vs Real Betis result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Villarreal 1-2 Real Betis. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Villarreal (50%), while victory for Real Betis was rated at only 26%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (6.6%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (56%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (54%): correct.

How is the Villarreal vs Real Betis prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.67 for Villarreal, 1.15 for Real Betis) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained